StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Manchester City v Norwich City

Matchstart: 2026-09-17 18:30 UTC

Slutresultat: Manchester City 5–0 Norwich City

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

50 spelbolag (18 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Manchester City (Hemma)

Prognos 81.00%1.23rättvist odds
EV -2.79%
Fördel -2.33%
Kelly -13.97%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.20

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
78.86%80.92%80.97%84.04%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.101.151.151.2090.91%86.97%86.96%83.33%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Norwich City (Borta)

Prognos 6.59%15.18rättvist odds
EV +51.47%
Fördel +2.24%
Kelly +2.34%
Tillväxt +1.20%

med antagandet om högsta odds 23.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
4.13%6.53%6.55%8.34%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
11.0014.9815.0023.009.09%6.68%6.67%4.35%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 12.41%8.06rättvist odds
EV +11.69%
Fördel +1.30%
Kelly +1.46%
Tillväxt +0.171%

med antagandet om högsta odds 9.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
10.83%12.55%12.48%14.34%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
6.507.567.509.0015.38%13.22%13.33%11.11%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Manchester City (Hemma): 81.00%; Norwich City (Borta): 6.59%; Oavgjort: 12.41%. För Norwich City (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 15.18. 15 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 23.00, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +51.47%.

Spelbolagsodds (50 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
BetOnline.ag🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.01%EV -8.46%E -7.49%K -65.11%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.13%EV +51.47%E +2.24%K +2.34%G +1.20%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.87%EV -0.724%E -0.091%K -0.103%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-17 18:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.01%EV -8.46%E -7.49%K -65.11%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.13%EV +51.47%E +2.24%K +2.34%G +1.20%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.87%EV -0.724%E -0.091%K -0.103%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-17 18:25
Pinnacle🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 83.20%EV -5.22%E -4.47%K -30.73%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.64%EV +38.30%E +1.82%K +1.92%G +0.733%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.17%EV -0.724%E -0.091%K -0.103%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-17 18:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 84.04%EV -6.03%E -5.20%K -37.72%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.13%EV +25.13%E +1.32%K +1.40%G +0.351%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.83%EV +11.69%E +1.30%K +1.46%G +0.171%2.6%2026-09-17 18:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 84.04%EV -6.03%E -5.20%K -37.72%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.13%EV +25.13%E +1.32%K +1.40%G +0.351%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.83%EV +11.69%E +1.30%K +1.46%G +0.171%2.6%2026-09-17 18:10
1xBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.24%EV -7.65%E -6.71%K -54.68%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.58%EV +11.96%E +0.703%K +0.747%G +0.089%8.49I 11.78%NM 11.18%EV +5.36%E +0.631%K +0.715%G +0.038%5.4%2026-09-17 18:24
Coolbet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -4.41%E -3.74%K -24.52%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.01%EV +5.37%E +0.336%K +0.358%G +0.019%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.49%EV -4.45%E -0.578%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-17 18:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.52%EV -8.46%E -7.49%K -65.11%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.83%EV +5.37%E +0.336%K +0.358%G +0.019%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -0.724%E -0.091%K -0.103%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-17 18:10
Grosvenor🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.52%EV -8.46%E -7.49%K -65.11%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.83%EV +5.37%E +0.336%K +0.358%G +0.019%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -0.724%E -0.091%K -0.103%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-17 18:10
Casumo🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.52%EV -8.46%E -7.49%K -65.11%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.83%EV +5.37%E +0.336%K +0.358%G +0.019%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -0.724%E -0.091%K -0.103%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-17 18:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.52%EV -8.46%E -7.49%K -65.11%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.83%EV +5.37%E +0.336%K +0.358%G +0.019%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -0.724%E -0.091%K -0.103%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-17 18:10
betPARX🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.52%EV -8.46%E -7.49%K -65.11%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.83%EV +5.37%E +0.336%K +0.358%G +0.019%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -0.724%E -0.091%K -0.103%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-17 18:10
Unibet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.52%EV -8.46%E -7.49%K -65.11%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.83%EV +5.37%E +0.336%K +0.358%G +0.019%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -0.724%E -0.091%K -0.103%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-17 18:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.52%EV -8.46%E -7.49%K -65.11%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.83%EV +5.37%E +0.336%K +0.358%G +0.019%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -0.724%E -0.091%K -0.103%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-17 18:10
FanDuel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.75%EV -7.65%E -6.71%K -54.68%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.82%EV +5.37%E +0.336%K +0.358%G +0.019%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -6.93%E -0.924%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-17 18:09
betano_uk🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.94%EV -6.84%E -5.95%K -45.63%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -1.21%E -0.081%K -0.087%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -0.724%E -0.091%K -0.103%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-17 18:23
Bet Victor🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.94%EV -6.84%E -5.95%K -45.63%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -1.21%E -0.081%K -0.087%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -0.724%E -0.091%K -0.103%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-17 18:24
Betr (AU)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.03%E -5.20%K -37.72%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -1.21%E -0.081%K -0.087%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.55%EV -6.93%E -0.924%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-17 18:18
Bovada🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.63%EV -6.84%E -5.95%K -45.63%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.26%EV -1.21%E -0.081%K -0.087%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.11%EV -3.83%E -0.494%K -0.567%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-17 18:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -7.65%E -6.71%K -54.68%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -1.21%E -0.081%K -0.087%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -0.724%E -0.091%K -0.103%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-17 18:25
SportsBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.95%EV -6.84%E -5.95%K -45.63%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.21%EV -1.21%E -0.081%K -0.087%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.84%EV -10.03%E -1.38%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-17 18:25
William Hill🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.49%EV -5.22%E -4.47%K -30.73%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.20%EV -1.21%E -0.081%K -0.087%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -19.34%E -2.98%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-17 18:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.49%EV -5.22%E -4.47%K -30.73%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.20%EV -1.21%E -0.081%K -0.087%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -19.34%E -2.98%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-17 18:25
