Школа коэффициентов

Watford v Southampton

2026-08-16 12:30 UTC — Championship

Победитель встречи

52 букмекерские конторы (15 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Watford (Хозяева)

Прогноз 28.57%3.50справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.01%
Преимущество -1.19%
Kelly -1.70%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.36

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
27.93%28.60%28.51%29.43%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.903.223.223.3634.48%31.03%31.06%29.76%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Southampton (Гости)

Прогноз 44.99%2.22справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.27%
Преимущество -1.52%
Kelly -2.84%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.15

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
44.00%44.99%45.05%45.82%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.872.042.052.1553.48%49.13%48.78%46.51%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 26.44%3.78справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.852%
Преимущество -0.227%
Kelly -0.310%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.75

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
25.01%26.41%26.44%28.00%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.203.473.503.7531.25%28.82%28.57%26.67%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (52 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиНичьяМаржаОбновлено
Pinnacle3.36I 29.76%NM 28.30%EV -4.01%E -1.19%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.07%EV -5.07%E -2.40%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.64%EV -5.61%E -1.57%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-19 12:40
Bovada3.35I 29.85%NM 28.66%EV -4.29%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.66%EV -3.27%E -1.52%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.67%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-25 22:11
Codere (IT)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.36%EV -4.29%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.24%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 15:50
Coolbet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.97%EV -5.72%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.53%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.50%EV -0.852%E -0.227%K -0.310%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-14 18:59
SportsBet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%EV -5.72%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.37%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -2.17%E -0.587%K -0.805%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-25 21:20
FanDuel3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -5.72%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-25 21:20
Coral3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -5.72%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-21 19:20
DraftKings3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.72%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-06 11:15
Neds3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.72%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-21 19:20
Ladbrokes (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.72%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-21 19:20
BetMGM3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.72%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-21 19:20
Ladbrokes (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.72%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-21 19:20
1xBet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -5.72%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.83%EV -5.97%E -2.86%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 22:13
Marathon Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.27%EV -5.72%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.07%EV -6.87%E -3.32%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 22:10
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -5.72%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -12.75%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-21 16:34
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -5.72%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -12.75%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-21 16:35
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -5.72%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -12.75%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-21 19:20
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -5.72%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -12.75%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-21 19:20
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.72%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.77%E -3.79%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-26 14:19
betfred_uk3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.33%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -0.852%E -0.227%K -0.310%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-25 21:20
Bet Right3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.01%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.90%EV -3.50%E -0.958%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-13 09:55
Betr (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 02:59
TAB3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-19 06:40
Sky Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -7.77%E -3.79%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-25 21:20
NordicBet3.24I 30.86%NM 29.34%EV -7.43%E -2.29%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.83%EV -4.62%E -2.18%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.83%EV -2.70%E -0.734%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-19 06:35
Betsson3.24I 30.86%NM 29.34%EV -7.43%E -2.29%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.83%EV -4.62%E -2.18%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.83%EV -2.70%E -0.734%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-19 06:35
Unibet (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.58%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.77%E -3.79%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-10 15:50
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.58%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.77%E -3.79%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-22 13:34
betano_uk3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.58%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.77%E -3.79%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-22 13:34
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.58%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -10.02%E -5.01%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-25 21:30
Virgin Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -8.58%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.43%EV -10.92%E -5.51%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 06:19
LiveScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -8.58%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.43%EV -10.92%E -5.51%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 06:19
Unibet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -8.58%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.43%EV -10.92%E -5.51%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 06:49
Bally Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.58%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.37%E -5.77%K -11.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 05:59
betPARX3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.58%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.37%E -5.77%K -11.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 05:59
Grosvenor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.58%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.37%E -5.77%K -11.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 06:19
LeoVegas (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.58%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.37%E -5.77%K -11.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 06:19
Unibet (NL)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.58%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.37%E -5.77%K -11.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 06:19
Unibet (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.58%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.37%E -5.77%K -11.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 06:19
Casumo3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.58%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.37%E -5.77%K -11.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 06:19
Svenska Spel3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.58%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.37%E -5.77%K -11.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 06:19
ATG (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.58%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.37%E -5.77%K -11.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 06:19
TABtouch3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.58%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.37%E -5.77%K -11.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 06:30
BetRivers3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.58%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.37%E -5.77%K -11.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 14:40
PMU (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.58%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -11.37%E -5.77%K -11.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-16 18:25
PlayUp3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -10.01%E -3.18%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -7.77%E -3.79%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-22 10:54
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.43%E -3.69%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.77%E -3.79%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-17 12:44
Unibet (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 28.22%EV -12.86%E -4.22%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 45.30%EV -14.52%E -7.64%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.48%EV -14.07%E -4.33%K -6.25%G +0.000%16.2%2026-07-10 15:50
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -14.29%E -4.76%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.82%EV -14.07%E -7.37%K -15.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.01%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-23 15:55
NetBet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.30%EV -14.29%E -4.76%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 45.16%EV -15.42%E -8.20%K -17.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.53%EV -15.39%E -4.81%K -7.00%G +0.000%17.8%2026-07-11 15:34
Betclic (FR)2.98I 33.56%NM 28.42%EV -14.86%E -4.99%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 45.28%EV -15.87%E -8.49%K -18.24%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 26.30%EV -14.86%E -4.62%K -6.70%G +0.000%18.1%2026-07-10 15:49
Winamax (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 29.25%EV -17.15%E -5.91%K -9.03%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 44.65%EV -14.52%E -7.64%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.10%EV -14.07%E -4.33%K -6.25%G +0.000%17.9%2026-07-10 15:49
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (4)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%6.6%2026-07-26 02:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%6.6%2026-07-25 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%6.6%2026-07-25 17:50
Smarkets3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%7.9%2026-07-26 02:05