The School of OddsWatford v Southampton
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Head to Head
Watford (Local)
Prediction 28.55%3.50fair odd
EV -4.09%
Edge -1.22%
Kelly -1.73%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.36
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.93%28.59%28.52%29.43%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.903.223.243.3634%31%31%30%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Southampton (Visit)
Prediction 44.96%2.22fair odd
EV -3.33%
Edge -1.55%
Kelly -2.89%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.00%44.98%45.03%45.82%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.872.042.052.1553%49%49%47%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Draw
Prediction 26.49%3.78fair odd
EV -0.664%
Edge -0.177%
Kelly -0.242%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.01%26.44%26.45%28.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.203.473.503.7531%29%29%27%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.30%EV -4.09%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.07%EV -5.12%E -2.43%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.64%EV -5.43%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-19 12:40 |
| Bovada | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.66%EV -4.37%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.66%EV -3.33%E -1.55%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.67%EV -4.64%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-25 12:44 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.36%EV -4.37%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.24%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -4.64%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-10 15:50 |
| Coolbet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.97%EV -5.80%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.53%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.50%EV -0.664%E -0.177%K -0.242%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-14 18:59 |
| SportsBet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%EV -5.80%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.37%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -1.99%E -0.537%K -0.737%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-25 21:20 |
| FanDuel | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -5.80%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -4.64%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-25 21:20 |
| Coral | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -5.80%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -4.64%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-21 19:20 |
| DraftKings | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.80%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-06 11:15 |
| Neds | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.80%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-21 19:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.80%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-21 19:20 |
| BetMGM | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.80%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-21 19:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.80%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-21 19:20 |
| Fanatics | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.80%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-17 13:42 |
| 1xBet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -5.80%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.83%EV -6.02%E -2.88%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-25 12:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.27%EV -5.80%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.07%EV -6.92%E -3.34%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-25 12:39 |
| William Hill | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -5.80%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -12.58%E -3.81%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-21 16:34 |
| 888sport | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -5.80%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -12.58%E -3.81%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-21 16:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -5.80%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -12.58%E -3.81%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-21 19:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -5.80%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -12.58%E -3.81%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-21 19:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.80%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.82%E -3.82%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-26 14:19 |
| betfred_uk | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -7.23%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.33%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -0.664%E -0.177%K -0.242%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-25 21:20 |
| Bet Right | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -7.23%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.01%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.90%EV -3.31%E -0.908%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-13 09:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -7.23%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -4.64%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 02:59 |
| TAB | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -7.23%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -4.64%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-19 06:40 |
| Sky Bet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.23%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -7.82%E -3.82%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -4.64%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-25 21:20 |
| NordicBet | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.34%EV -7.51%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.83%EV -4.67%E -2.20%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.83%EV -2.52%E -0.684%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-19 06:35 |
| Betsson | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.34%EV -7.51%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.83%EV -4.67%E -2.20%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.83%EV -2.52%E -0.684%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-19 06:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.82%E -3.82%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-10 15:50 |
| Bet Victor | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.82%E -3.82%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-22 13:34 |
| betano_uk | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.82%E -3.82%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-22 13:34 |
| Paddy Power | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -10.07%E -5.04%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-25 21:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.43%EV -10.97%E -5.54%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-30 06:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.43%EV -10.97%E -5.54%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-30 06:19 |
| Unibet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.43%EV -10.97%E -5.54%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-30 06:49 |
| Bally Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.42%E -5.80%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-06-30 05:59 |
| betPARX | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.42%E -5.80%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-06-30 05:59 |
| Grosvenor | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.42%E -5.80%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-06-30 06:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.42%E -5.80%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-06-30 06:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.42%E -5.80%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-06-30 06:19 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.42%E -5.80%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-06-30 06:19 |
| Casumo | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.42%E -5.80%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-06-30 06:19 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.42%E -5.80%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-06-30 06:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.42%E -5.80%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-06-30 06:19 |
| TABtouch | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.42%E -5.80%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-06-30 06:30 |
| BetRivers | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.42%E -5.80%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-06-30 14:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.42%E -5.80%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-16 18:25 |
| PlayUp | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -10.08%E -3.20%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -7.82%E -3.82%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-22 10:54 |
| Betway | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.51%E -3.71%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.82%E -3.82%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-17 12:44 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.22%EV -12.94%E -4.24%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 45.30%EV -14.57%E -7.67%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.48%EV -13.91%E -4.28%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-07-10 15:50 |
| BoyleSports | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -14.36%E -4.79%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.82%EV -14.12%E -7.39%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.01%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-07-23 15:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.30%EV -14.36%E -4.79%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 45.16%EV -15.47%E -8.23%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.53%EV -15.23%E -4.76%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-07-11 15:34 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.98I 33.56%NM 28.42%EV -14.93%E -5.01%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 45.28%EV -15.92%E -8.51%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 26.30%EV -14.70%E -4.57%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-07-10 15:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.25%EV -17.22%E -5.94%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 44.65%EV -14.57%E -7.67%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.10%EV -13.91%E -4.28%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-07-10 15:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81% | 6.6% | 2026-07-25 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81% | 6.6% | 2026-07-25 09:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81% | 6.6% | 2026-07-25 09:25 |
| Smarkets | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86% | 7.9% | 2026-07-25 09:30 |