L’École des cotes

Watford v Southampton

2026-08-16 12:30 UTC — Championship

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Watford (Local)

Prévision 28.57%3.50cote équitable
EV -4.01%
Avantage -1.19%
Kelly -1.70%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.36

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.93%28.60%28.51%29.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.903.223.223.3634.48%31.03%31.06%29.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Southampton (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.99%2.22cote équitable
EV -3.27%
Avantage -1.52%
Kelly -2.84%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.00%44.99%45.05%45.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.872.042.052.1553.48%49.13%48.78%46.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.44%3.78cote équitable
EV -0.852%
Avantage -0.227%
Kelly -0.310%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.01%26.41%26.44%28.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.473.503.7531.25%28.82%28.57%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle3.36I 29.76%NM 28.30%EV -4.01%E -1.19%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.07%EV -5.07%E -2.40%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.64%EV -5.61%E -1.57%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-19 12:40
Bovada3.35I 29.85%NM 28.66%EV -4.29%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.66%EV -3.27%E -1.52%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.67%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-25 22:11
Codere (IT)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.36%EV -4.29%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.24%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 15:50
Coolbet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.97%EV -5.72%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.53%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.50%EV -0.852%E -0.227%K -0.310%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-14 18:59
SportsBet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%EV -5.72%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.37%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -2.17%E -0.587%K -0.805%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-25 21:20
FanDuel3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -5.72%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-25 21:20
Coral3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -5.72%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-21 19:20
DraftKings3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.72%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-06 11:15
Neds3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.72%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-21 19:20
Ladbrokes (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.72%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-21 19:20
BetMGM3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.72%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-21 19:20
Ladbrokes (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.72%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-21 19:20
1xBet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -5.72%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.83%EV -5.97%E -2.86%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 22:13
Marathon Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.27%EV -5.72%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.07%EV -6.87%E -3.32%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 22:10
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -5.72%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -12.75%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-21 16:34
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -5.72%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -12.75%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-21 16:35
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -5.72%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -12.75%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-21 19:20
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -5.72%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -12.75%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-21 19:20
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.72%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.77%E -3.79%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-26 14:19
betfred_uk3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.33%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -0.852%E -0.227%K -0.310%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-25 21:20
Bet Right3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.01%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.90%EV -3.50%E -0.958%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-13 09:55
Betr (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 02:59
TAB3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-19 06:40
Sky Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -7.77%E -3.79%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-25 21:20
NordicBet3.24I 30.86%NM 29.34%EV -7.43%E -2.29%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.83%EV -4.62%E -2.18%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.83%EV -2.70%E -0.734%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-19 06:35
Betsson3.24I 30.86%NM 29.34%EV -7.43%E -2.29%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.83%EV -4.62%E -2.18%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.83%EV -2.70%E -0.734%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-19 06:35
Unibet (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.58%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.77%E -3.79%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-10 15:50
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.58%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.77%E -3.79%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-22 13:34
betano_uk3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.58%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.77%E -3.79%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-22 13:34
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.58%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -10.02%E -5.01%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-25 21:30
Virgin Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -8.58%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.43%EV -10.92%E -5.51%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 06:19
LiveScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -8.58%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.43%EV -10.92%E -5.51%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 06:19
Unibet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -8.58%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.43%EV -10.92%E -5.51%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 06:49
Bally Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.58%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.37%E -5.77%K -11.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 05:59
betPARX3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.58%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.37%E -5.77%K -11.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 05:59
Grosvenor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.58%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.37%E -5.77%K -11.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 06:19
LeoVegas (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.58%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.37%E -5.77%K -11.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 06:19
Unibet (NL)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.58%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.37%E -5.77%K -11.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 06:19
Unibet (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.58%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.37%E -5.77%K -11.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 06:19
Casumo3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.58%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.37%E -5.77%K -11.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 06:19
Svenska Spel3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.58%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.37%E -5.77%K -11.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 06:19
ATG (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.58%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.37%E -5.77%K -11.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 06:19
TABtouch3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.58%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.37%E -5.77%K -11.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 06:30
BetRivers3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.58%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.37%E -5.77%K -11.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 14:40
PMU (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.58%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.37%E -5.77%K -11.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-16 18:25
PlayUp3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -10.01%E -3.18%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -7.77%E -3.79%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-22 10:54
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.43%E -3.69%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.77%E -3.79%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-17 12:44
Unibet (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 28.22%EV -12.86%E -4.22%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 45.30%EV -14.52%E -7.64%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.48%EV -14.07%E -4.33%K -6.25%G +0.000%16.2%2026-07-10 15:50
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -14.29%E -4.76%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.82%EV -14.07%E -7.37%K -15.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.01%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-23 15:55
NetBet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.30%EV -14.29%E -4.76%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 45.16%EV -15.42%E -8.20%K -17.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.53%EV -15.39%E -4.81%K -7.00%G +0.000%17.8%2026-07-11 15:34
Betclic (FR)2.98I 33.56%NM 28.42%EV -14.86%E -4.99%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 45.28%EV -15.87%E -8.49%K -18.24%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 26.30%EV -14.86%E -4.62%K -6.70%G +0.000%18.1%2026-07-10 15:49
Winamax (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 29.25%EV -17.15%E -5.91%K -9.03%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 44.65%EV -14.52%E -7.64%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.10%EV -14.07%E -4.33%K -6.25%G +0.000%17.9%2026-07-10 15:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%6.6%2026-07-26 02:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%6.6%2026-07-25 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%6.6%2026-07-25 17:50
Smarkets3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%7.9%2026-07-26 02:05