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Watford v Peterborough United
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Watford (Хозяева)
Прогноз 43.40%2.30справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.92%
Преимущество -0.848%
Kelly -1.52%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.26
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
42.32%43.54%43.43%46.98%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.932.132.142.2651.81%46.92%46.73%44.25%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Peterborough United (Гости)
Прогноз 30.38%3.29справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.261%
Преимущество +0.079%
Kelly +0.113%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.30
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
27.48%30.26%30.40%31.25%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.903.063.103.3034.48%32.70%32.26%30.30%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 26.22%3.81справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.372%
Преимущество -0.098%
Kelly -0.133%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.80
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
24.92%26.20%26.17%27.24%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.303.533.603.8030.30%28.30%27.78%26.32%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Watford (Хозяева): 43.40%; Peterborough United (Гости): 30.38%; Ничья: 26.22%. Для исхода «Peterborough United (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.29. 1 букмекер предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 3.30, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +0.261%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (48 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.98%EV -16.24%E -8.41%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV +0.261%E +0.079%K +0.113%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -6.93%E -1.95%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-25 18:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.36%EV -3.65%E -1.65%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.90%EV -2.17%E -0.674%K -0.977%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.74%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.76%EV -3.08%E -0.966%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.08%EV -4.57%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.17%EV -4.52%E -2.05%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.44%EV -5.21%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-25 18:28 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.17%EV -4.52%E -2.05%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.44%EV -5.21%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-25 18:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.11%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.59%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -1.68%E -0.449%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-25 18:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -4.52%E -2.05%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -8.24%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-25 18:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-25 18:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-25 18:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-25 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-25 18:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-25 18:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-25 18:28 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -7.12%E -3.33%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -7.12%E -3.33%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-25 18:38 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -7.12%E -3.33%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -7.12%E -3.33%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -7.12%E -3.33%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -7.12%E -3.33%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -7.12%E -3.33%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -7.12%E -3.33%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -7.12%E -3.33%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -7.12%E -3.33%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.24%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-25 18:23 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -11.03%E -5.38%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-25 18:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.59%EV -1.92%E -0.848%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.25%EV -6.42%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.16%EV -3.52%E -0.956%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -2.35%E -1.04%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -7.33%E -2.40%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-25 18:38 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -2.35%E -1.04%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -7.33%E -2.40%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.04%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -7.33%E -2.40%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.92%EV -0.372%E -0.098%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-25 18:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -4.52%E -2.05%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -7.33%E -2.40%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -8.24%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-25 18:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -7.33%E -2.40%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -6.93%E -1.95%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-25 18:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -6.93%E -1.95%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-25 18:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.25%EV -7.99%E -3.77%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.24%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.24%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-25 18:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.86%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-25 18:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -13.48%E -4.09%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-25 18:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -13.48%E -4.09%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-25 18:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -13.48%E -4.09%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-25 18:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -13.48%E -4.09%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.97%EV -12.33%E -6.10%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 29.91%EV -9.77%E -3.29%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.12%EV -10.86%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-25 18:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.35%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -10.37%E -3.52%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -10.86%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-25 18:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.35%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -10.37%E -3.52%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -10.86%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-25 18:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.88%EV -12.33%E -6.10%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.05%EV -10.37%E -3.52%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.07%EV -10.86%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.88%EV -12.33%E -6.10%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.05%EV -10.37%E -3.52%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.07%EV -10.86%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.88%EV -12.33%E -6.10%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.05%EV -10.37%E -3.52%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.07%EV -10.86%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -11.03%E -5.38%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -11.89%E -4.10%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -8.24%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-25 18:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -11.89%E -4.10%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.48%E -4.09%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-25 18:29 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (4)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46% | 0.8% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.67% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.40% | 1.0% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.25% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36% | 1.1% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.25% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36% | 1.1% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |