Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

York City v Crawley Town

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-03 18:30 UTC

Score final : York City 0–2 Crawley Town

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

42 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

York City (Local)

Prévision 57.78%1.73cote équitable
EV -4.09%
Avantage -2.46%
Kelly -6.20%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.66

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.65%57.72%57.73%58.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.521.621.621.6665.79%61.65%61.73%60.24%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Crawley Town (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.37%5.16cote équitable
EV -3.16%
Avantage -0.633%
Kelly -0.791%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.85%19.42%19.38%20.42%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.334.734.705.0023.09%21.16%21.28%20.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 22.86%4.38cote équitable
EV -1.03%
Avantage -0.238%
Kelly -0.310%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.81%22.87%22.88%24.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.754.003.984.3326.67%24.98%25.16%23.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : York City (Local) : 57.78% ; Crawley Town (Visiteur) : 19.37% ; Match nul : 22.86%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.38. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 4.33, pour une espérance de -1.03% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
BetRivers🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.22%EV -4.09%E -2.46%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -8.97%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-03 17:54
betPARX🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.22%EV -4.09%E -2.46%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -8.97%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-03 17:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.22%EV -4.09%E -2.46%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -8.97%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-03 17:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.22%EV -4.09%E -2.46%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -8.97%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-03 17:55
Grosvenor🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.22%EV -4.09%E -2.46%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -8.97%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-03 17:54
Casumo🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.22%EV -4.09%E -2.46%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -8.97%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-03 17:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.22%EV -4.09%E -2.46%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -8.97%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-03 17:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.22%EV -4.09%E -2.46%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -8.97%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-03 17:54
TABtouch🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.22%EV -4.09%E -2.46%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -8.97%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-03 17:54
Unibet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.22%EV -4.09%E -2.46%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -8.97%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-03 17:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.22%EV -4.09%E -2.46%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -8.97%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-03 17:54
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.98%EV -4.67%E -2.83%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.93%EV -7.04%E -1.47%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.09%EV -1.03%E -0.238%K -0.310%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-03 18:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.67%E -2.83%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.27%EV -4.13%E -0.835%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 22.93%EV -4.92%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 18:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.67%E -2.83%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.27%EV -4.13%E -0.835%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 22.93%EV -4.92%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 18:15
Pinnacle🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.25%E -3.20%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.93I 20.28%NM 19.24%EV -4.52%E -0.917%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 22.91%EV -5.37%E -1.30%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 18:15
1xBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.64%EV -5.83%E -3.57%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.92I 20.33%NM 19.10%EV -4.71%E -0.958%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.26%EV -7.66%E -1.90%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-03 18:20
SportsBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.57%EV -5.83%E -3.57%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -7.04%E -1.47%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -6.29%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-03 18:19
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.65%EV -5.83%E -3.57%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -12.85%E -2.85%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -14.29%E -3.81%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-03 18:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -3.16%E -0.633%K -0.791%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -4.00%E -0.953%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 18:10
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -3.16%E -0.633%K -0.791%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -4.00%E -0.953%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 16:34
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.30%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -8.00%E -1.69%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -1.03%E -0.238%K -0.310%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 18:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -3.16%E -0.633%K -0.791%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -6.29%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 17:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -8.00%E -1.69%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -4.00%E -0.953%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-03 17:20
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -8.00%E -1.69%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -4.00%E -0.953%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-03 17:20
Coolbet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -8.00%E -1.69%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-03 18:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.23%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -10.91%E -2.37%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -13.15%E -3.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-03 17:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.23%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -10.91%E -2.37%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -13.15%E -3.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-03 17:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.23%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -10.91%E -2.37%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -13.15%E -3.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-03 17:54
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -6.98%E -4.34%K -11.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -3.16%E -0.633%K -0.791%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -4.00%E -0.953%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 18:04
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -6.98%E -4.34%K -11.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -3.16%E -0.633%K -0.791%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -4.00%E -0.953%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 18:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.18%EV -6.98%E -4.34%K -11.44%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -7.04%E -1.47%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -4.00%E -0.953%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-03 17:24
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.87%EV -6.98%E -4.34%K -11.44%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.41%EV -7.04%E -1.47%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -6.29%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-03 18:15
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.81%EV -6.98%E -4.34%K -11.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -12.85%E -2.85%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-03 17:29
Bovada🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -7.56%E -4.72%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -8.97%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-03 17:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -7.56%E -4.72%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -8.97%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-03 18:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.59%EV -8.71%E -5.52%K -15.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -12.85%E -2.85%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -6.29%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-03 18:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.34%EV -9.29%E -5.92%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.57%EV -10.91%E -2.37%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-03 18:15
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.26%EV -9.29%E -5.92%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.98%EV -12.85%E -2.85%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.76%EV -9.72%E -2.46%K -3.29%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-03 18:20
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.75%EV -9.29%E -5.92%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -12.85%E -2.85%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -13.15%E -3.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-03 18:15
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.31%EV -9.29%E -5.92%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.42%EV -16.14%E -3.73%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.27%EV -13.15%E -3.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-03 18:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.60%EV -9.87%E -6.33%K -17.62%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.12%EV -8.97%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 23.28%EV -11.77%E -3.05%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-03 18:19
NetBet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 57.54%EV -12.18%E -8.01%K -23.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.44%EV -12.85%E -2.85%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.02%EV -13.15%E -3.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-03 17:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.86%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.52%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.62%0.5%2026-08-03 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.86%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.52%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.62%0.5%2026-08-03 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.86%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.52%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.62%0.5%2026-08-03 18:25
Matchbook1.72I 58.14%NM 57.86%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.52%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.62%0.5%2026-08-03 18:20