La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Watford v Southampton
Resultado del partido
Watford (Local)
Predicción 28.55%3.50momio equitativo
EV -4.09%
Ventaja -1.22%
Kelly -1.73%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.36
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.93%28.59%28.52%29.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.223.243.3634.48%31.02%30.86%29.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Southampton (Visitante)
Predicción 44.96%2.22momio equitativo
EV -3.33%
Ventaja -1.55%
Kelly -2.89%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.00%44.98%45.03%45.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.872.042.052.1553.48%49.10%48.78%46.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.49%3.78momio equitativo
EV -0.664%
Ventaja -0.177%
Kelly -0.242%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.01%26.44%26.45%28.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.473.503.7531.25%28.82%28.57%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.30%EV -4.09%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.07%EV -5.12%E -2.43%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.64%EV -5.43%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-19 12:40 |
| Bovada | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.66%EV -4.37%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.66%EV -3.33%E -1.55%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.67%EV -4.64%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-25 22:11 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.36%EV -4.37%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.24%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -4.64%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-10 15:50 |
| Coolbet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.97%EV -5.80%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.53%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.50%EV -0.664%E -0.177%K -0.242%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-14 18:59 |
| SportsBet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%EV -5.80%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.37%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -1.99%E -0.537%K -0.737%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-25 21:20 |
| FanDuel | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -5.80%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -4.64%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-25 21:20 |
| Coral | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -5.80%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -4.64%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-21 19:20 |
| DraftKings | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.80%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-06 11:15 |
| Neds | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.80%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-21 19:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.80%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-21 19:20 |
| BetMGM | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.80%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-21 19:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.80%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-21 19:20 |
| Fanatics | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.80%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-17 13:42 |
| 1xBet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -5.80%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.83%EV -6.02%E -2.88%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-25 22:13 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.27%EV -5.80%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.07%EV -6.92%E -3.34%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-25 22:10 |
| William Hill | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -5.80%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -12.58%E -3.81%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-21 16:34 |
| 888sport | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -5.80%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -12.58%E -3.81%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-21 16:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -5.80%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -12.58%E -3.81%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-21 19:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -5.80%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -12.58%E -3.81%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-21 19:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.80%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.82%E -3.82%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-26 14:19 |
| betfred_uk | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -7.23%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.33%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -0.664%E -0.177%K -0.242%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-25 21:20 |
| Bet Right | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -7.23%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.01%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.90%EV -3.31%E -0.908%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-13 09:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -7.23%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -4.64%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 02:59 |
| TAB | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -7.23%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -4.64%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-19 06:40 |
| Sky Bet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.23%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -7.82%E -3.82%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -4.64%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-25 21:20 |
| NordicBet | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.34%EV -7.51%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.83%EV -4.67%E -2.20%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.83%EV -2.52%E -0.684%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-19 06:35 |
| Betsson | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.34%EV -7.51%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.83%EV -4.67%E -2.20%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.83%EV -2.52%E -0.684%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-19 06:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.82%E -3.82%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-10 15:50 |
| Bet Victor | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.82%E -3.82%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-22 13:34 |
| betano_uk | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.82%E -3.82%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-22 13:34 |
| Paddy Power | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -10.07%E -5.04%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-25 21:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.43%EV -10.97%E -5.54%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-30 06:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.43%EV -10.97%E -5.54%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-30 06:19 |
| Unibet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.43%EV -10.97%E -5.54%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-30 06:49 |
| Bally Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.42%E -5.80%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-06-30 05:59 |
| betPARX | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.42%E -5.80%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-06-30 05:59 |
| Grosvenor | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.42%E -5.80%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-06-30 06:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.42%E -5.80%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-06-30 06:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.42%E -5.80%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-06-30 06:19 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.42%E -5.80%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-06-30 06:19 |
| Casumo | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.42%E -5.80%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-06-30 06:19 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.42%E -5.80%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-06-30 06:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.42%E -5.80%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-06-30 06:19 |
| TABtouch | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.42%E -5.80%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-06-30 06:30 |
| BetRivers | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.42%E -5.80%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-06-30 14:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.42%E -5.80%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-16 18:25 |
| PlayUp | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -10.08%E -3.20%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -7.82%E -3.82%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-22 10:54 |
| Betway | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.51%E -3.71%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.82%E -3.82%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-17 12:44 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.22%EV -12.94%E -4.24%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 45.30%EV -14.57%E -7.67%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.48%EV -13.91%E -4.28%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-07-10 15:50 |
| BoyleSports | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -14.36%E -4.79%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.82%EV -14.12%E -7.39%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.01%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-07-23 15:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.30%EV -14.36%E -4.79%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 45.16%EV -15.47%E -8.23%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.53%EV -15.23%E -4.76%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-07-11 15:34 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.98I 33.56%NM 28.42%EV -14.93%E -5.01%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 45.28%EV -15.92%E -8.51%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 26.30%EV -14.70%E -4.57%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-07-10 15:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.25%EV -17.22%E -5.94%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 44.65%EV -14.57%E -7.67%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.10%EV -13.91%E -4.28%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-07-10 15:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81% | 6.6% | 2026-07-26 02:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81% | 6.6% | 2026-07-25 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81% | 6.6% | 2026-07-25 17:50 |
| Smarkets | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86% | 7.9% | 2026-07-26 02:05 |