语言:简体中文
York City v Crawley Town
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
York City (主队)
预测 57.78%1.73公平赔率
EV -4.09%
优势 -2.46%
Kelly -6.20%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.66
博彩公司预测分布
55.65%57.72%57.73%58.64%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.521.621.621.6665.79%61.65%61.73%60.24%最小值均值中位数最大值
Crawley Town (客队)
预测 19.37%5.16公平赔率
EV -3.16%
优势 -0.633%
Kelly -0.791%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 5.00
博彩公司预测分布
18.85%19.42%19.38%20.42%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.334.734.705.0023.09%21.16%21.28%20.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 22.86%4.38公平赔率
EV -1.03%
优势 -0.238%
Kelly -0.310%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.33
博彩公司预测分布
21.81%22.87%22.88%24.19%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.754.003.984.3326.67%24.98%25.16%23.09%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：York City (主队)：57.78%；Crawley Town (客队)：19.37%；平局：22.86%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.38。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为4.33，期望值为-1.03%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (42 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.22%EV -4.09%E -2.46%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -8.97%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-03 17:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.22%EV -4.09%E -2.46%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -8.97%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-03 17:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.22%EV -4.09%E -2.46%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -8.97%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-03 17:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.22%EV -4.09%E -2.46%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -8.97%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-03 17:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.22%EV -4.09%E -2.46%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -8.97%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-03 17:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.22%EV -4.09%E -2.46%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -8.97%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-03 17:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.22%EV -4.09%E -2.46%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -8.97%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-03 17:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.22%EV -4.09%E -2.46%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -8.97%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-03 17:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.22%EV -4.09%E -2.46%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -8.97%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-03 17:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.22%EV -4.09%E -2.46%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -8.97%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-03 17:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.22%EV -4.09%E -2.46%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -8.97%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-03 17:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.98%EV -4.67%E -2.83%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.93%EV -7.04%E -1.47%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.09%EV -1.03%E -0.238%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-03 18:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.67%E -2.83%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.27%EV -4.13%E -0.835%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 22.93%EV -4.92%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 18:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.67%E -2.83%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.27%EV -4.13%E -0.835%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 22.93%EV -4.92%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 18:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.25%E -3.20%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.93I 20.28%NM 19.24%EV -4.52%E -0.917%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 22.91%EV -5.37%E -1.30%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 18:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.64%EV -5.83%E -3.57%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 4.92I 20.33%NM 19.10%EV -4.71%E -0.958%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.26%EV -7.66%E -1.90%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 18:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.57%EV -5.83%E -3.57%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -7.04%E -1.47%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -6.29%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-03 18:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.65%EV -5.83%E -3.57%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -12.85%E -2.85%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -14.29%E -3.81%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-03 18:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -3.16%E -0.633%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -4.00%E -0.953%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 18:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -3.16%E -0.633%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -4.00%E -0.953%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 16:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.30%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -8.00%E -1.69%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -1.03%E -0.238%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-03 18:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -3.16%E -0.633%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -6.29%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-03 17:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -8.00%E -1.69%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -4.00%E -0.953%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-03 17:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -8.00%E -1.69%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -4.00%E -0.953%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-03 17:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -8.00%E -1.69%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-03 18:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.23%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -10.91%E -2.37%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -13.15%E -3.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-03 17:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.23%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -10.91%E -2.37%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -13.15%E -3.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-03 17:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.23%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -10.91%E -2.37%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -13.15%E -3.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-03 17:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -6.98%E -4.34%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -3.16%E -0.633%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -4.00%E -0.953%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-03 18:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -6.98%E -4.34%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -3.16%E -0.633%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -4.00%E -0.953%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-03 18:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.18%EV -6.98%E -4.34%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -7.04%E -1.47%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -4.00%E -0.953%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-03 17:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.87%EV -6.98%E -4.34%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.41%EV -7.04%E -1.47%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -6.29%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-03 18:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.81%EV -6.98%E -4.34%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -12.85%E -2.85%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-03 17:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -7.56%E -4.72%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -8.97%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-03 17:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -7.56%E -4.72%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -8.97%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-03 18:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.59%EV -8.71%E -5.52%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -12.85%E -2.85%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -6.29%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-03 18:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.34%EV -9.29%E -5.92%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.57%EV -10.91%E -2.37%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-03 18:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.26%EV -9.29%E -5.92%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.98%EV -12.85%E -2.85%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.76%EV -9.72%E -2.46%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-03 18:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.75%EV -9.29%E -5.92%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -12.85%E -2.85%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -13.15%E -3.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-03 18:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.31%EV -9.29%E -5.92%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.42%EV -16.14%E -3.73%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.27%EV -13.15%E -3.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-03 18:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.60%EV -9.87%E -6.33%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.12%EV -8.97%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 23.28%EV -11.77%E -3.05%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-03 18:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 57.54%EV -12.18%E -8.01%K -23.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.44%EV -12.85%E -2.85%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.02%EV -13.15%E -3.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-03 17:29 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (4)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.86% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.52% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.62% | 0.5% | 2026-08-03 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.86% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.52% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.62% | 0.5% | 2026-08-03 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.86% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.52% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.62% | 0.5% | 2026-08-03 18:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.86% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.52% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.62% | 0.5% | 2026-08-03 18:20 |