Langue:Français
Watford v Peterborough United
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Watford (Local)
Prévision 43.40%2.30cote équitable
EV -1.92%
Avantage -0.848%
Kelly -1.52%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.26
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.32%43.54%43.43%46.98%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.932.132.142.2651.81%46.92%46.73%44.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Peterborough United (Visiteur)
Prévision 30.38%3.29cote équitable
EV +0.261%
Avantage +0.079%
Kelly +0.113%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.48%30.26%30.40%31.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.903.063.103.3034.48%32.70%32.26%30.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 26.22%3.81cote équitable
EV -0.372%
Avantage -0.098%
Kelly -0.133%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.92%26.20%26.17%27.24%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.533.603.8030.30%28.30%27.78%26.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Watford (Local) : 43.40% ; Peterborough United (Visiteur) : 30.38% ; Match nul : 26.22%. Pour Peterborough United (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.29. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.30, soit une espérance positive de +0.261%.
Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.98%EV -16.24%E -8.41%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV +0.261%E +0.079%K +0.113%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -6.93%E -1.95%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-25 18:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.36%EV -3.65%E -1.65%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.90%EV -2.17%E -0.674%K -0.977%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.74%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.76%EV -3.08%E -0.966%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.08%EV -4.57%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.17%EV -4.52%E -2.05%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.44%EV -5.21%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-25 18:28 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.17%EV -4.52%E -2.05%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.44%EV -5.21%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-25 18:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.11%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.59%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -1.68%E -0.449%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-25 18:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -4.52%E -2.05%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -8.24%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-25 18:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-25 18:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-25 18:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-25 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-25 18:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-25 18:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-25 18:28 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -7.12%E -3.33%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -7.12%E -3.33%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-25 18:38 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -7.12%E -3.33%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -7.12%E -3.33%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -7.12%E -3.33%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -7.12%E -3.33%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -7.12%E -3.33%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -7.12%E -3.33%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -7.12%E -3.33%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -7.12%E -3.33%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.24%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-25 18:23 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -11.03%E -5.38%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-25 18:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.59%EV -1.92%E -0.848%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.25%EV -6.42%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.16%EV -3.52%E -0.956%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -2.35%E -1.04%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -7.33%E -2.40%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-25 18:38 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -2.35%E -1.04%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -7.33%E -2.40%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.04%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -7.33%E -2.40%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.92%EV -0.372%E -0.098%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-25 18:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -4.52%E -2.05%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -7.33%E -2.40%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -8.24%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-25 18:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -7.33%E -2.40%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -6.93%E -1.95%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-25 18:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -6.93%E -1.95%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-25 18:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.25%EV -7.99%E -3.77%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.24%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.24%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-25 18:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.86%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-25 18:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -13.48%E -4.09%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-25 18:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -13.48%E -4.09%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-25 18:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -13.48%E -4.09%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-25 18:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -13.48%E -4.09%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.97%EV -12.33%E -6.10%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 29.91%EV -9.77%E -3.29%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.12%EV -10.86%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-25 18:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.35%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -10.37%E -3.52%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -10.86%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-25 18:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.35%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -10.37%E -3.52%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -10.86%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-25 18:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.88%EV -12.33%E -6.10%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.05%EV -10.37%E -3.52%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.07%EV -10.86%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.88%EV -12.33%E -6.10%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.05%EV -10.37%E -3.52%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.07%EV -10.86%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.88%EV -12.33%E -6.10%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.05%EV -10.37%E -3.52%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.07%EV -10.86%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -11.03%E -5.38%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -11.89%E -4.10%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -8.24%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-25 18:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -11.89%E -4.10%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.48%E -4.09%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-25 18:29 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46% | 0.8% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.67% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.40% | 1.0% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.25% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36% | 1.1% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.25% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36% | 1.1% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |