Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Manchester City v Norwich City

2026-09-17 18:30 UTC — EFL Cup

Frente a frente

38 casas de apostas (9 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Manchester City (Local)

Previsão 83.00%1.20odd justa
EV -2.88%
Vantagem -2.47%
Kelly -16.97%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.17

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
79.41%82.95%82.95%84.54%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.091.141.131.1791.74%87.94%88.50%85.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Norwich City (Visitante)

Previsão 5.92%16.90odd justa
EV +9.47%
Vantagem +0.512%
Kelly +0.541%
Crescimento +0.051%

pressupondo odds máximas de 18.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
5.21%6.02%5.75%8.66%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
10.0013.9513.0018.5010.00%7.17%7.69%5.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 11.08%9.03odd justa
EV +4.14%
Vantagem +0.440%
Kelly +0.493%
Crescimento +0.020%

pressupondo odds máximas de 9.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
9.98%11.02%11.30%12.72%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
7.007.988.009.4014.29%12.52%12.50%10.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Manchester City (Local): 83.00%; Norwich City (Visitante): 5.92%; Empate: 11.08%. Para Norwich City (Visitante), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 16.90. 8 casas de apostas oferecem odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 18.50, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +9.47%.

Odds das casas de apostas (38 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Marathon Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.54%EV -5.38%E -4.71%K -38.39%G +0.000%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.21%EV +9.47%E +0.512%K +0.541%G +0.051%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.25%EV +4.14%E +0.440%K +0.493%G +0.020%3.8%2026-09-03 19:15
1xBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.54%EV -5.38%E -4.71%K -38.39%G +0.000%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.21%EV +9.47%E +0.512%K +0.541%G +0.051%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.25%EV +4.14%E +0.440%K +0.493%G +0.020%3.8%2026-09-03 19:20
SportsBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.76%EV -7.04%E -6.28%K -58.63%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.52%EV +0.591%E +0.035%K +0.037%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.72%EV -3.06%E -0.350%K -0.395%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 19:15
Sky Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.62%EV -7.87%E -7.09%K -71.50%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV +0.591%E +0.035%K +0.037%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -5.83%E -0.686%K -0.778%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-03 19:15
BoyleSports🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.62%EV -7.87%E -7.09%K -71.50%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV +0.591%E +0.035%K +0.037%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -5.83%E -0.686%K -0.778%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-03 19:14
Paddy Power🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.62%EV -7.87%E -7.09%K -71.50%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV +0.591%E +0.035%K +0.037%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -5.83%E -0.686%K -0.778%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-03 19:14
betano_uk🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.18%EV -8.70%E -7.90%K -86.95%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV +0.591%E +0.035%K +0.037%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -11.37%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-03 19:14
Bet Victor🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.18%EV -8.70%E -7.90%K -86.95%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV +0.591%E +0.035%K +0.037%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -11.37%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-03 19:15
Pinnacle🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.27%EV -7.87%E -7.09%K -71.50%G +0.000%16.27I 6.15%NM 5.75%EV -3.73%E -0.229%K -0.244%G +0.000%9.37I 10.67%NM 9.98%EV +3.81%E +0.406%K +0.455%G +0.017%6.9%2026-09-03 19:25
FanDuel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 82.77%EV -7.87%E -7.09%K -71.50%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.74%EV -5.33%E -0.333%K -0.355%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -11.37%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-03 19:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.01%EV -7.04%E -6.28%K -58.63%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.74%EV -5.33%E -0.333%K -0.355%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.25%EV -16.91%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-03 18:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.64%EV -5.38%E -4.71%K -38.39%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -11.24%E -0.750%K -0.803%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.08%EV -5.83%E -0.686%K -0.778%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 19:24
William Hill🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -5.38%E -4.71%K -38.39%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -11.24%E -0.750%K -0.803%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -11.37%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 19:20
BetMGM🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.89%EV -2.88%E -2.47%K -16.97%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.84%EV -17.16%E -1.23%K -1.32%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -5.83%E -0.686%K -0.778%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-03 19:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.46%EV -2.88%E -2.47%K -16.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.33%EV -23.08%E -1.78%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.21%EV -5.83%E -0.686%K -0.778%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 19:19
Coral🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.46%EV -2.88%E -2.47%K -16.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.33%EV -23.08%E -1.78%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.21%EV -5.83%E -0.686%K -0.778%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 19:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -2.88%E -2.47%K -16.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -23.08%E -1.78%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -16.91%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 16:55
TABtouch🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -2.88%E -2.47%K -16.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -23.08%E -1.78%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -16.91%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 16:55
Grosvenor🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -2.88%E -2.47%K -16.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -23.08%E -1.78%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -16.91%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -2.88%E -2.47%K -16.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -23.08%E -1.78%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -16.91%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 16:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -2.88%E -2.47%K -16.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -23.08%E -1.78%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -16.91%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 16:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -2.88%E -2.47%K -16.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -23.08%E -1.78%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -16.91%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 16:55
Casumo🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -2.88%E -2.47%K -16.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -23.08%E -1.78%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -16.91%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 17:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -2.88%E -2.47%K -16.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -23.08%E -1.78%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -16.91%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 17:00
betPARX🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -2.88%E -2.47%K -16.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -23.08%E -1.78%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -16.91%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 17:00
Unibet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -2.88%E -2.47%K -16.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -23.08%E -1.78%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -16.91%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 17:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.67%EV -5.38%E -4.71%K -38.39%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV -23.08%E -1.78%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -16.91%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 19:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.67%EV -5.38%E -4.71%K -38.39%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV -23.08%E -1.78%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -16.91%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 19:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 82.73%EV -7.87%E -7.09%K -71.50%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.06%EV -23.08%E -1.78%K -1.92%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.20%EV -0.293%E -0.033%K -0.037%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-03 17:00
888sport🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.56%EV -7.04%E -6.28%K -58.63%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.03%EV -23.08%E -1.78%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -11.37%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-03 19:50
Neds🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -3.71%E -3.20%K -23.22%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -28.99%E -2.42%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -11.37%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 19:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -3.71%E -3.20%K -23.22%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -28.99%E -2.42%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -11.37%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 19:15
LeoVegas🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 80.47%EV -7.04%E -6.28%K -58.63%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.51%EV -28.99%E -2.42%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV -16.91%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-03 19:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 79.53%EV -7.04%E -6.28%K -58.63%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.75%EV -31.95%E -2.78%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.72%EV -22.45%E -3.21%K -3.74%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-03 16:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 79.53%EV -7.04%E -6.28%K -58.63%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.75%EV -31.95%E -2.78%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.72%EV -22.45%E -3.21%K -3.74%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-03 16:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 79.53%EV -7.04%E -6.28%K -58.63%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.75%EV -31.95%E -2.78%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.72%EV -22.45%E -3.21%K -3.74%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-03 17:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 80.36%EV -9.53%E -8.74%K -105.84%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.34%EV -37.87%E -3.61%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.30%EV -14.14%E -1.82%K -2.10%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-03 18:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 79.41%EV -9.53%E -8.74%K -105.84%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.66%EV -40.83%E -4.08%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 11.94%EV -19.68%E -2.71%K -3.15%G +0.000%15.5%2026-09-03 18:34
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%177.8%2026-09-03 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%177.8%2026-09-03 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%188.5%2026-09-03 16:55