مدرسة الاحتمالات

Watford v Southampton

2026-08-16 12:30 UTC — Championship

نتيجة المباراة

53 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Watford (المضيف)

التنبؤ 28.55%3.50السعر العادل
EV -4.09%
الأفضلية -1.22%
Kelly -1.73%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.36

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.93%28.59%28.52%29.43%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.903.223.243.3634.48%31.02%30.86%29.76%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Southampton (الضيف)

التنبؤ 44.96%2.22السعر العادل
EV -3.33%
الأفضلية -1.55%
Kelly -2.89%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.15

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
44.00%44.98%45.03%45.82%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.872.042.052.1553.48%49.10%48.78%46.51%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.49%3.78السعر العادل
EV -0.664%
الأفضلية -0.177%
Kelly -0.242%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.01%26.44%26.45%28.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.203.473.503.7531.25%28.82%28.57%26.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (53 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle3.36I 29.76%NM 28.30%EV -4.09%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.07%EV -5.12%E -2.43%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.64%EV -5.43%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-19 12:40
Bovada3.35I 29.85%NM 28.66%EV -4.37%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.66%EV -3.33%E -1.55%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.67%EV -4.64%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-25 22:11
Codere (IT)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.36%EV -4.37%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.24%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -4.64%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 15:50
Coolbet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.97%EV -5.80%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.53%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.50%EV -0.664%E -0.177%K -0.242%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-14 18:59
SportsBet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%EV -5.80%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.37%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -1.99%E -0.537%K -0.737%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-25 21:20
FanDuel3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -5.80%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -4.64%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-25 21:20
Coral3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -5.80%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -4.64%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-21 19:20
DraftKings3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.80%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-06 11:15
Neds3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.80%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-21 19:20
Ladbrokes (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.80%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-21 19:20
BetMGM3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.80%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-21 19:20
Ladbrokes (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.80%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-21 19:20
Fanatics3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.80%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-17 13:42
1xBet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -5.80%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.83%EV -6.02%E -2.88%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 22:13
Marathon Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.27%EV -5.80%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.07%EV -6.92%E -3.34%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 22:10
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -5.80%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -12.58%E -3.81%K -5.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-21 16:34
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -5.80%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -12.58%E -3.81%K -5.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-21 16:35
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -5.80%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -12.58%E -3.81%K -5.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-21 19:20
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -5.80%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -12.58%E -3.81%K -5.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-21 19:20
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.80%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.82%E -3.82%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-26 14:19
betfred_uk3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -7.23%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.33%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -0.664%E -0.177%K -0.242%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-25 21:20
Bet Right3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -7.23%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.01%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.90%EV -3.31%E -0.908%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-13 09:55
Betr (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -7.23%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -4.64%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 02:59
TAB3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -7.23%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -4.64%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-19 06:40
Sky Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.23%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -7.82%E -3.82%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -4.64%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-25 21:20
NordicBet3.24I 30.86%NM 29.34%EV -7.51%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.83%EV -4.67%E -2.20%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.83%EV -2.52%E -0.684%K -0.940%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-19 06:35
Betsson3.24I 30.86%NM 29.34%EV -7.51%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.83%EV -4.67%E -2.20%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.83%EV -2.52%E -0.684%K -0.940%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-19 06:35
Unibet (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.82%E -3.82%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-10 15:50
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.82%E -3.82%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-22 13:34
betano_uk3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.82%E -3.82%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-22 13:34
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -10.07%E -5.04%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-25 21:30
Virgin Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.43%EV -10.97%E -5.54%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 06:19
LiveScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.43%EV -10.97%E -5.54%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 06:19
Unibet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.43%EV -10.97%E -5.54%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 06:49
Bally Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.42%E -5.80%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 05:59
betPARX3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.42%E -5.80%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 05:59
Grosvenor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.42%E -5.80%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 06:19
LeoVegas (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.42%E -5.80%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 06:19
Unibet (NL)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.42%E -5.80%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 06:19
Unibet (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.42%E -5.80%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 06:19
Casumo3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.42%E -5.80%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 06:19
Svenska Spel3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.42%E -5.80%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 06:19
ATG (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.42%E -5.80%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 06:19
TABtouch3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.42%E -5.80%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 06:30
BetRivers3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.42%E -5.80%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 14:40
PMU (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.42%E -5.80%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-16 18:25
PlayUp3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -10.08%E -3.20%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -7.82%E -3.82%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-22 10:54
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.51%E -3.71%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.82%E -3.82%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-17 12:44
Unibet (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 28.22%EV -12.94%E -4.24%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 45.30%EV -14.57%E -7.67%K -16.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.48%EV -13.91%E -4.28%K -6.18%G +0.000%16.2%2026-07-10 15:50
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -14.36%E -4.79%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.82%EV -14.12%E -7.39%K -15.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.01%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-23 15:55
NetBet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.30%EV -14.36%E -4.79%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 45.16%EV -15.47%E -8.23%K -17.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.53%EV -15.23%E -4.76%K -6.92%G +0.000%17.8%2026-07-11 15:34
Betclic (FR)2.98I 33.56%NM 28.42%EV -14.93%E -5.01%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 45.28%EV -15.92%E -8.51%K -18.29%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 26.30%EV -14.70%E -4.57%K -6.62%G +0.000%18.1%2026-07-10 15:49
Winamax (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 29.25%EV -17.22%E -5.94%K -9.06%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 44.65%EV -14.57%E -7.67%K -16.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.10%EV -13.91%E -4.28%K -6.18%G +0.000%17.9%2026-07-10 15:49
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (4)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%6.6%2026-07-26 02:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%6.6%2026-07-25 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%6.6%2026-07-25 17:50
Smarkets3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%7.9%2026-07-26 02:05