Idioma:Español
Manchester City v Norwich City
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Manchester City (Local)
Predicción 81.00%1.23momio equitativo
EV -2.79%
Ventaja -2.33%
Kelly -13.97%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
78.86%80.92%80.97%84.04%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.101.151.151.2090.91%86.97%86.96%83.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Norwich City (Visitante)
Predicción 6.59%15.18momio equitativo
EV +51.47%
Ventaja +2.24%
Kelly +2.34%
Crecimiento +1.20%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 23.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
4.13%6.53%6.55%8.34%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
11.0014.9815.0023.009.09%6.68%6.67%4.35%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 12.41%8.06momio equitativo
EV +11.69%
Ventaja +1.30%
Kelly +1.46%
Crecimiento +0.171%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 9.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
10.83%12.55%12.48%14.34%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
6.507.567.509.0015.38%13.22%13.33%11.11%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Manchester City (Local): 81.00%; Norwich City (Visitante): 6.59%; Empate: 12.41%. Para Norwich City (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 15.18. 15 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 23.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +51.47%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.01%EV -8.46%E -7.49%K -65.11%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.13%EV +51.47%E +2.24%K +2.34%G +1.20% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.87%EV -0.724%E -0.091%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-17 18:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.01%EV -8.46%E -7.49%K -65.11%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.13%EV +51.47%E +2.24%K +2.34%G +1.20% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.87%EV -0.724%E -0.091%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-17 18:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 83.20%EV -5.22%E -4.47%K -30.73%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.64%EV +38.30%E +1.82%K +1.92%G +0.733% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.17%EV -0.724%E -0.091%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-09-17 18:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.04%EV -6.03%E -5.20%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.13%EV +25.13%E +1.32%K +1.40%G +0.351% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.83%EV +11.69%E +1.30%K +1.46%G +0.171% | 2.6% | 2026-09-17 18:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.04%EV -6.03%E -5.20%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.13%EV +25.13%E +1.32%K +1.40%G +0.351% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.83%EV +11.69%E +1.30%K +1.46%G +0.171% | 2.6% | 2026-09-17 18:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.24%EV -7.65%E -6.71%K -54.68%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.58%EV +11.96%E +0.703%K +0.747%G +0.089% | 8.49I 11.78%NM 11.18%EV +5.36%E +0.631%K +0.715%G +0.038% | 5.4% | 2026-09-17 18:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -4.41%E -3.74%K -24.52%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.01%EV +5.37%E +0.336%K +0.358%G +0.019% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.49%EV -4.45%E -0.578%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-17 18:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.52%EV -8.46%E -7.49%K -65.11%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.83%EV +5.37%E +0.336%K +0.358%G +0.019% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -0.724%E -0.091%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-17 18:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.52%EV -8.46%E -7.49%K -65.11%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.83%EV +5.37%E +0.336%K +0.358%G +0.019% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -0.724%E -0.091%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-17 18:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.52%EV -8.46%E -7.49%K -65.11%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.83%EV +5.37%E +0.336%K +0.358%G +0.019% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -0.724%E -0.091%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-17 18:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.52%EV -8.46%E -7.49%K -65.11%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.83%EV +5.37%E +0.336%K +0.358%G +0.019% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -0.724%E -0.091%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-17 18:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.52%EV -8.46%E -7.49%K -65.11%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.83%EV +5.37%E +0.336%K +0.358%G +0.019% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -0.724%E -0.091%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-17 18:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.52%EV -8.46%E -7.49%K -65.11%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.83%EV +5.37%E +0.336%K +0.358%G +0.019% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -0.724%E -0.091%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-17 18:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.52%EV -8.46%E -7.49%K -65.11%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.83%EV +5.37%E +0.336%K +0.358%G +0.019% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -0.724%E -0.091%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-17 18:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.75%EV -7.65%E -6.71%K -54.68%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.82%EV +5.37%E +0.336%K +0.358%G +0.019% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -6.93%E -0.924%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-17 18:09 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.94%EV -6.84%E -5.95%K -45.63%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -1.21%E -0.081%K -0.087%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -0.724%E -0.091%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-17 18:23 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.94%EV -6.84%E -5.95%K -45.63%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -1.21%E -0.081%K -0.087%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -0.724%E -0.091%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-17 18:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.03%E -5.20%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -1.21%E -0.081%K -0.087%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.55%EV -6.93%E -0.924%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-17 18:18 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.63%EV -6.84%E -5.95%K -45.63%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.26%EV -1.21%E -0.081%K -0.087%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.11%EV -3.83%E -0.494%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-17 18:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -7.65%E -6.71%K -54.68%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -1.21%E -0.081%K -0.087%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -0.724%E -0.091%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-17 18:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.95%EV -6.84%E -5.95%K -45.63%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.21%EV -1.21%E -0.081%K -0.087%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.84%EV -10.03%E -1.38%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-17 18:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.49%EV -5.22%E -4.47%K -30.73%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.20%EV -1.21%E -0.081%K -0.087%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -19.34%E -2.98%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-17 18:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.49%EV -5.22%E -4.47%K -30.73%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.20%EV -1.21%E -0.081%K -0.087%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -19.34%E -2.98%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-17 18:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.49%EV -5.22%E -4.47%K -30.73%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.20%EV -1.21%E -0.081%K -0.087%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -19.34%E -2.98%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-17 18:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.20%EV -8.46%E -7.49%K -65.11%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -1.21%E -0.081%K -0.087%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -0.724%E -0.091%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-17 18:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.20%EV -8.46%E -7.49%K -65.11%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -1.21%E -0.081%K -0.087%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -0.724%E -0.091%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-17 18:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.77%EV -6.84%E -5.95%K -45.63%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.12%EV -1.21%E -0.081%K -0.087%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -19.34%E -2.98%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-17 18:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.74%EV -2.79%E -2.33%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.68%EV -4.51%E -0.311%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.58%EV -4.45%E -0.578%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-17 18:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.22%EV -3.60%E -3.03%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.50%EV -4.51%E -0.311%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.28%EV -18.10%E -2.74%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-17 18:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.22%EV -3.60%E -3.03%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.50%EV -4.51%E -0.311%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.28%EV -18.10%E -2.74%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-17 18:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 81.32%EV -10.08%E -9.09%K -91.68%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.23%EV -4.51%E -0.311%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.45%EV -10.03%E -1.38%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-17 18:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.67%EV -5.22%E -4.47%K -30.73%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.74%EV -7.80%E -0.557%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV -6.93%E -0.924%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-17 18:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.00%EV -4.41%E -3.74%K -24.52%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.66%EV -7.80%E -0.557%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.34%EV -19.34%E -2.98%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-17 18:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.21%EV -8.46%E -7.49%K -65.11%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.55%EV -7.80%E -0.557%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -6.93%E -0.924%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-17 18:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.34%EV -9.27%E -8.28%K -77.29%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.51%EV -7.80%E -0.557%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -6.93%E -0.924%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-17 18:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.34%EV -9.27%E -8.28%K -77.29%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.51%EV -7.80%E -0.557%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -6.93%E -0.924%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-17 18:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 81.62%EV -10.89%E -9.90%K -108.95%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.41%EV -7.80%E -0.557%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.97%EV -6.93%E -0.924%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-17 18:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 80.79%EV -8.46%E -7.49%K -65.11%G +0.000% | 13.45I 7.43%NM 6.79%EV -11.42%E -0.849%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 7.35I 13.61%NM 12.42%EV -8.79%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-17 18:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.12%EV -4.41%E -3.74%K -24.52%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV -14.39%E -1.11%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -6.93%E -0.924%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-17 18:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.39%EV -6.03%E -5.20%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.17%EV -14.39%E -1.11%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -6.93%E -0.924%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-17 18:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -5.22%E -4.47%K -30.73%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -14.39%E -1.11%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -13.13%E -1.88%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-17 18:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.82%EV -6.84%E -5.95%K -45.63%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.06%EV -14.39%E -1.11%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -13.13%E -1.88%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-17 18:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 80.39%EV -10.08%E -9.09%K -91.68%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.86%EV -14.39%E -1.11%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -13.13%E -1.88%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-17 18:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.48%EV -6.03%E -5.20%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.47%EV -17.68%E -1.41%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.05%EV -3.83%E -0.494%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-17 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.37%EV -2.79%E -2.33%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.94%EV -20.97%E -1.75%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.70%EV -6.93%E -0.924%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-17 18:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.37%EV -2.79%E -2.33%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.94%EV -20.97%E -1.75%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.70%EV -6.93%E -0.924%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-17 18:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -6.03%E -5.20%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -20.97%E -1.75%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -0.724%E -0.091%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-17 18:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 78.86%EV -8.46%E -7.49%K -65.11%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.43%EV -20.97%E -1.75%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.71%EV -19.34%E -2.98%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-17 18:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.81%EV -6.84%E -5.95%K -45.63%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.34%EV -27.56%E -2.51%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.84%EV -3.83%E -0.494%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-17 18:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.64%EV -7.65%E -6.71%K -54.68%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.25%EV -27.56%E -2.51%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV -6.93%E -0.924%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-17 18:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 83.03% | 19.50I 5.13%NM 5.11% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86% | 0.4% | 2026-09-17 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.63% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.52% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.85% | 0.5% | 2026-09-17 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.63% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.52% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.85% | 0.5% | 2026-09-17 18:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.25% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.95% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.79% | 0.9% | 2026-09-17 18:25 |