L’École des cotes

York City v Crawley Town

2026-08-03 18:30 UTC — EFL Cup

Résultat du match

36 opérateurs (10 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

York City (Local)

Prévision 56.67%1.76cote équitable
EV +0.309%
Avantage +0.175%
Kelly +0.401%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 1.77

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.10%56.26%56.64%57.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.551.671.651.7764.52%59.82%60.79%56.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Crawley Town (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.51%5.12cote équitable
EV -0.476%
Avantage -0.093%
Kelly -0.116%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.26%19.93%19.48%24.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.374.605.1026.67%22.90%21.74%19.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.81%4.20cote équitable
EV -2.36%
Avantage -0.576%
Kelly -0.762%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.98%23.81%23.88%24.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.783.804.1028.57%26.43%26.32%24.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
BetRivers1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV +0.309%E +0.175%K +0.401%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -26.82%E -7.15%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -13.08%E -3.58%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 05:19
betPARX1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV +0.309%E +0.175%K +0.401%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -26.82%E -7.15%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -13.08%E -3.58%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:09
Unibet (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV +0.309%E +0.175%K +0.401%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -26.82%E -7.15%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -13.08%E -3.58%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV +0.309%E +0.175%K +0.401%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -26.82%E -7.15%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -13.08%E -3.58%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:30
Grosvenor1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV +0.309%E +0.175%K +0.401%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -26.82%E -7.15%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -13.08%E -3.58%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:29
LiveScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV +0.309%E +0.175%K +0.401%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -26.82%E -7.15%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -13.08%E -3.58%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:29
Virgin Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV +0.309%E +0.175%K +0.401%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -26.82%E -7.15%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -13.08%E -3.58%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:29
Casumo1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV +0.309%E +0.175%K +0.401%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -26.82%E -7.15%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -13.08%E -3.58%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:29
ATG (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV +0.309%E +0.175%K +0.401%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -26.82%E -7.15%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -13.08%E -3.58%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:29
Svenska Spel1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV +0.309%E +0.175%K +0.401%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -26.82%E -7.15%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -13.08%E -3.58%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:29
TABtouch1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV +0.309%E +0.175%K +0.401%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -26.82%E -7.15%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -13.08%E -3.58%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:39
Unibet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV +0.309%E +0.175%K +0.401%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -26.82%E -7.15%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -13.08%E -3.58%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:39
PMU (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV +0.309%E +0.175%K +0.401%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -26.82%E -7.15%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -13.08%E -3.58%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-16 14:05
Betr (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.38%EV -4.79%E -2.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -4.38%E -0.894%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.29%EV -7.13%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 17:39
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 56.97%EV -5.36%E -3.21%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.82%EV -6.33%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.21%EV -2.36%E -0.576%K -0.762%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 02:39
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 56.64%EV -5.36%E -3.21%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -6.33%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -4.75%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-21 19:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -6.49%E -3.93%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -6.33%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -4.75%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-21 21:55
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 56.54%EV -6.49%E -3.93%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.79I 20.88%NM 19.48%EV -6.53%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 23.98%EV -7.36%E -1.89%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-22 13:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.97%EV -7.06%E -4.30%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.67%EV -7.31%E -1.54%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -4.75%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 21:55
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 56.97%EV -7.06%E -4.30%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.67%EV -7.31%E -1.54%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -4.75%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 21:55
SportsBet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.34%EV -7.62%E -4.68%K -12.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.69%EV -2.43%E -0.486%K -0.607%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -7.13%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 17:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.49%EV -8.19%E -5.06%K -13.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -2.43%E -0.486%K -0.607%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -7.13%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-24 18:35
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 56.58%EV -8.19%E -5.06%K -13.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -10.23%E -2.22%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -7.13%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-21 19:20
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 56.47%EV -8.19%E -5.06%K -13.21%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.46%EV -8.28%E -1.76%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.07%EV -9.51%E -2.50%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-22 07:35
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.23%EV -8.19%E -5.06%K -13.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -10.23%E -2.22%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.51%E -2.50%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-21 14:30
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 57.85%EV -8.76%E -5.44%K -14.36%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.26%EV -0.476%E -0.093%K -0.116%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -7.13%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-11 17:39
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 55.69%EV -8.76%E -5.44%K -14.36%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -15.50%E -3.58%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.60%EV -9.51%E -2.50%K -3.40%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-23 14:35
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -9.33%E -5.83%K -15.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -8.28%E -1.76%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -4.75%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-19 16:45
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.00%EV -9.33%E -5.83%K -15.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -6.33%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.51%E -2.50%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-20 19:39
betano_uk1.60I 62.50%NM 57.00%EV -9.33%E -5.83%K -15.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -6.33%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.51%E -2.50%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-20 19:38
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 56.89%EV -9.33%E -5.83%K -15.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.16%EV -7.31%E -1.54%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -9.51%E -2.50%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-24 18:35
1xBet1.59I 62.89%NM 57.11%EV -9.89%E -6.22%K -16.77%G +0.000%4.78I 20.92%NM 19.00%EV -6.72%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -9.51%E -2.50%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-25 22:55
Marathon Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.23%EV -11.03%E -7.02%K -19.34%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.12%EV -8.28%E -1.76%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -9.51%E -2.50%K -3.40%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-25 22:49
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 55.21%EV -11.03%E -7.02%K -19.34%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.02%EV -15.50%E -3.58%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.77%EV -16.65%E -4.76%K -6.66%G +0.000%15.4%2026-07-24 18:35
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 55.77%EV -11.59%E -7.43%K -20.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.71%EV -18.04%E -4.30%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.51%EV -11.89%E -3.21%K -4.40%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-22 15:39
NetBet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 56.53%EV -12.16%E -7.84%K -22.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.47%EV -12.18%E -2.71%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.00%EV -13.08%E -3.58%K -4.94%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-22 17:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.62%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%7.7%2026-07-25 11:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.62%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%7.7%2026-07-25 11:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 54.88%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%11.1%2026-07-25 11:00