La escuela de los momios

York City v Crawley Town

2026-08-03 18:30 UTC — EFL Cup

Resultado del partido

36 corredores (10 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

York City (Local)

Predicción 56.67%1.76momio equitativo
EV +0.311%
Ventaja +0.175%
Kelly +0.403%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.77

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.10%56.27%56.64%57.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.551.671.651.7764.52%59.82%60.79%56.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Crawley Town (Visitante)

Predicción 19.49%5.13momio equitativo
EV -0.588%
Ventaja -0.115%
Kelly -0.143%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.26%19.92%19.48%24.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.374.605.1026.67%22.89%21.74%19.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.83%4.20momio equitativo
EV -2.28%
Ventaja -0.555%
Kelly -0.735%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.98%23.82%23.88%24.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.783.804.1028.57%26.44%26.32%24.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (36 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
BetRivers1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV +0.311%E +0.175%K +0.403%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -26.90%E -7.17%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -13.00%E -3.56%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 05:19
betPARX1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV +0.311%E +0.175%K +0.403%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -26.90%E -7.17%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -13.00%E -3.56%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:09
Unibet (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV +0.311%E +0.175%K +0.403%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -26.90%E -7.17%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -13.00%E -3.56%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV +0.311%E +0.175%K +0.403%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -26.90%E -7.17%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -13.00%E -3.56%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:30
Grosvenor1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV +0.311%E +0.175%K +0.403%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -26.90%E -7.17%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -13.00%E -3.56%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:29
LiveScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV +0.311%E +0.175%K +0.403%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -26.90%E -7.17%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -13.00%E -3.56%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:29
Virgin Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV +0.311%E +0.175%K +0.403%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -26.90%E -7.17%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -13.00%E -3.56%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:29
Casumo1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV +0.311%E +0.175%K +0.403%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -26.90%E -7.17%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -13.00%E -3.56%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:29
ATG (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV +0.311%E +0.175%K +0.403%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -26.90%E -7.17%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -13.00%E -3.56%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:29
Svenska Spel1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV +0.311%E +0.175%K +0.403%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -26.90%E -7.17%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -13.00%E -3.56%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:29
TABtouch1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV +0.311%E +0.175%K +0.403%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -26.90%E -7.17%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -13.00%E -3.56%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:39
Unibet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV +0.311%E +0.175%K +0.403%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -26.90%E -7.17%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -13.00%E -3.56%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:39
PMU (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV +0.311%E +0.175%K +0.403%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -26.90%E -7.17%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -13.00%E -3.56%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-16 14:05
Betr (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.38%EV -4.79%E -2.85%K -7.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -4.49%E -0.916%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.29%EV -7.04%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 17:39
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 56.97%EV -5.36%E -3.21%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.82%EV -6.44%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.21%EV -2.28%E -0.555%K -0.735%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 02:39
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 56.64%EV -5.36%E -3.21%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -6.44%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -4.66%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-21 19:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -6.49%E -3.93%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -6.44%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -4.66%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-21 21:55
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 56.54%EV -6.49%E -3.93%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.79I 20.88%NM 19.48%EV -6.63%E -1.38%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 23.98%EV -7.28%E -1.87%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-22 13:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.97%EV -7.06%E -4.30%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.67%EV -7.41%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -4.66%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 21:55
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 56.97%EV -7.06%E -4.30%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.67%EV -7.41%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -4.66%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 21:55
SportsBet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.34%EV -7.62%E -4.68%K -12.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.69%EV -2.54%E -0.508%K -0.634%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -7.04%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 17:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.49%EV -8.19%E -5.06%K -13.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -2.54%E -0.508%K -0.634%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -7.04%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-24 18:35
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 56.58%EV -8.19%E -5.06%K -13.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -10.33%E -2.25%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -7.04%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-21 19:20
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 56.47%EV -8.19%E -5.06%K -13.21%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.46%EV -8.39%E -1.78%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.07%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-22 07:35
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.23%EV -8.19%E -5.06%K -13.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -10.33%E -2.25%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-21 14:30
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 57.85%EV -8.76%E -5.44%K -14.36%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.26%EV -0.588%E -0.115%K -0.143%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -7.04%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-11 17:39
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 55.69%EV -8.76%E -5.44%K -14.36%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -15.60%E -3.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.60%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-23 14:35
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -9.32%E -5.83%K -15.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -8.39%E -1.78%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -4.66%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-19 16:45
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.00%EV -9.32%E -5.83%K -15.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -6.44%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-20 19:39
betano_uk1.60I 62.50%NM 57.00%EV -9.32%E -5.83%K -15.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -6.44%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-20 19:38
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 56.89%EV -9.32%E -5.83%K -15.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.16%EV -7.41%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-24 18:35
1xBet1.59I 62.89%NM 57.11%EV -9.89%E -6.22%K -16.76%G +0.000%4.78I 20.92%NM 19.00%EV -6.83%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-25 22:55
Marathon Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.28%EV -11.02%E -7.02%K -19.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.93%EV -7.41%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.79%EV -9.90%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-26 04:04
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 55.21%EV -11.02%E -7.02%K -19.34%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.02%EV -15.60%E -3.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.77%EV -16.58%E -4.74%K -6.63%G +0.000%15.4%2026-07-24 18:35
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 55.77%EV -11.59%E -7.43%K -20.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.71%EV -18.13%E -4.32%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.51%EV -11.81%E -3.19%K -4.37%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-22 15:39
NetBet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 56.53%EV -12.16%E -7.84%K -22.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.47%EV -12.28%E -2.73%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.00%EV -13.00%E -3.56%K -4.91%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-22 17:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (3)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.62%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%7.7%2026-07-25 11:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.62%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%7.7%2026-07-25 11:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 54.88%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%11.1%2026-07-25 11:00