Idioma:Español
York City v Crawley Town
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
York City (Local)
Predicción 57.78%1.73momio equitativo
EV -4.09%
Ventaja -2.46%
Kelly -6.20%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.66
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.65%57.72%57.73%58.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.521.621.621.6665.79%61.65%61.73%60.24%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Crawley Town (Visitante)
Predicción 19.37%5.16momio equitativo
EV -3.16%
Ventaja -0.633%
Kelly -0.791%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.85%19.42%19.38%20.42%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.334.734.705.0023.09%21.16%21.28%20.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 22.86%4.38momio equitativo
EV -1.03%
Ventaja -0.238%
Kelly -0.310%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.81%22.87%22.88%24.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.754.003.984.3326.67%24.98%25.16%23.09%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: York City (Local): 57.78%; Crawley Town (Visitante): 19.37%; Empate: 22.86%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.38. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 4.33, con un valor esperado de -1.03%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (42 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.22%EV -4.09%E -2.46%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -8.97%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-03 17:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.22%EV -4.09%E -2.46%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -8.97%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-03 17:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.22%EV -4.09%E -2.46%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -8.97%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-03 17:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.22%EV -4.09%E -2.46%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -8.97%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-03 17:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.22%EV -4.09%E -2.46%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -8.97%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-03 17:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.22%EV -4.09%E -2.46%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -8.97%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-03 17:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.22%EV -4.09%E -2.46%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -8.97%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-03 17:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.22%EV -4.09%E -2.46%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -8.97%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-03 17:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.22%EV -4.09%E -2.46%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -8.97%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-03 17:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.22%EV -4.09%E -2.46%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -8.97%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-03 17:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.22%EV -4.09%E -2.46%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -8.97%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-03 17:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.98%EV -4.67%E -2.83%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.93%EV -7.04%E -1.47%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.09%EV -1.03%E -0.238%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-03 18:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.67%E -2.83%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.27%EV -4.13%E -0.835%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 22.93%EV -4.92%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 18:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.67%E -2.83%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.27%EV -4.13%E -0.835%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 22.93%EV -4.92%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 18:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.25%E -3.20%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.93I 20.28%NM 19.24%EV -4.52%E -0.917%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 22.91%EV -5.37%E -1.30%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 18:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.64%EV -5.83%E -3.57%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 4.92I 20.33%NM 19.10%EV -4.71%E -0.958%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.26%EV -7.66%E -1.90%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 18:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.57%EV -5.83%E -3.57%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -7.04%E -1.47%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -6.29%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-03 18:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.65%EV -5.83%E -3.57%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -12.85%E -2.85%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -14.29%E -3.81%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-03 18:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -3.16%E -0.633%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -4.00%E -0.953%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 18:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -3.16%E -0.633%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -4.00%E -0.953%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 16:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.30%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -8.00%E -1.69%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -1.03%E -0.238%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-03 18:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -3.16%E -0.633%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -6.29%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-03 17:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -8.00%E -1.69%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -4.00%E -0.953%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-03 17:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -8.00%E -1.69%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -4.00%E -0.953%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-03 17:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -8.00%E -1.69%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-03 18:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.23%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -10.91%E -2.37%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -13.15%E -3.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-03 17:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.23%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -10.91%E -2.37%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -13.15%E -3.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-03 17:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.23%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -10.91%E -2.37%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -13.15%E -3.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-03 17:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -6.98%E -4.34%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -3.16%E -0.633%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -4.00%E -0.953%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-03 18:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -6.98%E -4.34%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -3.16%E -0.633%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -4.00%E -0.953%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-03 18:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.18%EV -6.98%E -4.34%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -7.04%E -1.47%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -4.00%E -0.953%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-03 17:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.87%EV -6.98%E -4.34%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.41%EV -7.04%E -1.47%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -6.29%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-03 18:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.81%EV -6.98%E -4.34%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -12.85%E -2.85%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-03 17:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -7.56%E -4.72%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -8.97%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-03 17:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -7.56%E -4.72%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -8.97%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-03 18:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.59%EV -8.71%E -5.52%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -12.85%E -2.85%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -6.29%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-03 18:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.34%EV -9.29%E -5.92%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.57%EV -10.91%E -2.37%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-03 18:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.26%EV -9.29%E -5.92%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.98%EV -12.85%E -2.85%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.76%EV -9.72%E -2.46%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-03 18:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.75%EV -9.29%E -5.92%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -12.85%E -2.85%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -13.15%E -3.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-03 18:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.31%EV -9.29%E -5.92%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.42%EV -16.14%E -3.73%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.27%EV -13.15%E -3.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-03 18:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.60%EV -9.87%E -6.33%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.12%EV -8.97%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 23.28%EV -11.77%E -3.05%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-03 18:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 57.54%EV -12.18%E -8.01%K -23.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.44%EV -12.85%E -2.85%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.02%EV -13.15%E -3.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-03 17:29 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.86% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.52% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.62% | 0.5% | 2026-08-03 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.86% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.52% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.62% | 0.5% | 2026-08-03 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.86% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.52% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.62% | 0.5% | 2026-08-03 18:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.86% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.52% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.62% | 0.5% | 2026-08-03 18:20 |