Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

York City v Crawley Town

Início: 2026-08-03 18:30 UTC

Final: York City 0–2 Crawley Town

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

42 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

York City (Local)

Previsão 57.78%1.73odd justa
EV -4.09%
Vantagem -2.46%
Kelly -6.20%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.66

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
55.65%57.72%57.73%58.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.521.621.621.6665.79%61.65%61.73%60.24%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Crawley Town (Visitante)

Previsão 19.37%5.16odd justa
EV -3.16%
Vantagem -0.633%
Kelly -0.791%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.85%19.42%19.38%20.42%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.334.734.705.0023.09%21.16%21.28%20.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 22.86%4.38odd justa
EV -1.03%
Vantagem -0.238%
Kelly -0.310%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.33

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.81%22.87%22.88%24.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.754.003.984.3326.67%24.98%25.16%23.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: York City (Local): 57.78%; Crawley Town (Visitante): 19.37%; Empate: 22.86%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.38. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 4.33, com valor esperado de -1.03%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (42 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
BetRivers🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.22%EV -4.09%E -2.46%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -8.97%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-03 17:54
betPARX🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.22%EV -4.09%E -2.46%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -8.97%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-03 17:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.22%EV -4.09%E -2.46%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -8.97%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-03 17:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.22%EV -4.09%E -2.46%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -8.97%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-03 17:55
Grosvenor🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.22%EV -4.09%E -2.46%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -8.97%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-03 17:54
Casumo🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.22%EV -4.09%E -2.46%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -8.97%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-03 17:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.22%EV -4.09%E -2.46%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -8.97%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-03 17:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.22%EV -4.09%E -2.46%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -8.97%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-03 17:54
TABtouch🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.22%EV -4.09%E -2.46%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -8.97%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-03 17:54
Unibet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.22%EV -4.09%E -2.46%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -8.97%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-03 17:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.22%EV -4.09%E -2.46%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -8.97%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-03 17:54
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.98%EV -4.67%E -2.83%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.93%EV -7.04%E -1.47%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.09%EV -1.03%E -0.238%K -0.310%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-03 18:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.67%E -2.83%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.27%EV -4.13%E -0.835%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 22.93%EV -4.92%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 18:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.67%E -2.83%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.27%EV -4.13%E -0.835%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 22.93%EV -4.92%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 18:15
Pinnacle🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.25%E -3.20%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.93I 20.28%NM 19.24%EV -4.52%E -0.917%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 22.91%EV -5.37%E -1.30%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 18:15
1xBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.64%EV -5.83%E -3.57%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.92I 20.33%NM 19.10%EV -4.71%E -0.958%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.26%EV -7.66%E -1.90%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-03 18:20
SportsBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.57%EV -5.83%E -3.57%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -7.04%E -1.47%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -6.29%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-03 18:19
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.65%EV -5.83%E -3.57%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -12.85%E -2.85%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -14.29%E -3.81%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-03 18:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -3.16%E -0.633%K -0.791%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -4.00%E -0.953%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 18:10
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -3.16%E -0.633%K -0.791%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -4.00%E -0.953%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 16:34
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.30%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -8.00%E -1.69%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -1.03%E -0.238%K -0.310%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 18:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -3.16%E -0.633%K -0.791%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -6.29%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 17:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -8.00%E -1.69%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -4.00%E -0.953%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-03 17:20
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -8.00%E -1.69%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -4.00%E -0.953%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-03 17:20
Coolbet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -8.00%E -1.69%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-03 18:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.23%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -10.91%E -2.37%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -13.15%E -3.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-03 17:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.23%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -10.91%E -2.37%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -13.15%E -3.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-03 17:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.23%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -10.91%E -2.37%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -13.15%E -3.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-03 17:54
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -6.98%E -4.34%K -11.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -3.16%E -0.633%K -0.791%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -4.00%E -0.953%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 18:04
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -6.98%E -4.34%K -11.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -3.16%E -0.633%K -0.791%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -4.00%E -0.953%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 18:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.18%EV -6.98%E -4.34%K -11.44%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -7.04%E -1.47%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -4.00%E -0.953%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-03 17:24
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.87%EV -6.98%E -4.34%K -11.44%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.41%EV -7.04%E -1.47%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -6.29%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-03 18:15
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.81%EV -6.98%E -4.34%K -11.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -12.85%E -2.85%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-03 17:29
Bovada🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -7.56%E -4.72%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -8.97%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-03 17:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -7.56%E -4.72%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -8.97%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-03 18:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.59%EV -8.71%E -5.52%K -15.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -12.85%E -2.85%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -6.29%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-03 18:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.34%EV -9.29%E -5.92%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.57%EV -10.91%E -2.37%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-03 18:15
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.26%EV -9.29%E -5.92%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.98%EV -12.85%E -2.85%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.76%EV -9.72%E -2.46%K -3.29%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-03 18:20
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.75%EV -9.29%E -5.92%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -12.85%E -2.85%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -13.15%E -3.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-03 18:15
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.31%EV -9.29%E -5.92%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.42%EV -16.14%E -3.73%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.27%EV -13.15%E -3.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-03 18:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.60%EV -9.87%E -6.33%K -17.62%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.12%EV -8.97%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 23.28%EV -11.77%E -3.05%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-03 18:19
NetBet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 57.54%EV -12.18%E -8.01%K -23.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.44%EV -12.85%E -2.85%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.02%EV -13.15%E -3.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-03 17:29
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.86%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.52%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.62%0.5%2026-08-03 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.86%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.52%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.62%0.5%2026-08-03 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.86%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.52%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.62%0.5%2026-08-03 18:25
Matchbook1.72I 58.14%NM 57.86%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.52%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.62%0.5%2026-08-03 18:20