StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Manchester City v Norwich City

2026-09-17 18:30 UTC — EFL Cup

Direkter Vergleich

38 Wettanbieter (9 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Manchester City (Heim)

Prognose 83.00%1.20faire Quote
EV -2.88%
Vorteil -2.47%
Kelly -16.97%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.17

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
79.41%82.95%82.95%84.54%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.091.141.131.1791.74%87.94%88.50%85.47%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Norwich City (Auswärts)

Prognose 5.92%16.90faire Quote
EV +9.47%
Vorteil +0.512%
Kelly +0.541%
Wachstum +0.051%

bei einer Höchstquote von 18.50

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
5.21%6.02%5.75%8.66%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
10.0013.9513.0018.5010.00%7.17%7.69%5.41%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 11.08%9.03faire Quote
EV +4.14%
Vorteil +0.440%
Kelly +0.493%
Wachstum +0.020%

bei einer Höchstquote von 9.40

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
9.98%11.02%11.30%12.72%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
7.007.988.009.4014.29%12.52%12.50%10.64%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Manchester City (Heim): 83.00%; Norwich City (Auswärts): 5.92%; Unentschieden: 11.08%. Für Norwich City (Auswärts) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 16.90. 8 Wettanbieter bieten Quoten über diesem Wert an; die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 18.50 und ergibt einen positiven Erwartungswert von +9.47%.

Wettanbieterquoten (38 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Marathon Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.54%EV -5.38%E -4.71%K -38.39%G +0.000%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.21%EV +9.47%E +0.512%K +0.541%G +0.051%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.25%EV +4.14%E +0.440%K +0.493%G +0.020%3.8%2026-09-03 19:15
1xBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.54%EV -5.38%E -4.71%K -38.39%G +0.000%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.21%EV +9.47%E +0.512%K +0.541%G +0.051%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.25%EV +4.14%E +0.440%K +0.493%G +0.020%3.8%2026-09-03 19:20
SportsBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.76%EV -7.04%E -6.28%K -58.63%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.52%EV +0.591%E +0.035%K +0.037%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.72%EV -3.06%E -0.350%K -0.395%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 19:15
Sky Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.62%EV -7.87%E -7.09%K -71.50%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV +0.591%E +0.035%K +0.037%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -5.83%E -0.686%K -0.778%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-03 19:15
BoyleSports🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.62%EV -7.87%E -7.09%K -71.50%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV +0.591%E +0.035%K +0.037%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -5.83%E -0.686%K -0.778%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-03 19:14
Paddy Power🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.62%EV -7.87%E -7.09%K -71.50%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV +0.591%E +0.035%K +0.037%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -5.83%E -0.686%K -0.778%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-03 19:14
betano_uk🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.18%EV -8.70%E -7.90%K -86.95%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV +0.591%E +0.035%K +0.037%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -11.37%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-03 19:14
Bet Victor🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.18%EV -8.70%E -7.90%K -86.95%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV +0.591%E +0.035%K +0.037%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -11.37%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-03 19:15
Pinnacle🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.27%EV -7.87%E -7.09%K -71.50%G +0.000%16.27I 6.15%NM 5.75%EV -3.73%E -0.229%K -0.244%G +0.000%9.37I 10.67%NM 9.98%EV +3.81%E +0.406%K +0.455%G +0.017%6.9%2026-09-03 19:25
FanDuel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 82.77%EV -7.87%E -7.09%K -71.50%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.74%EV -5.33%E -0.333%K -0.355%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -11.37%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-03 19:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.01%EV -7.04%E -6.28%K -58.63%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.74%EV -5.33%E -0.333%K -0.355%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.25%EV -16.91%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-03 18:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.64%EV -5.38%E -4.71%K -38.39%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -11.24%E -0.750%K -0.803%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.08%EV -5.83%E -0.686%K -0.778%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 19:24
William Hill🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -5.38%E -4.71%K -38.39%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -11.24%E -0.750%K -0.803%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -11.37%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 19:20
BetMGM🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.89%EV -2.88%E -2.47%K -16.97%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.84%EV -17.16%E -1.23%K -1.32%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -5.83%E -0.686%K -0.778%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-03 19:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.46%EV -2.88%E -2.47%K -16.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.33%EV -23.08%E -1.78%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.21%EV -5.83%E -0.686%K -0.778%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 19:19
Coral🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.46%EV -2.88%E -2.47%K -16.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.33%EV -23.08%E -1.78%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.21%EV -5.83%E -0.686%K -0.778%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 19:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -2.88%E -2.47%K -16.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -23.08%E -1.78%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -16.91%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 16:55
TABtouch🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -2.88%E -2.47%K -16.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -23.08%E -1.78%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -16.91%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 16:55
Grosvenor🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -2.88%E -2.47%K -16.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -23.08%E -1.78%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -16.91%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -2.88%E -2.47%K -16.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -23.08%E -1.78%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -16.91%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 16:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -2.88%E -2.47%K -16.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -23.08%E -1.78%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -16.91%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 16:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -2.88%E -2.47%K -16.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -23.08%E -1.78%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -16.91%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 16:55
Casumo🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -2.88%E -2.47%K -16.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -23.08%E -1.78%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -16.91%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 17:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -2.88%E -2.47%K -16.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -23.08%E -1.78%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -16.91%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 17:00
betPARX🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -2.88%E -2.47%K -16.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -23.08%E -1.78%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -16.91%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 17:00
Unibet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -2.88%E -2.47%K -16.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -23.08%E -1.78%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -16.91%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 17:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.67%EV -5.38%E -4.71%K -38.39%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV -23.08%E -1.78%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -16.91%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 19:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.67%EV -5.38%E -4.71%K -38.39%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV -23.08%E -1.78%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -16.91%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 19:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 82.73%EV -7.87%E -7.09%K -71.50%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.06%EV -23.08%E -1.78%K -1.92%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.20%EV -0.293%E -0.033%K -0.037%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-03 17:00
888sport🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.56%EV -7.04%E -6.28%K -58.63%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.03%EV -23.08%E -1.78%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -11.37%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-03 19:50
Neds🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -3.71%E -3.20%K -23.22%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -28.99%E -2.42%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -11.37%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 19:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -3.71%E -3.20%K -23.22%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -28.99%E -2.42%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -11.37%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 19:15
LeoVegas🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 80.47%EV -7.04%E -6.28%K -58.63%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.51%EV -28.99%E -2.42%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV -16.91%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-03 19:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 79.53%EV -7.04%E -6.28%K -58.63%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.75%EV -31.95%E -2.78%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.72%EV -22.45%E -3.21%K -3.74%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-03 16:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 79.53%EV -7.04%E -6.28%K -58.63%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.75%EV -31.95%E -2.78%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.72%EV -22.45%E -3.21%K -3.74%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-03 16:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 79.53%EV -7.04%E -6.28%K -58.63%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.75%EV -31.95%E -2.78%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.72%EV -22.45%E -3.21%K -3.74%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-03 17:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 80.36%EV -9.53%E -8.74%K -105.84%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.34%EV -37.87%E -3.61%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.30%EV -14.14%E -1.82%K -2.10%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-03 18:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 79.41%EV -9.53%E -8.74%K -105.84%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.66%EV -40.83%E -4.08%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 11.94%EV -19.68%E -2.71%K -3.15%G +0.000%15.5%2026-09-03 18:34
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (3)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%177.8%2026-09-03 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%177.8%2026-09-03 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%188.5%2026-09-03 16:55