Language:English
Watford v Southampton
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Watford (Local)
Prediction 26.32%3.80fair odd
EV +6.32%
Edge +1.56%
Kelly +2.08%
Growth +0.131%
assuming max odds 4.04
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.02%26.30%26.45%28.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.533.504.0429.85%28.29%28.57%24.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Southampton (Visit)
Prediction 47.74%2.09fair odd
EV -1.66%
Edge -0.804%
Kelly -1.56%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.06
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.84%47.74%47.53%49.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.971.982.0654.64%50.66%50.51%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.94%3.85fair odd
EV -2.45%
Edge -0.653%
Kelly -0.889%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.76
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.34%25.96%26.02%27.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.563.603.7630.30%28.09%27.78%26.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Watford (Local): 26.32%; Southampton (Visit): 47.74%; Draw: 25.94%. For Watford (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.80. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.04, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.32%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.04I 24.75%NM 24.02%EV +6.32%E +1.56%K +2.08%G +0.131% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.25%EV -5.95%E -3.02%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.73%EV -5.83%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-16 12:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.10%EV +0.006%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.41%EV -5.95%E -3.02%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.49%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 12:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV +0.006%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.67%EV -6.91%E -3.54%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 12:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV +0.006%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.66%EV -9.30%E -4.89%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.50%EV -4.01%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 12:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49%EV -1.31%E -0.349%K -0.476%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.02%EV -6.91%E -3.54%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49%EV -2.71%E -0.723%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 11:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.59%EV -2.10%E -0.564%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.33%EV -5.95%E -3.02%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.08%EV -5.31%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 11:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.59%EV -2.10%E -0.564%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.33%EV -5.95%E -3.02%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.08%EV -5.31%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 11:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76%EV -2.63%E -0.710%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.13%EV -5.48%E -2.77%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -5.31%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 11:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -2.63%E -0.710%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.86%E -4.07%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -4.01%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 12:19 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -2.63%E -0.710%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.86%E -4.07%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -4.01%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 12:18 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV -3.94%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.80%EV -1.66%E -0.804%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.78%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-16 11:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV -3.94%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.80%EV -1.66%E -0.804%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.78%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-16 11:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV -3.94%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.80%EV -1.66%E -0.804%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.78%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-16 12:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -3.94%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.17%EV -6.91%E -3.54%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-16 12:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.81%EV -4.99%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.45%EV -2.61%E -1.28%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.74%EV -2.45%E -0.653%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-16 12:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.60%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.87%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.53%EV -2.71%E -0.723%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-16 12:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -6.91%E -3.54%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -4.01%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 12:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.91%E -3.54%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 11:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -6.91%E -3.54%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-16 12:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -6.91%E -3.54%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-16 12:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -9.30%E -4.89%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-16 11:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.52%EV -6.31%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.51%EV -3.09%E -1.52%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 12:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.52%EV -6.31%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.51%EV -3.09%E -1.52%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 12:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -6.57%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.65%EV -11.20%E -6.02%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-16 12:14 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.53I 28.33%NM 25.76%EV -7.10%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.11%EV -9.77%E -5.17%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.13%EV -9.72%E -2.79%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-16 12:03 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.68%EV -7.36%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.72%EV -4.04%E -2.01%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.60%EV -8.42%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-16 08:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -7.36%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.13%EV -5.48%E -2.77%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.36%EV -8.16%E -2.31%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 12:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -2.71%E -0.723%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 11:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -2.71%E -0.723%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 11:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -4.01%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 11:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.60%EV -5.48%E -2.77%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -4.01%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 11:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -10.50%E -3.04%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-16 12:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -10.50%E -3.04%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-16 12:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -10.50%E -3.04%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-16 12:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -10.50%E -3.04%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-16 12:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -10.50%E -3.04%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-16 11:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -10.50%E -3.04%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-16 12:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -6.91%E -3.54%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-16 12:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -6.91%E -3.54%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-16 12:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -9.20%E -2.67%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.63%EV -6.91%E -3.54%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -5.31%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-16 11:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -9.20%E -2.67%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -5.95%E -3.02%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -10.50%E -3.04%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-16 12:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -9.20%E -2.67%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.88%EV -7.39%E -3.81%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-16 11:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -9.20%E -2.67%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.88%EV -7.39%E -3.81%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-16 11:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.91%EV -9.20%E -2.67%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.80%EV -10.73%E -5.74%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-16 12:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -10.52%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -2.13%E -1.04%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 11:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -10.52%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -2.13%E -1.04%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 11:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -10.52%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -2.13%E -1.04%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 11:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -10.52%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-16 12:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -10.52%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-16 12:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -10.52%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-16 12:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -10.52%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-16 12:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -10.52%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-16 12:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -10.52%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -5.48%E -2.77%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -7.90%E -2.23%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-16 12:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -10.52%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.81%EV -10.73%E -5.74%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -2.71%E -0.723%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-16 11:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -10.52%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.26%EV -6.43%E -3.28%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -13.09%E -3.91%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-16 11:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -10.52%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.26%EV -6.43%E -3.28%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -13.09%E -3.91%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-16 11:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -10.52%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.39%EV -6.91%E -3.54%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -13.09%E -3.91%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-16 11:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -11.84%E -3.53%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -2.13%E -1.04%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-16 11:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -11.84%E -3.53%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -2.13%E -1.04%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-16 11:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -11.84%E -3.53%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.66%EV -10.25%E -5.45%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-16 11:34 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.00%EV -11.84%E -3.53%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.60%EV -12.64%E -6.91%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -14.39%E -4.36%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-08-16 12:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.30% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.18% | 0.5% | 2026-08-16 12:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.30% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.18% | 0.5% | 2026-08-16 12:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.30% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.18% | 0.5% | 2026-08-16 12:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.30% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.18% | 0.5% | 2026-08-16 12:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.52% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72% | 1.0% | 2026-08-16 11:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.55% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06% | 1.0% | 2026-08-16 12:25 |