Idioma:Español
Watford v Peterborough United
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Watford (Local)
Predicción 43.40%2.30momio equitativo
EV -1.92%
Ventaja -0.848%
Kelly -1.52%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.26
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.32%43.54%43.43%46.98%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.932.132.142.2651.81%46.92%46.73%44.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Peterborough United (Visitante)
Predicción 30.38%3.29momio equitativo
EV +0.261%
Ventaja +0.079%
Kelly +0.113%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.48%30.26%30.40%31.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.903.063.103.3034.48%32.70%32.26%30.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 26.22%3.81momio equitativo
EV -0.372%
Ventaja -0.098%
Kelly -0.133%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.92%26.20%26.17%27.24%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.303.533.603.8030.30%28.30%27.78%26.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Watford (Local): 43.40%; Peterborough United (Visitante): 30.38%; Empate: 26.22%. Para Peterborough United (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.29. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.30, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.261%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.98%EV -16.24%E -8.41%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV +0.261%E +0.079%K +0.113%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -6.93%E -1.95%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-25 18:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.36%EV -3.65%E -1.65%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.90%EV -2.17%E -0.674%K -0.977%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.74%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.76%EV -3.08%E -0.966%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.08%EV -4.57%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.17%EV -4.52%E -2.05%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.44%EV -5.21%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-25 18:28 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.17%EV -4.52%E -2.05%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.44%EV -5.21%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-25 18:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.11%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.59%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -1.68%E -0.449%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-25 18:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -4.52%E -2.05%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -8.24%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-25 18:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-25 18:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-25 18:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-25 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-25 18:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-25 18:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-25 18:28 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -7.12%E -3.33%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -7.12%E -3.33%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-25 18:38 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -7.12%E -3.33%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -7.12%E -3.33%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -7.12%E -3.33%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -7.12%E -3.33%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -7.12%E -3.33%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -7.12%E -3.33%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -7.12%E -3.33%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -7.12%E -3.33%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.24%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-25 18:23 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -11.03%E -5.38%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-25 18:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.59%EV -1.92%E -0.848%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.25%EV -6.42%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.16%EV -3.52%E -0.956%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -2.35%E -1.04%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -7.33%E -2.40%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-25 18:38 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -2.35%E -1.04%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -7.33%E -2.40%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.04%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -7.33%E -2.40%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.92%EV -0.372%E -0.098%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-25 18:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -4.52%E -2.05%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -7.33%E -2.40%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -8.24%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-25 18:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -7.33%E -2.40%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -6.93%E -1.95%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-25 18:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -6.93%E -1.95%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-25 18:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.25%EV -7.99%E -3.77%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.24%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.24%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-25 18:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.86%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-25 18:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -13.48%E -4.09%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-25 18:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -13.48%E -4.09%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-25 18:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -13.48%E -4.09%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-25 18:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -13.48%E -4.09%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.97%EV -12.33%E -6.10%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 29.91%EV -9.77%E -3.29%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.12%EV -10.86%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-25 18:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.35%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -10.37%E -3.52%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -10.86%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-25 18:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.35%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -10.37%E -3.52%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -10.86%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-25 18:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.88%EV -12.33%E -6.10%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.05%EV -10.37%E -3.52%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.07%EV -10.86%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.88%EV -12.33%E -6.10%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.05%EV -10.37%E -3.52%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.07%EV -10.86%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.88%EV -12.33%E -6.10%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.05%EV -10.37%E -3.52%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.07%EV -10.86%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -11.03%E -5.38%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -11.89%E -4.10%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -8.24%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-25 18:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -11.89%E -4.10%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.48%E -4.09%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-25 18:29 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46% | 0.8% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.67% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.40% | 1.0% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.25% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36% | 1.1% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.25% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36% | 1.1% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |