StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Manchester City v Norwich City

2026-09-17 18:30 UTC — EFL Cup

Matchresultat

38 spelbolag (9 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Manchester City (Hemma)

Prognos 83.00%1.20rättvist odds
EV -2.88%
Fördel -2.47%
Kelly -16.97%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.17

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
79.41%82.95%82.95%84.54%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.091.141.131.1791.74%87.94%88.50%85.47%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Norwich City (Borta)

Prognos 5.92%16.90rättvist odds
EV +9.47%
Fördel +0.512%
Kelly +0.541%
Tillväxt +0.051%

med antagandet om högsta odds 18.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
5.21%6.02%5.75%8.66%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
10.0013.9513.0018.5010.00%7.17%7.69%5.41%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 11.08%9.03rättvist odds
EV +4.14%
Fördel +0.440%
Kelly +0.493%
Tillväxt +0.020%

med antagandet om högsta odds 9.40

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
9.98%11.02%11.30%12.72%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
7.007.988.009.4014.29%12.52%12.50%10.64%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Manchester City (Hemma): 83.00%; Norwich City (Borta): 5.92%; Oavgjort: 11.08%. För Norwich City (Borta) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 16.90. 8 spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån; bästa tillgängliga odds är 18.50, vilket ger ett positivt väntevärde på +9.47%.

Spelbolagsodds (38 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Marathon Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.54%EV -5.38%E -4.71%K -38.39%G +0.000%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.21%EV +9.47%E +0.512%K +0.541%G +0.051%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.25%EV +4.14%E +0.440%K +0.493%G +0.020%3.8%2026-09-03 19:15
1xBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.54%EV -5.38%E -4.71%K -38.39%G +0.000%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.21%EV +9.47%E +0.512%K +0.541%G +0.051%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.25%EV +4.14%E +0.440%K +0.493%G +0.020%3.8%2026-09-03 19:20
SportsBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.76%EV -7.04%E -6.28%K -58.63%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.52%EV +0.591%E +0.035%K +0.037%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.72%EV -3.06%E -0.350%K -0.395%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 19:15
Sky Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.62%EV -7.87%E -7.09%K -71.50%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV +0.591%E +0.035%K +0.037%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -5.83%E -0.686%K -0.778%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-03 19:15
BoyleSports🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.62%EV -7.87%E -7.09%K -71.50%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV +0.591%E +0.035%K +0.037%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -5.83%E -0.686%K -0.778%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-03 19:14
Paddy Power🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.62%EV -7.87%E -7.09%K -71.50%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV +0.591%E +0.035%K +0.037%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -5.83%E -0.686%K -0.778%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-03 19:14
betano_uk🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.18%EV -8.70%E -7.90%K -86.95%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV +0.591%E +0.035%K +0.037%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -11.37%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-03 19:14
Bet Victor🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.18%EV -8.70%E -7.90%K -86.95%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV +0.591%E +0.035%K +0.037%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -11.37%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-03 19:15
Pinnacle🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.27%EV -7.87%E -7.09%K -71.50%G +0.000%16.27I 6.15%NM 5.75%EV -3.73%E -0.229%K -0.244%G +0.000%9.37I 10.67%NM 9.98%EV +3.81%E +0.406%K +0.455%G +0.017%6.9%2026-09-03 19:25
FanDuel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 82.77%EV -7.87%E -7.09%K -71.50%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.74%EV -5.33%E -0.333%K -0.355%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -11.37%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-03 19:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.01%EV -7.04%E -6.28%K -58.63%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.74%EV -5.33%E -0.333%K -0.355%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.25%EV -16.91%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-03 18:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.64%EV -5.38%E -4.71%K -38.39%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -11.24%E -0.750%K -0.803%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.08%EV -5.83%E -0.686%K -0.778%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 19:24
William Hill🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -5.38%E -4.71%K -38.39%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -11.24%E -0.750%K -0.803%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -11.37%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 19:20
BetMGM🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.89%EV -2.88%E -2.47%K -16.97%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.84%EV -17.16%E -1.23%K -1.32%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -5.83%E -0.686%K -0.778%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-03 19:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.46%EV -2.88%E -2.47%K -16.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.33%EV -23.08%E -1.78%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.21%EV -5.83%E -0.686%K -0.778%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 19:19
Coral🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.46%EV -2.88%E -2.47%K -16.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.33%EV -23.08%E -1.78%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.21%EV -5.83%E -0.686%K -0.778%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 19:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -2.88%E -2.47%K -16.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -23.08%E -1.78%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -16.91%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 16:55
TABtouch🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -2.88%E -2.47%K -16.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -23.08%E -1.78%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -16.91%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 16:55
Grosvenor🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -2.88%E -2.47%K -16.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -23.08%E -1.78%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -16.91%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -2.88%E -2.47%K -16.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -23.08%E -1.78%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -16.91%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 16:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -2.88%E -2.47%K -16.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -23.08%E -1.78%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -16.91%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 16:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -2.88%E -2.47%K -16.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -23.08%E -1.78%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -16.91%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 16:55
Casumo🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -2.88%E -2.47%K -16.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -23.08%E -1.78%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -16.91%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 17:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -2.88%E -2.47%K -16.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -23.08%E -1.78%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -16.91%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 17:00
betPARX🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -2.88%E -2.47%K -16.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -23.08%E -1.78%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -16.91%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 17:00
Unibet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -2.88%E -2.47%K -16.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -23.08%E -1.78%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -16.91%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 17:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.67%EV -5.38%E -4.71%K -38.39%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV -23.08%E -1.78%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -16.91%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 19:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.67%EV -5.38%E -4.71%K -38.39%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV -23.08%E -1.78%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -16.91%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 19:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 82.73%EV -7.87%E -7.09%K -71.50%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.06%EV -23.08%E -1.78%K -1.92%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.20%EV -0.293%E -0.033%K -0.037%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-03 17:00
888sport🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.56%EV -7.04%E -6.28%K -58.63%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.03%EV -23.08%E -1.78%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -11.37%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-03 19:50
Neds🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -3.71%E -3.20%K -23.22%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -28.99%E -2.42%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -11.37%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 19:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -3.71%E -3.20%K -23.22%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -28.99%E -2.42%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -11.37%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 19:15
LeoVegas🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 80.47%EV -7.04%E -6.28%K -58.63%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.51%EV -28.99%E -2.42%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV -16.91%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-03 19:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 79.53%EV -7.04%E -6.28%K -58.63%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.75%EV -31.95%E -2.78%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.72%EV -22.45%E -3.21%K -3.74%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-03 16:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 79.53%EV -7.04%E -6.28%K -58.63%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.75%EV -31.95%E -2.78%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.72%EV -22.45%E -3.21%K -3.74%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-03 16:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 79.53%EV -7.04%E -6.28%K -58.63%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.75%EV -31.95%E -2.78%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.72%EV -22.45%E -3.21%K -3.74%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-03 17:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 80.36%EV -9.53%E -8.74%K -105.84%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.34%EV -37.87%E -3.61%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.30%EV -14.14%E -1.82%K -2.10%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-03 18:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 79.41%EV -9.53%E -8.74%K -105.84%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.66%EV -40.83%E -4.08%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 11.94%EV -19.68%E -2.71%K -3.15%G +0.000%15.5%2026-09-03 18:34
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (3)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%177.8%2026-09-03 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%177.8%2026-09-03 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%188.5%2026-09-03 16:55