Language:English
Watford v Derby County
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Watford (Local)
Prediction 46.23%2.16fair odd
EV -2.92%
Edge -1.39%
Kelly -2.65%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.96%46.22%46.16%47.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.802.022.042.1055.56%49.56%49.14%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Derby County (Visit)
Prediction 26.10%3.83fair odd
EV -0.815%
Edge -0.214%
Kelly -0.291%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.77%26.11%26.18%27.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.563.553.8031.75%28.11%28.17%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.67%3.61fair odd
EV -1.50%
Edge -0.422%
Kelly -0.587%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.56
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.64%27.68%27.66%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.383.403.5633.33%29.63%29.41%28.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Watford (Local): 46.23%; Derby County (Visit): 26.10%; Draw: 27.67%. For Derby County (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.83. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.80, with an expected value of -0.815%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.13%EV -2.92%E -1.39%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.18%EV -3.42%E -0.926%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.68%EV -3.16%E -0.903%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -2.92%E -1.39%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.49%EV -3.84%E -1.85%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.28%EV -3.95%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.24%EV -1.78%E -0.501%K -0.698%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.21%EV -3.84%E -1.85%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.33%EV -4.73%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.46%EV -3.16%E -0.903%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-21 14:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.21%EV -3.84%E -1.85%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.33%EV -4.73%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.46%EV -3.16%E -0.903%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-21 14:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.21%EV -3.84%E -1.85%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.33%EV -4.73%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.46%EV -3.16%E -0.903%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.24%EV -4.76%E -2.31%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.74%EV -3.42%E -0.926%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-21 08:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.52%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -2.12%E -0.565%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.05%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-21 14:33 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.22%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.46%EV -4.55%E -1.32%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.16%E -0.903%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.16%E -0.903%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-21 14:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-21 14:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-21 13:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -3.42%E -0.926%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-21 08:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -11.46%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-21 14:42 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -11.26%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.15%EV -5.69%E -2.79%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 14:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.15%EV -5.69%E -2.79%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 14:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.15%EV -5.69%E -2.79%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 14:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.15%EV -5.69%E -2.79%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 14:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.15%EV -5.69%E -2.79%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 14:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.15%EV -5.69%E -2.79%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.15%EV -5.69%E -2.79%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 14:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.15%E -3.03%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.64%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.64%EV -1.50%E -0.422%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.15%E -3.03%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.64%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.64%EV -1.50%E -0.422%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.49%EV -6.15%E -3.03%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.00%EV -5.25%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.51%EV -5.10%E -1.49%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.42%EV -6.61%E -3.27%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.21%EV -0.815%E -0.214%K -0.291%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.37%EV -3.16%E -0.903%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.42%EV -6.61%E -3.27%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.21%EV -0.815%E -0.214%K -0.291%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.37%EV -3.16%E -0.903%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.23%EV -6.61%E -3.27%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -7.34%E -2.07%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 14:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.23%EV -6.61%E -3.27%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -7.34%E -2.07%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 14:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.18%EV -6.61%E -3.27%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -4.73%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.27%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.15%EV -6.61%E -3.27%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -7.34%E -2.07%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.58%EV -6.48%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -6.61%E -3.27%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -11.26%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 45.80%EV -7.08%E -3.52%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.16%E -0.903%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 14:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-21 14:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -7.31%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-21 14:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -7.31%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-21 14:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 14:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 14:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 14:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 14:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.54%EV -8.46%E -4.27%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -0.815%E -0.214%K -0.291%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 08:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.66%EV -8.93%E -4.53%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -7.34%E -2.07%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.31%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-21 14:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.66%EV -8.93%E -4.53%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -7.34%E -2.07%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.31%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-21 14:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.85%E -5.05%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-21 14:11 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -9.85%E -5.05%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -11.26%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.15%EV -10.31%E -5.32%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.72%EV -12.56%E -3.75%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.13%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-02-21 08:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.45%EV -11.24%E -5.85%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.85%EV -9.95%E -2.88%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 27.70%EV -10.91%E -3.39%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-21 14:33 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.37%EV -11.24%E -5.85%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.81%EV -9.95%E -2.88%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -11.46%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.20%EV -12.62%E -6.68%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 25.35%EV -8.12%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-21 14:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.52%EV -13.09%E -6.96%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.72%EV -11.26%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.76%EV -12.85%E -4.08%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 46.05%EV -16.78%E -9.32%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 26.32%EV -17.78%E -5.64%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.63%EV -17.00%E -5.67%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 20.6% | 2026-02-21 14:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.12% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.67% | 0.4% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.12% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.67% | 0.4% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.12% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.67% | 0.4% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.12% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.67% | 0.4% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.01% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.26% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.74% | 1.6% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |