Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Manchester City v Norwich City

2026-09-17 18:30 UTC — EFL Cup

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (9 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Manchester City (Local)

Prévision 83.00%1.20cote équitable
EV -2.88%
Avantage -2.47%
Kelly -16.97%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.17

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
79.41%82.95%82.95%84.54%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.091.141.131.1791.74%87.94%88.50%85.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Norwich City (Visiteur)

Prévision 5.92%16.90cote équitable
EV +9.47%
Avantage +0.512%
Kelly +0.541%
Croissance +0.051%

avec la cote maximale 18.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
5.21%6.02%5.75%8.66%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
10.0013.9513.0018.5010.00%7.17%7.69%5.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 11.08%9.03cote équitable
EV +4.14%
Avantage +0.440%
Kelly +0.493%
Croissance +0.020%

avec la cote maximale 9.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
9.98%11.02%11.30%12.72%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
7.007.988.009.4014.29%12.52%12.50%10.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Manchester City (Local) : 83.00% ; Norwich City (Visiteur) : 5.92% ; Match nul : 11.08%. Pour Norwich City (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 16.90. 8 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 18.50, pour une espérance positive de +9.47%.

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Marathon Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.54%EV -5.38%E -4.71%K -38.39%G +0.000%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.21%EV +9.47%E +0.512%K +0.541%G +0.051%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.25%EV +4.14%E +0.440%K +0.493%G +0.020%3.8%2026-09-03 19:15
1xBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.54%EV -5.38%E -4.71%K -38.39%G +0.000%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.21%EV +9.47%E +0.512%K +0.541%G +0.051%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.25%EV +4.14%E +0.440%K +0.493%G +0.020%3.8%2026-09-03 19:20
SportsBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.76%EV -7.04%E -6.28%K -58.63%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.52%EV +0.591%E +0.035%K +0.037%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.72%EV -3.06%E -0.350%K -0.395%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 19:15
Sky Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.62%EV -7.87%E -7.09%K -71.50%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV +0.591%E +0.035%K +0.037%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -5.83%E -0.686%K -0.778%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-03 19:15
BoyleSports🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.62%EV -7.87%E -7.09%K -71.50%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV +0.591%E +0.035%K +0.037%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -5.83%E -0.686%K -0.778%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-03 19:14
Paddy Power🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.62%EV -7.87%E -7.09%K -71.50%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV +0.591%E +0.035%K +0.037%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -5.83%E -0.686%K -0.778%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-03 19:14
betano_uk🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.18%EV -8.70%E -7.90%K -86.95%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV +0.591%E +0.035%K +0.037%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -11.37%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-03 19:14
Bet Victor🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.18%EV -8.70%E -7.90%K -86.95%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV +0.591%E +0.035%K +0.037%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -11.37%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-03 19:15
Pinnacle🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.27%EV -7.87%E -7.09%K -71.50%G +0.000%16.27I 6.15%NM 5.75%EV -3.73%E -0.229%K -0.244%G +0.000%9.37I 10.67%NM 9.98%EV +3.81%E +0.406%K +0.455%G +0.017%6.9%2026-09-03 19:25
FanDuel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 82.77%EV -7.87%E -7.09%K -71.50%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.74%EV -5.33%E -0.333%K -0.355%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -11.37%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-03 19:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.01%EV -7.04%E -6.28%K -58.63%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.74%EV -5.33%E -0.333%K -0.355%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.25%EV -16.91%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-03 18:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.64%EV -5.38%E -4.71%K -38.39%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -11.24%E -0.750%K -0.803%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.08%EV -5.83%E -0.686%K -0.778%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 19:24
William Hill🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -5.38%E -4.71%K -38.39%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -11.24%E -0.750%K -0.803%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -11.37%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 19:20
BetMGM🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.89%EV -2.88%E -2.47%K -16.97%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.84%EV -17.16%E -1.23%K -1.32%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -5.83%E -0.686%K -0.778%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-03 19:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.46%EV -2.88%E -2.47%K -16.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.33%EV -23.08%E -1.78%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.21%EV -5.83%E -0.686%K -0.778%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 19:19
Coral🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.46%EV -2.88%E -2.47%K -16.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.33%EV -23.08%E -1.78%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.21%EV -5.83%E -0.686%K -0.778%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 19:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -2.88%E -2.47%K -16.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -23.08%E -1.78%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -16.91%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 16:55
TABtouch🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -2.88%E -2.47%K -16.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -23.08%E -1.78%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -16.91%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 16:55
Grosvenor🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -2.88%E -2.47%K -16.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -23.08%E -1.78%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -16.91%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -2.88%E -2.47%K -16.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -23.08%E -1.78%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -16.91%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 16:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -2.88%E -2.47%K -16.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -23.08%E -1.78%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -16.91%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 16:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -2.88%E -2.47%K -16.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -23.08%E -1.78%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -16.91%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 16:55
Casumo🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -2.88%E -2.47%K -16.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -23.08%E -1.78%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -16.91%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 17:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -2.88%E -2.47%K -16.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -23.08%E -1.78%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -16.91%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 17:00
betPARX🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -2.88%E -2.47%K -16.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -23.08%E -1.78%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -16.91%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 17:00
Unibet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -2.88%E -2.47%K -16.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -23.08%E -1.78%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -16.91%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 17:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.67%EV -5.38%E -4.71%K -38.39%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV -23.08%E -1.78%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -16.91%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 19:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.67%EV -5.38%E -4.71%K -38.39%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV -23.08%E -1.78%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -16.91%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 19:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 82.73%EV -7.87%E -7.09%K -71.50%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.06%EV -23.08%E -1.78%K -1.92%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.20%EV -0.293%E -0.033%K -0.037%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-03 17:00
888sport🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.56%EV -7.04%E -6.28%K -58.63%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.03%EV -23.08%E -1.78%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -11.37%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-03 19:50
Neds🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -3.71%E -3.20%K -23.22%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -28.99%E -2.42%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -11.37%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 19:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -3.71%E -3.20%K -23.22%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -28.99%E -2.42%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -11.37%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 19:15
LeoVegas🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 80.47%EV -7.04%E -6.28%K -58.63%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.51%EV -28.99%E -2.42%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV -16.91%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-03 19:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 79.53%EV -7.04%E -6.28%K -58.63%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.75%EV -31.95%E -2.78%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.72%EV -22.45%E -3.21%K -3.74%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-03 16:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 79.53%EV -7.04%E -6.28%K -58.63%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.75%EV -31.95%E -2.78%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.72%EV -22.45%E -3.21%K -3.74%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-03 16:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 79.53%EV -7.04%E -6.28%K -58.63%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.75%EV -31.95%E -2.78%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.72%EV -22.45%E -3.21%K -3.74%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-03 17:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 80.36%EV -9.53%E -8.74%K -105.84%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.34%EV -37.87%E -3.61%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.30%EV -14.14%E -1.82%K -2.10%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-03 18:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 79.41%EV -9.53%E -8.74%K -105.84%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.66%EV -40.83%E -4.08%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 11.94%EV -19.68%E -2.71%K -3.15%G +0.000%15.5%2026-09-03 18:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%177.8%2026-09-03 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%177.8%2026-09-03 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%188.5%2026-09-03 16:55