Language:English
Watford v Peterborough United
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Watford (Local)
Prediction 43.40%2.30fair odd
EV -1.92%
Edge -0.848%
Kelly -1.52%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.26
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.32%43.54%43.43%46.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.932.132.142.2651.81%46.92%46.73%44.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Peterborough United (Visit)
Prediction 30.38%3.29fair odd
EV +0.261%
Edge +0.079%
Kelly +0.113%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.48%30.26%30.40%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.063.103.3034.48%32.70%32.26%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.22%3.81fair odd
EV -0.372%
Edge -0.098%
Kelly -0.133%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.92%26.20%26.17%27.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.533.603.8030.30%28.30%27.78%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Watford (Local): 43.40%; Peterborough United (Visit): 30.38%; Draw: 26.22%. For Peterborough United (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.29. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.261%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.98%EV -16.24%E -8.41%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV +0.261%E +0.079%K +0.113%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -6.93%E -1.95%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-25 18:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.36%EV -3.65%E -1.65%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.90%EV -2.17%E -0.674%K -0.977%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.74%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.76%EV -3.08%E -0.966%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.08%EV -4.57%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.17%EV -4.52%E -2.05%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.44%EV -5.21%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-25 18:28 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.17%EV -4.52%E -2.05%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.44%EV -5.21%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-25 18:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.11%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.59%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -1.68%E -0.449%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-25 18:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -4.52%E -2.05%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -8.24%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-25 18:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-25 18:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-25 18:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-25 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-25 18:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-25 18:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-25 18:28 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -7.12%E -3.33%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -7.12%E -3.33%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-25 18:38 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -7.12%E -3.33%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -7.12%E -3.33%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -7.12%E -3.33%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -7.12%E -3.33%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -7.12%E -3.33%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -7.12%E -3.33%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -7.12%E -3.33%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -7.12%E -3.33%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.24%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-25 18:23 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -11.03%E -5.38%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-25 18:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.59%EV -1.92%E -0.848%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.25%EV -6.42%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.16%EV -3.52%E -0.956%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -2.35%E -1.04%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -7.33%E -2.40%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-25 18:38 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -2.35%E -1.04%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -7.33%E -2.40%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.04%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -7.33%E -2.40%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.92%EV -0.372%E -0.098%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-25 18:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -4.52%E -2.05%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -7.33%E -2.40%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -8.24%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-25 18:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -7.33%E -2.40%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -6.93%E -1.95%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-25 18:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -6.93%E -1.95%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-25 18:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.25%EV -7.99%E -3.77%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.24%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.24%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-25 18:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.86%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-25 18:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -13.48%E -4.09%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-25 18:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -13.48%E -4.09%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-25 18:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -13.48%E -4.09%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-25 18:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -13.48%E -4.09%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.97%EV -12.33%E -6.10%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 29.91%EV -9.77%E -3.29%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.12%EV -10.86%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-25 18:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.35%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -10.37%E -3.52%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -10.86%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-25 18:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.35%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -10.37%E -3.52%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -10.86%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-25 18:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.88%EV -12.33%E -6.10%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.05%EV -10.37%E -3.52%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.07%EV -10.86%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.88%EV -12.33%E -6.10%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.05%EV -10.37%E -3.52%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.07%EV -10.86%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.88%EV -12.33%E -6.10%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.05%EV -10.37%E -3.52%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.07%EV -10.86%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -11.03%E -5.38%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -11.89%E -4.10%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -8.24%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-25 18:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -11.89%E -4.10%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.48%E -4.09%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-25 18:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46% | 0.8% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.67% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.40% | 1.0% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.25% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36% | 1.1% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.25% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36% | 1.1% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |