语言:简体中文
Manchester City v Norwich City
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Manchester City (主队)
预测 81.00%1.23公平赔率
EV -2.79%
优势 -2.33%
Kelly -13.97%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.20
博彩公司预测分布
78.86%80.92%80.97%84.04%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.101.151.151.2090.91%86.97%86.96%83.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
Norwich City (客队)
预测 6.59%15.18公平赔率
EV +51.47%
优势 +2.24%
Kelly +2.34%
增长率 +1.20%
假设最高赔率为 23.00
博彩公司预测分布
4.13%6.53%6.55%8.34%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
11.0014.9815.0023.009.09%6.68%6.67%4.35%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 12.41%8.06公平赔率
EV +11.69%
优势 +1.30%
Kelly +1.46%
增长率 +0.171%
假设最高赔率为 9.00
博彩公司预测分布
10.83%12.55%12.48%14.34%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
6.507.567.509.0015.38%13.22%13.33%11.11%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Manchester City (主队)：81.00%；Norwich City (客队)：6.59%；平局：12.41%。 对于“Norwich City (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为15.18。 当时有15家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为23.00，对应+51.47%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (50 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.01%EV -8.46%E -7.49%K -65.11%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.13%EV +51.47%E +2.24%K +2.34%G +1.20% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.87%EV -0.724%E -0.091%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-17 18:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.01%EV -8.46%E -7.49%K -65.11%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.13%EV +51.47%E +2.24%K +2.34%G +1.20% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.87%EV -0.724%E -0.091%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-17 18:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 83.20%EV -5.22%E -4.47%K -30.73%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.64%EV +38.30%E +1.82%K +1.92%G +0.733% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.17%EV -0.724%E -0.091%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-09-17 18:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.04%EV -6.03%E -5.20%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.13%EV +25.13%E +1.32%K +1.40%G +0.351% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.83%EV +11.69%E +1.30%K +1.46%G +0.171% | 2.6% | 2026-09-17 18:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.04%EV -6.03%E -5.20%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.13%EV +25.13%E +1.32%K +1.40%G +0.351% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.83%EV +11.69%E +1.30%K +1.46%G +0.171% | 2.6% | 2026-09-17 18:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.24%EV -7.65%E -6.71%K -54.68%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.58%EV +11.96%E +0.703%K +0.747%G +0.089% | 8.49I 11.78%NM 11.18%EV +5.36%E +0.631%K +0.715%G +0.038% | 5.4% | 2026-09-17 18:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -4.41%E -3.74%K -24.52%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.01%EV +5.37%E +0.336%K +0.358%G +0.019% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.49%EV -4.45%E -0.578%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-17 18:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.52%EV -8.46%E -7.49%K -65.11%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.83%EV +5.37%E +0.336%K +0.358%G +0.019% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -0.724%E -0.091%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-17 18:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.52%EV -8.46%E -7.49%K -65.11%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.83%EV +5.37%E +0.336%K +0.358%G +0.019% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -0.724%E -0.091%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-17 18:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.52%EV -8.46%E -7.49%K -65.11%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.83%EV +5.37%E +0.336%K +0.358%G +0.019% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -0.724%E -0.091%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-17 18:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.52%EV -8.46%E -7.49%K -65.11%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.83%EV +5.37%E +0.336%K +0.358%G +0.019% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -0.724%E -0.091%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-17 18:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.52%EV -8.46%E -7.49%K -65.11%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.83%EV +5.37%E +0.336%K +0.358%G +0.019% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -0.724%E -0.091%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-17 18:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.52%EV -8.46%E -7.49%K -65.11%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.83%EV +5.37%E +0.336%K +0.358%G +0.019% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -0.724%E -0.091%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-17 18:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.52%EV -8.46%E -7.49%K -65.11%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.83%EV +5.37%E +0.336%K +0.358%G +0.019% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -0.724%E -0.091%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-17 18:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.75%EV -7.65%E -6.71%K -54.68%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.82%EV +5.37%E +0.336%K +0.358%G +0.019% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -6.93%E -0.924%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-17 18:09 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.94%EV -6.84%E -5.95%K -45.63%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -1.21%E -0.081%K -0.087%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -0.724%E -0.091%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-17 18:23 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.94%EV -6.84%E -5.95%K -45.63%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -1.21%E -0.081%K -0.087%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -0.724%E -0.091%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-17 18:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.03%E -5.20%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -1.21%E -0.081%K -0.087%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.55%EV -6.93%E -0.924%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-17 18:18 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.63%EV -6.84%E -5.95%K -45.63%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.26%EV -1.21%E -0.081%K -0.087%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.11%EV -3.83%E -0.494%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-17 18:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -7.65%E -6.71%K -54.68%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -1.21%E -0.081%K -0.087%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -0.724%E -0.091%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-17 18:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.95%EV -6.84%E -5.95%K -45.63%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.21%EV -1.21%E -0.081%K -0.087%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.84%EV -10.03%E -1.38%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-17 18:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.49%EV -5.22%E -4.47%K -30.73%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.20%EV -1.21%E -0.081%K -0.087%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -19.34%E -2.98%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-17 18:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.49%EV -5.22%E -4.47%K -30.73%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.20%EV -1.21%E -0.081%K -0.087%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -19.34%E -2.98%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-17 18:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.49%EV -5.22%E -4.47%K -30.73%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.20%EV -1.21%E -0.081%K -0.087%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -19.34%E -2.98%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-17 18:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.20%EV -8.46%E -7.49%K -65.11%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -1.21%E -0.081%K -0.087%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -0.724%E -0.091%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-17 18:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.20%EV -8.46%E -7.49%K -65.11%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -1.21%E -0.081%K -0.087%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -0.724%E -0.091%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-17 18:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.77%EV -6.84%E -5.95%K -45.63%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.12%EV -1.21%E -0.081%K -0.087%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -19.34%E -2.98%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-17 18:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.74%EV -2.79%E -2.33%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.68%EV -4.51%E -0.311%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.58%EV -4.45%E -0.578%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-17 18:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.22%EV -3.60%E -3.03%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.50%EV -4.51%E -0.311%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.28%EV -18.10%E -2.74%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-17 18:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.22%EV -3.60%E -3.03%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.50%EV -4.51%E -0.311%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.28%EV -18.10%E -2.74%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-17 18:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 81.32%EV -10.08%E -9.09%K -91.68%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.23%EV -4.51%E -0.311%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.45%EV -10.03%E -1.38%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-17 18:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.67%EV -5.22%E -4.47%K -30.73%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.74%EV -7.80%E -0.557%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV -6.93%E -0.924%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-17 18:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.00%EV -4.41%E -3.74%K -24.52%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.66%EV -7.80%E -0.557%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.34%EV -19.34%E -2.98%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-17 18:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.21%EV -8.46%E -7.49%K -65.11%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.55%EV -7.80%E -0.557%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -6.93%E -0.924%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-17 18:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.34%EV -9.27%E -8.28%K -77.29%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.51%EV -7.80%E -0.557%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -6.93%E -0.924%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-17 18:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.34%EV -9.27%E -8.28%K -77.29%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.51%EV -7.80%E -0.557%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -6.93%E -0.924%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-17 18:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 81.62%EV -10.89%E -9.90%K -108.95%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.41%EV -7.80%E -0.557%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.97%EV -6.93%E -0.924%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-17 18:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 80.79%EV -8.46%E -7.49%K -65.11%G +0.000% | 13.45I 7.43%NM 6.79%EV -11.42%E -0.849%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 7.35I 13.61%NM 12.42%EV -8.79%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-17 18:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.12%EV -4.41%E -3.74%K -24.52%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV -14.39%E -1.11%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -6.93%E -0.924%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-17 18:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.39%EV -6.03%E -5.20%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.17%EV -14.39%E -1.11%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -6.93%E -0.924%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-17 18:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -5.22%E -4.47%K -30.73%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -14.39%E -1.11%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -13.13%E -1.88%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-17 18:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.82%EV -6.84%E -5.95%K -45.63%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.06%EV -14.39%E -1.11%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -13.13%E -1.88%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-17 18:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 80.39%EV -10.08%E -9.09%K -91.68%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.86%EV -14.39%E -1.11%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -13.13%E -1.88%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-17 18:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.48%EV -6.03%E -5.20%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.47%EV -17.68%E -1.41%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.05%EV -3.83%E -0.494%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-17 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.37%EV -2.79%E -2.33%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.94%EV -20.97%E -1.75%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.70%EV -6.93%E -0.924%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-17 18:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.37%EV -2.79%E -2.33%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.94%EV -20.97%E -1.75%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.70%EV -6.93%E -0.924%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-17 18:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -6.03%E -5.20%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -20.97%E -1.75%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -0.724%E -0.091%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-17 18:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 78.86%EV -8.46%E -7.49%K -65.11%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.43%EV -20.97%E -1.75%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.71%EV -19.34%E -2.98%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-17 18:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.81%EV -6.84%E -5.95%K -45.63%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.34%EV -27.56%E -2.51%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.84%EV -3.83%E -0.494%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-17 18:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.64%EV -7.65%E -6.71%K -54.68%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.25%EV -27.56%E -2.51%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV -6.93%E -0.924%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-17 18:25 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (4)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 83.03% | 19.50I 5.13%NM 5.11% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86% | 0.4% | 2026-09-17 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.63% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.52% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.85% | 0.5% | 2026-09-17 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.63% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.52% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.85% | 0.5% | 2026-09-17 18:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.25% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.95% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.79% | 0.9% | 2026-09-17 18:25 |