StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Manchester City v Norwich City

Spielbeginn: 2026-09-17 18:30 UTC

Endstand: Manchester City 5–0 Norwich City

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

50 Wettanbieter (18 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Manchester City (Heim)

Prognose 81.00%1.23faire Quote
EV -2.79%
Vorteil -2.33%
Kelly -13.97%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.20

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
78.86%80.92%80.97%84.04%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.101.151.151.2090.91%86.97%86.96%83.33%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Norwich City (Auswärts)

Prognose 6.59%15.18faire Quote
EV +51.47%
Vorteil +2.24%
Kelly +2.34%
Wachstum +1.20%

bei einer Höchstquote von 23.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
4.13%6.53%6.55%8.34%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
11.0014.9815.0023.009.09%6.68%6.67%4.35%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 12.41%8.06faire Quote
EV +11.69%
Vorteil +1.30%
Kelly +1.46%
Wachstum +0.171%

bei einer Höchstquote von 9.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
10.83%12.55%12.48%14.34%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
6.507.567.509.0015.38%13.22%13.33%11.11%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Manchester City (Heim): 81.00%; Norwich City (Auswärts): 6.59%; Unentschieden: 12.41%. Für Norwich City (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 15.18. 15 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 23.00 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +51.47%.

Wettanbieterquoten (50 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
BetOnline.ag🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.01%EV -8.46%E -7.49%K -65.11%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.13%EV +51.47%E +2.24%K +2.34%G +1.20%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.87%EV -0.724%E -0.091%K -0.103%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-17 18:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.01%EV -8.46%E -7.49%K -65.11%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.13%EV +51.47%E +2.24%K +2.34%G +1.20%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.87%EV -0.724%E -0.091%K -0.103%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-17 18:25
Pinnacle🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 83.20%EV -5.22%E -4.47%K -30.73%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.64%EV +38.30%E +1.82%K +1.92%G +0.733%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.17%EV -0.724%E -0.091%K -0.103%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-17 18:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 84.04%EV -6.03%E -5.20%K -37.72%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.13%EV +25.13%E +1.32%K +1.40%G +0.351%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.83%EV +11.69%E +1.30%K +1.46%G +0.171%2.6%2026-09-17 18:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 84.04%EV -6.03%E -5.20%K -37.72%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.13%EV +25.13%E +1.32%K +1.40%G +0.351%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.83%EV +11.69%E +1.30%K +1.46%G +0.171%2.6%2026-09-17 18:10
1xBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.24%EV -7.65%E -6.71%K -54.68%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.58%EV +11.96%E +0.703%K +0.747%G +0.089%8.49I 11.78%NM 11.18%EV +5.36%E +0.631%K +0.715%G +0.038%5.4%2026-09-17 18:24
Coolbet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -4.41%E -3.74%K -24.52%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.01%EV +5.37%E +0.336%K +0.358%G +0.019%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.49%EV -4.45%E -0.578%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-17 18:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.52%EV -8.46%E -7.49%K -65.11%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.83%EV +5.37%E +0.336%K +0.358%G +0.019%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -0.724%E -0.091%K -0.103%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-17 18:10
Grosvenor🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.52%EV -8.46%E -7.49%K -65.11%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.83%EV +5.37%E +0.336%K +0.358%G +0.019%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -0.724%E -0.091%K -0.103%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-17 18:10
Casumo🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.52%EV -8.46%E -7.49%K -65.11%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.83%EV +5.37%E +0.336%K +0.358%G +0.019%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -0.724%E -0.091%K -0.103%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-17 18:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.52%EV -8.46%E -7.49%K -65.11%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.83%EV +5.37%E +0.336%K +0.358%G +0.019%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -0.724%E -0.091%K -0.103%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-17 18:10
betPARX🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.52%EV -8.46%E -7.49%K -65.11%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.83%EV +5.37%E +0.336%K +0.358%G +0.019%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -0.724%E -0.091%K -0.103%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-17 18:10
Unibet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.52%EV -8.46%E -7.49%K -65.11%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.83%EV +5.37%E +0.336%K +0.358%G +0.019%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -0.724%E -0.091%K -0.103%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-17 18:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.52%EV -8.46%E -7.49%K -65.11%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.83%EV +5.37%E +0.336%K +0.358%G +0.019%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -0.724%E -0.091%K -0.103%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-17 18:10
FanDuel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.75%EV -7.65%E -6.71%K -54.68%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.82%EV +5.37%E +0.336%K +0.358%G +0.019%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -6.93%E -0.924%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-17 18:09
betano_uk🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.94%EV -6.84%E -5.95%K -45.63%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -1.21%E -0.081%K -0.087%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -0.724%E -0.091%K -0.103%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-17 18:23
Bet Victor🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.94%EV -6.84%E -5.95%K -45.63%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -1.21%E -0.081%K -0.087%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -0.724%E -0.091%K -0.103%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-17 18:24
Betr (AU)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.03%E -5.20%K -37.72%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -1.21%E -0.081%K -0.087%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.55%EV -6.93%E -0.924%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-17 18:18
Bovada🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.63%EV -6.84%E -5.95%K -45.63%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.26%EV -1.21%E -0.081%K -0.087%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.11%EV -3.83%E -0.494%K -0.567%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-17 18:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -7.65%E -6.71%K -54.68%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -1.21%E -0.081%K -0.087%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -0.724%E -0.091%K -0.103%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-17 18:25
SportsBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.95%EV -6.84%E -5.95%K -45.63%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.21%EV -1.21%E -0.081%K -0.087%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.84%EV -10.03%E -1.38%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-17 18:25
William Hill🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.49%EV -5.22%E -4.47%K -30.73%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.20%EV -1.21%E -0.081%K -0.087%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -19.34%E -2.98%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-17 18:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.49%EV -5.22%E -4.47%K -30.73%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.20%EV -1.21%E -0.081%K -0.087%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -19.34%E -2.98%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-17 18:25
