La scuola delle quote

York City v Crawley Town

2026-08-03 18:30 UTC — EFL Cup

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36 bookmaker (10 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

York City (Casa)

Previsione 56.67%1.76quota equa
EV +0.311%
Vantaggio +0.175%
Kelly +0.403%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.77

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
51.10%56.27%56.64%57.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.551.671.651.7764.52%59.82%60.79%56.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Crawley Town (Trasferta)

Previsione 19.49%5.13quota equa
EV -0.588%
Vantaggio -0.115%
Kelly -0.143%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.26%19.92%19.48%24.12%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.754.374.605.1026.67%22.88%21.74%19.61%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 23.83%4.20quota equa
EV -2.28%
Vantaggio -0.555%
Kelly -0.735%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.98%23.82%23.88%24.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.503.783.794.1028.57%26.44%26.39%24.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (36 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
BetRivers1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV +0.311%E +0.175%K +0.403%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -26.90%E -7.17%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -13.00%E -3.56%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 05:19
betPARX1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV +0.311%E +0.175%K +0.403%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -26.90%E -7.17%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -13.00%E -3.56%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:09
Unibet (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV +0.311%E +0.175%K +0.403%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -26.90%E -7.17%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -13.00%E -3.56%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV +0.311%E +0.175%K +0.403%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -26.90%E -7.17%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -13.00%E -3.56%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:30
Grosvenor1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV +0.311%E +0.175%K +0.403%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -26.90%E -7.17%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -13.00%E -3.56%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:29
LiveScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV +0.311%E +0.175%K +0.403%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -26.90%E -7.17%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -13.00%E -3.56%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:29
Virgin Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV +0.311%E +0.175%K +0.403%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -26.90%E -7.17%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -13.00%E -3.56%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:29
Casumo1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV +0.311%E +0.175%K +0.403%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -26.90%E -7.17%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -13.00%E -3.56%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:29
ATG (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV +0.311%E +0.175%K +0.403%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -26.90%E -7.17%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -13.00%E -3.56%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:29
Svenska Spel1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV +0.311%E +0.175%K +0.403%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -26.90%E -7.17%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -13.00%E -3.56%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:29
TABtouch1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV +0.311%E +0.175%K +0.403%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -26.90%E -7.17%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -13.00%E -3.56%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:39
Unibet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV +0.311%E +0.175%K +0.403%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -26.90%E -7.17%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -13.00%E -3.56%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:39
PMU (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV +0.311%E +0.175%K +0.403%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -26.90%E -7.17%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -13.00%E -3.56%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-16 14:05
Betr (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.38%EV -4.79%E -2.85%K -7.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -4.49%E -0.916%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.29%EV -7.04%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 17:39
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 56.97%EV -5.36%E -3.21%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.82%EV -6.44%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.21%EV -2.28%E -0.555%K -0.735%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 02:39
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 56.64%EV -5.36%E -3.21%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -6.44%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -4.66%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-21 19:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -6.49%E -3.93%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -6.44%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -4.66%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-21 21:55
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 56.54%EV -6.49%E -3.93%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.79I 20.88%NM 19.48%EV -6.63%E -1.38%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 23.98%EV -7.28%E -1.87%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-22 13:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.97%EV -7.06%E -4.30%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.67%EV -7.41%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -4.66%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 21:55
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 56.97%EV -7.06%E -4.30%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.67%EV -7.41%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -4.66%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 21:55
SportsBet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.34%EV -7.62%E -4.68%K -12.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.69%EV -2.54%E -0.508%K -0.634%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -7.04%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 17:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.49%EV -8.19%E -5.06%K -13.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -2.54%E -0.508%K -0.634%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -7.04%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-24 18:35
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 56.58%EV -8.19%E -5.06%K -13.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -10.33%E -2.25%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -7.04%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-21 19:20
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 56.47%EV -8.19%E -5.06%K -13.21%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.46%EV -8.39%E -1.78%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.07%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-22 07:35
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.23%EV -8.19%E -5.06%K -13.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -10.33%E -2.25%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-21 14:30
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 57.85%EV -8.76%E -5.44%K -14.36%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.26%EV -0.588%E -0.115%K -0.143%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -7.04%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-11 17:39
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 55.69%EV -8.76%E -5.44%K -14.36%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -15.60%E -3.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.60%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-23 14:35
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -9.32%E -5.83%K -15.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -8.39%E -1.78%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -4.66%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-19 16:45
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.00%EV -9.32%E -5.83%K -15.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -6.44%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-20 19:39
betano_uk1.60I 62.50%NM 57.00%EV -9.32%E -5.83%K -15.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -6.44%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-20 19:38
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 56.89%EV -9.32%E -5.83%K -15.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.16%EV -7.41%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-24 18:35
1xBet1.59I 62.89%NM 57.13%EV -9.89%E -6.22%K -16.76%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 18.84%EV -6.05%E -1.25%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.03%EV -9.90%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 06:40
Marathon Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.28%EV -11.02%E -7.02%K -19.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.93%EV -7.41%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.79%EV -9.90%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-26 06:34
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 55.21%EV -11.02%E -7.02%K -19.34%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.02%EV -15.60%E -3.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.77%EV -16.58%E -4.74%K -6.63%G +0.000%15.4%2026-07-24 18:35
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 55.77%EV -11.59%E -7.43%K -20.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.71%EV -18.13%E -4.32%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.51%EV -11.81%E -3.19%K -4.37%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-22 15:39
NetBet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 56.53%EV -12.16%E -7.84%K -22.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.47%EV -12.28%E -2.73%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.00%EV -13.00%E -3.56%K -4.91%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-22 17:59
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.62%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%7.7%2026-07-25 11:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.62%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%7.7%2026-07-25 11:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 54.88%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%11.1%2026-07-25 11:00