StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Watford v Peterborough United

Matchstart: 2026-08-25 18:45 UTC

Slutresultat: Watford 1–5 Peterborough United

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

48 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Watford (Hemma)

Prognos 43.40%2.30rättvist odds
EV -1.92%
Fördel -0.848%
Kelly -1.52%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.26

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
42.32%43.54%43.43%46.98%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.932.132.142.2651.81%46.92%46.73%44.25%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Peterborough United (Borta)

Prognos 30.38%3.29rättvist odds
EV +0.261%
Fördel +0.079%
Kelly +0.113%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.30

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
27.48%30.26%30.40%31.25%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.903.063.103.3034.48%32.70%32.26%30.30%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 26.22%3.81rättvist odds
EV -0.372%
Fördel -0.098%
Kelly -0.133%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.80

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
24.92%26.20%26.17%27.24%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.303.533.603.8030.30%28.30%27.78%26.32%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Watford (Hemma): 43.40%; Peterborough United (Borta): 30.38%; Oavgjort: 26.22%. För Peterborough United (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.29. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.30, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +0.261%.

Spelbolagsodds (48 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.98%EV -16.24%E -8.41%K -17.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV +0.261%E +0.079%K +0.113%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -6.93%E -1.95%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-25 18:14
Marathon Bet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.36%EV -3.65%E -1.65%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.90%EV -2.17%E -0.674%K -0.977%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.74%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-25 18:39
1xBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.76%EV -3.08%E -0.966%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.08%EV -4.57%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-25 18:35
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.17%EV -4.52%E -2.05%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.44%EV -5.21%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-25 18:28
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.17%EV -4.52%E -2.05%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.44%EV -5.21%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-25 18:29
Coolbet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.11%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.59%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -1.68%E -0.449%K -0.612%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-25 18:24
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -4.52%E -2.05%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -8.24%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-25 18:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-25 18:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-25 18:30
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-25 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-25 18:29
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-25 18:30
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-25 18:28
Unibet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -7.12%E -3.33%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-25 18:39
betPARX🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -7.12%E -3.33%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-25 18:38
TABtouch🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -7.12%E -3.33%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-25 18:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -7.12%E -3.33%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-25 18:39
Grosvenor🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -7.12%E -3.33%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-25 18:39
Svenska Spel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -7.12%E -3.33%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-25 18:39
Unibet (NL)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -7.12%E -3.33%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-25 18:39
Unibet (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -7.12%E -3.33%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-25 18:39
Casumo🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -7.12%E -3.33%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-25 18:39
ATG (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -7.12%E -3.33%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-25 18:39
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.24%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-25 18:23
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -11.03%E -5.38%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-25 18:19
Pinnacle🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.59%EV -1.92%E -0.848%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.25%EV -6.42%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.16%EV -3.52%E -0.956%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-25 18:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -2.35%E -1.04%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -7.33%E -2.40%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 18:38
LowVig.ag🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -2.35%E -1.04%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -7.33%E -2.40%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 18:39
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.04%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -7.33%E -2.40%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.92%EV -0.372%E -0.098%K -0.133%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-25 18:24
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -4.52%E -2.05%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -7.33%E -2.40%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -8.24%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-25 18:30
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -7.33%E -2.40%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -6.93%E -1.95%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-25 18:34
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-25 18:39
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -6.93%E -1.95%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-25 18:30
LeoVegas🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.25%EV -7.99%E -3.77%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.24%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-25 18:39
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.24%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-25 18:30
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.86%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-25 18:29
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -13.48%E -4.09%K -5.86%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-25 18:34
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -13.48%E -4.09%K -5.86%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-25 18:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -13.48%E -4.09%K -5.86%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-25 18:34
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -13.48%E -4.09%K -5.86%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-25 18:35
NetBet (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.97%EV -12.33%E -6.10%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 29.91%EV -9.77%E -3.29%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.12%EV -10.86%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-25 18:30
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.35%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -10.37%E -3.52%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -10.86%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-25 18:30
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.35%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -10.37%E -3.52%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -10.86%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-25 18:24
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.88%EV -12.33%E -6.10%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.05%EV -10.37%E -3.52%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.07%EV -10.86%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-25 18:39
LiveScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.88%EV -12.33%E -6.10%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.05%EV -10.37%E -3.52%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.07%EV -10.86%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-25 18:39
PMU (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.88%EV -12.33%E -6.10%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.05%EV -10.37%E -3.52%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.07%EV -10.86%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-25 18:39
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -11.03%E -5.38%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -11.89%E -4.10%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -8.24%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-25 18:29
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -11.89%E -4.10%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.48%E -4.09%K -5.86%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-25 18:29
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%0.8%2026-08-25 18:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.67%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.40%1.0%2026-08-25 18:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.25%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%1.1%2026-08-25 18:39
Matchbook◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.25%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%1.1%2026-08-25 18:39