888sport🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.49%EV -5.22%E -4.47%K -30.73%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.20%EV -1.21%E -0.081%K -0.087%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -19.34%E -2.98%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-17 18:25
TABtouch🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.20%EV -8.46%E -7.49%K -65.11%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -1.21%E -0.081%K -0.087%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -0.724%E -0.091%K -0.103%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-17 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.20%EV -8.46%E -7.49%K -65.11%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -1.21%E -0.081%K -0.087%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -0.724%E -0.091%K -0.103%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-17 18:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 79.77%EV -6.84%E -5.95%K -45.63%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.12%EV -1.21%E -0.081%K -0.087%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -19.34%E -2.98%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-17 18:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.74%EV -2.79%E -2.33%K -13.97%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.68%EV -4.51%E -0.311%K -0.334%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.58%EV -4.45%E -0.578%K -0.664%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-17 18:25
NordicBet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.22%EV -3.60%E -3.03%K -18.97%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.50%EV -4.51%E -0.311%K -0.334%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.28%EV -18.10%E -2.74%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-17 18:25
Betsson🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.22%EV -3.60%E -3.03%K -18.97%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.50%EV -4.51%E -0.311%K -0.334%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.28%EV -18.10%E -2.74%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-17 18:25
NetBet (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.32%EV -10.08%E -9.09%K -91.68%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.23%EV -4.51%E -0.311%K -0.334%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.45%EV -10.03%E -1.38%K -1.60%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-17 18:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.67%EV -5.22%E -4.47%K -30.73%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.74%EV -7.80%E -0.557%K -0.600%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV -6.93%E -0.924%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-17 18:25
PlayUp🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.00%EV -4.41%E -3.74%K -24.52%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.66%EV -7.80%E -0.557%K -0.600%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.34%EV -19.34%E -2.98%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-17 18:25
BetRivers🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.21%EV -8.46%E -7.49%K -65.11%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.55%EV -7.80%E -0.557%K -0.600%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -6.93%E -0.924%K -1.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-17 18:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.34%EV -9.27%E -8.28%K -77.29%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.51%EV -7.80%E -0.557%K -0.600%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -6.93%E -0.924%K -1.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-17 18:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.34%EV -9.27%E -8.28%K -77.29%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.51%EV -7.80%E -0.557%K -0.600%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -6.93%E -0.924%K -1.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-17 18:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 81.62%EV -10.89%E -9.90%K -108.95%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.41%EV -7.80%E -0.557%K -0.600%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.97%EV -6.93%E -0.924%K -1.07%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-17 18:10
Fliff🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.79%EV -8.46%E -7.49%K -65.11%G +0.000%13.45I 7.43%NM 6.79%EV -11.42%E -0.849%K -0.917%G +0.000%7.35I 13.61%NM 12.42%EV -8.79%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-17 18:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.12%EV -4.41%E -3.74%K -24.52%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV -14.39%E -1.11%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -6.93%E -0.924%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-17 18:25
LeoVegas🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.39%EV -6.03%E -5.20%K -37.72%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.17%EV -14.39%E -1.11%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -6.93%E -0.924%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-17 18:25
Betway🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -5.22%E -4.47%K -30.73%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -14.39%E -1.11%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -13.13%E -1.88%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-17 18:25
BoyleSports🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 79.82%EV -6.84%E -5.95%K -45.63%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.06%EV -14.39%E -1.11%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -13.13%E -1.88%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-17 18:15
Paddy Power🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 80.39%EV -10.08%E -9.09%K -91.68%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.86%EV -14.39%E -1.11%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -13.13%E -1.88%K -2.19%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-17 18:25
BetMGM🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.48%EV -6.03%E -5.20%K -37.72%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.47%EV -17.68%E -1.41%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.05%EV -3.83%E -0.494%K -0.567%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-17 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.37%EV -2.79%E -2.33%K -13.97%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.94%EV -20.97%E -1.75%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.70%EV -6.93%E -0.924%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-17 18:20
Coral🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.37%EV -2.79%E -2.33%K -13.97%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.94%EV -20.97%E -1.75%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.70%EV -6.93%E -0.924%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-17 18:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -6.03%E -5.20%K -37.72%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -20.97%E -1.75%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -0.724%E -0.091%K -0.103%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-17 18:25
Sky Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 78.86%EV -8.46%E -7.49%K -65.11%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.43%EV -20.97%E -1.75%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.71%EV -19.34%E -2.98%K -3.52%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-17 18:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 79.81%EV -6.84%E -5.95%K -45.63%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.34%EV -27.56%E -2.51%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.84%EV -3.83%E -0.494%K -0.567%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-17 18:25
theScore Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 79.64%EV -7.65%E -6.71%K -54.68%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.25%EV -27.56%E -2.51%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV -6.93%E -0.924%K -1.07%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-17 18:25
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.20I 83.33%NM 83.03%19.50I 5.13%NM 5.11%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86%0.4%2026-09-17 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.19I 84.03%NM 83.63%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.52%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.85%0.5%2026-09-17 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.19I 84.03%NM 83.63%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.52%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.85%0.5%2026-09-17 18:25
Matchbook◎1.19I 84.03%NM 83.25%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.95%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.79%0.9%2026-09-17 18:25