888sport🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.49%EV -5.22%E -4.47%K -30.73%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.20%EV -1.21%E -0.081%K -0.087%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -19.34%E -2.98%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-17 18:25
TABtouch🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.20%EV -8.46%E -7.49%K -65.11%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -1.21%E -0.081%K -0.087%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -0.724%E -0.091%K -0.103%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-17 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.20%EV -8.46%E -7.49%K -65.11%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -1.21%E -0.081%K -0.087%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -0.724%E -0.091%K -0.103%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-17 18:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 79.77%EV -6.84%E -5.95%K -45.63%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.12%EV -1.21%E -0.081%K -0.087%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -19.34%E -2.98%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-17 18:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.74%EV -2.79%E -2.33%K -13.97%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.68%EV -4.51%E -0.311%K -0.334%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.58%EV -4.45%E -0.578%K -0.664%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-17 18:25
NordicBet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.22%EV -3.60%E -3.03%K -18.97%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.50%EV -4.51%E -0.311%K -0.334%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.28%EV -18.10%E -2.74%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-17 18:25
Betsson🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.22%EV -3.60%E -3.03%K -18.97%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.50%EV -4.51%E -0.311%K -0.334%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.28%EV -18.10%E -2.74%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-17 18:25
NetBet (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.32%EV -10.08%E -9.09%K -91.68%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.23%EV -4.51%E -0.311%K -0.334%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.45%EV -10.03%E -1.38%K -1.60%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-17 18:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.67%EV -5.22%E -4.47%K -30.73%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.74%EV -7.80%E -0.557%K -0.600%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV -6.93%E -0.924%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-17 18:25
PlayUp🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.00%EV -4.41%E -3.74%K -24.52%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.66%EV -7.80%E -0.557%K -0.600%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.34%EV -19.34%E -2.98%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-17 18:25
BetRivers🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.21%EV -8.46%E -7.49%K -65.11%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.55%EV -7.80%E -0.557%K -0.600%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -6.93%E -0.924%K -1.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-17 18:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.34%EV -9.27%E -8.28%K -77.29%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.51%EV -7.80%E -0.557%K -0.600%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -6.93%E -0.924%K -1.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-17 18:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.34%EV -9.27%E -8.28%K -77.29%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.51%EV -7.80%E -0.557%K -0.600%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -6.93%E -0.924%K -1.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-17 18:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 81.62%EV -10.89%E -9.90%K -108.95%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.41%EV -7.80%E -0.557%K -0.600%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.97%EV -6.93%E -0.924%K -1.07%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-17 18:10
Fliff🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.79%EV -8.46%E -7.49%K -65.11%G +0.000%13.45I 7.43%NM 6.79%EV -11.42%E -0.849%K -0.917%G +0.000%7.35I 13.61%NM 12.42%EV -8.79%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-17 18:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.12%EV -4.41%E -3.74%K -24.52%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV -14.39%E -1.11%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -6.93%E -0.924%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-17 18:25
LeoVegas🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.39%EV -6.03%E -5.20%K -37.72%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.17%EV -14.39%E -1.11%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -6.93%E -0.924%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-17 18:25
Betway🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -5.22%E -4.47%K -30.73%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -14.39%E -1.11%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -13.13%E -1.88%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-17 18:25
BoyleSports🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 79.82%EV -6.84%E -5.95%K -45.63%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.06%EV -14.39%E -1.11%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -13.13%E -1.88%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-17 18:15
Paddy Power🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 80.39%EV -10.08%E -9.09%K -91.68%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.86%EV -14.39%E -1.11%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -13.13%E -1.88%K -2.19%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-17 18:25
BetMGM🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.48%EV -6.03%E -5.20%K -37.72%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.47%EV -17.68%E -1.41%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.05%EV -3.83%E -0.494%K -0.567%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-17 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.37%EV -2.79%E -2.33%K -13.97%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.94%EV -20.97%E -1.75%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.70%EV -6.93%E -0.924%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-17 18:20
Coral🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.37%EV -2.79%E -2.33%K -13.97%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.94%EV -20.97%E -1.75%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.70%EV -6.93%E -0.924%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-17 18:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -6.03%E -5.20%K -37.72%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -20.97%E -1.75%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -0.724%E -0.091%K -0.103%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-17 18:25
Sky Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 78.86%EV -8.46%E -7.49%K -65.11%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.43%EV -20.97%E -1.75%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.71%EV -19.34%E -2.98%K -3.52%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-17 18:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 79.81%EV -6.84%E -5.95%K -45.63%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.34%EV -27.56%E -2.51%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.84%EV -3.83%E -0.494%K -0.567%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-17 18:25
theScore Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 79.64%EV -7.65%E -6.71%K -54.68%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.25%EV -27.56%E -2.51%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV -6.93%E -0.924%K -1.07%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-17 18:25
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (4)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.20I 83.33%NM 83.03%19.50I 5.13%NM 5.11%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86%0.4%2026-09-17 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.19I 84.03%NM 83.63%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.52%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.85%0.5%2026-09-17 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.19I 84.03%NM 83.63%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.52%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.85%0.5%2026-09-17 18:25
Matchbook◎1.19I 84.03%NM 83.25%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.95%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.79%0.9%2026-09-17 18:25