A Escola das Odds

Watford v Southampton

2026-08-16 12:30 UTC — Championship

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Watford (Local)

Previsão 28.55%3.50odd justa
EV -4.09%
Vantagem -1.22%
Kelly -1.73%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.36

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.93%28.59%28.52%29.43%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.903.223.243.3634.48%31.02%30.86%29.76%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Southampton (Visitante)

Previsão 44.96%2.22odd justa
EV -3.33%
Vantagem -1.55%
Kelly -2.89%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.00%44.98%45.03%45.82%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.872.042.052.1553.48%49.10%48.78%46.51%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 26.49%3.78odd justa
EV -0.664%
Vantagem -0.177%
Kelly -0.242%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.01%26.44%26.45%28.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.203.473.503.7531.25%28.82%28.57%26.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle3.36I 29.76%NM 28.30%EV -4.09%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.07%EV -5.12%E -2.43%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.64%EV -5.43%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-19 12:40
Bovada3.35I 29.85%NM 28.66%EV -4.37%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.66%EV -3.33%E -1.55%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.67%EV -4.64%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-25 22:11
Codere (IT)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.36%EV -4.37%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.24%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -4.64%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 15:50
Coolbet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.97%EV -5.80%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.53%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.50%EV -0.664%E -0.177%K -0.242%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-14 18:59
SportsBet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%EV -5.80%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.37%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -1.99%E -0.537%K -0.737%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-25 21:20
FanDuel3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -5.80%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -4.64%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-25 21:20
Coral3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -5.80%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -4.64%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-21 19:20
DraftKings3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.80%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-06 11:15
Neds3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.80%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-21 19:20
Ladbrokes (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.80%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-21 19:20
BetMGM3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.80%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-21 19:20
Ladbrokes (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.80%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-21 19:20
Fanatics3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.80%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-17 13:42
1xBet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -5.80%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.83%EV -6.02%E -2.88%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 22:13
Marathon Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.27%EV -5.80%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.07%EV -6.92%E -3.34%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 22:10
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -5.80%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -12.58%E -3.81%K -5.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-21 16:34
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -5.80%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -12.58%E -3.81%K -5.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-21 16:35
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -5.80%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -12.58%E -3.81%K -5.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-21 19:20
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -5.80%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -12.58%E -3.81%K -5.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-21 19:20
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.80%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.82%E -3.82%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-26 14:19
betfred_uk3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -7.23%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.33%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -0.664%E -0.177%K -0.242%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-25 21:20
Bet Right3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -7.23%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.01%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.90%EV -3.31%E -0.908%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-13 09:55
Betr (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -7.23%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -4.64%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 02:59
TAB3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -7.23%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -4.64%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-19 06:40
Sky Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.23%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -7.82%E -3.82%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -4.64%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-25 21:20
NordicBet3.24I 30.86%NM 29.34%EV -7.51%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.83%EV -4.67%E -2.20%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.83%EV -2.52%E -0.684%K -0.940%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-19 06:35
Betsson3.24I 30.86%NM 29.34%EV -7.51%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.83%EV -4.67%E -2.20%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.83%EV -2.52%E -0.684%K -0.940%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-19 06:35
Unibet (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.82%E -3.82%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-10 15:50
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.82%E -3.82%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-22 13:34
betano_uk3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.82%E -3.82%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-22 13:34
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -10.07%E -5.04%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-25 21:30
Virgin Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.43%EV -10.97%E -5.54%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 06:19
LiveScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.43%EV -10.97%E -5.54%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 06:19
Unibet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.43%EV -10.97%E -5.54%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 06:49
Bally Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.42%E -5.80%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 05:59
betPARX3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.42%E -5.80%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 05:59
Grosvenor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.42%E -5.80%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 06:19
LeoVegas (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.42%E -5.80%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 06:19
Unibet (NL)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.42%E -5.80%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 06:19
Unibet (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.42%E -5.80%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 06:19
Casumo3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.42%E -5.80%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 06:19
Svenska Spel3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.42%E -5.80%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 06:19
ATG (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.42%E -5.80%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 06:19
TABtouch3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.42%E -5.80%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 06:30
BetRivers3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.42%E -5.80%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 14:40
PMU (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.42%E -5.80%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-16 18:25
PlayUp3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -10.08%E -3.20%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -7.82%E -3.82%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-22 10:54
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.51%E -3.71%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.82%E -3.82%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-17 12:44
Unibet (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 28.22%EV -12.94%E -4.24%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 45.30%EV -14.57%E -7.67%K -16.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.48%EV -13.91%E -4.28%K -6.18%G +0.000%16.2%2026-07-10 15:50
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -14.36%E -4.79%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.82%EV -14.12%E -7.39%K -15.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.01%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-23 15:55
NetBet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.30%EV -14.36%E -4.79%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 45.16%EV -15.47%E -8.23%K -17.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.53%EV -15.23%E -4.76%K -6.92%G +0.000%17.8%2026-07-11 15:34
Betclic (FR)2.98I 33.56%NM 28.42%EV -14.93%E -5.01%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 45.28%EV -15.92%E -8.51%K -18.29%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 26.30%EV -14.70%E -4.57%K -6.62%G +0.000%18.1%2026-07-10 15:49
Winamax (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 29.25%EV -17.22%E -5.94%K -9.06%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 44.65%EV -14.57%E -7.67%K -16.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.10%EV -13.91%E -4.28%K -6.18%G +0.000%17.9%2026-07-10 15:49
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%6.6%2026-07-26 02:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%6.6%2026-07-25 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%6.6%2026-07-25 17:50
Smarkets3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%7.9%2026-07-26 02:05