Школа коэффициентов

Watford v Derby County

Начало: 2026-02-21 15:00 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

60 букмекерских контор (21 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Watford (Хозяева)

Прогноз 46.23%2.16справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.92%
Преимущество -1.39%
Kelly -2.65%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.10

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
44.96%46.22%46.16%47.54%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.802.022.042.1055.56%49.56%49.14%47.62%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Derby County (Гости)

Прогноз 26.10%3.83справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.815%
Преимущество -0.214%
Kelly -0.291%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.80

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
24.77%26.11%26.18%27.15%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.153.563.553.8031.75%28.11%28.17%26.32%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 27.67%3.61справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.50%
Преимущество -0.422%
Kelly -0.587%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.56

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
26.64%27.68%27.66%28.99%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.003.383.403.5633.33%29.63%29.41%28.09%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (60 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиНичьяМаржаОбновлено
1xBet2.10I 47.62%NM 46.13%EV -2.92%E -1.39%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.18%EV -3.42%E -0.926%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.68%EV -3.16%E -0.903%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-21 14:50
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -2.92%E -1.39%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 14:55
Pinnacle2.08I 48.08%NM 46.49%EV -3.84%E -1.85%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.28%EV -3.95%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.24%EV -1.78%E -0.501%K -0.698%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-21 14:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.21%EV -3.84%E -1.85%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.33%EV -4.73%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.46%EV -3.16%E -0.903%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-21 14:05
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 46.21%EV -3.84%E -1.85%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.33%EV -4.73%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.46%EV -3.16%E -0.903%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-21 14:05
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.21%EV -3.84%E -1.85%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.33%EV -4.73%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.46%EV -3.16%E -0.903%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-21 14:00
Codere (IT)2.06I 48.54%NM 46.24%EV -4.76%E -2.31%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.74%EV -3.42%E -0.926%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 08:50
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.52%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -2.12%E -0.565%K -0.771%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.05%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 14:33
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.22%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.46%EV -4.55%E -1.32%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-21 14:35
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.16%E -0.903%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 14:45
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.16%E -0.903%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 14:45
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 14:40
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 14:39
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 13:55
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -3.42%E -0.926%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 08:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 14:45
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 14:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 14:45
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 14:35
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 14:35
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 14:35
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -11.46%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 14:42
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -11.26%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 14:35
Unibet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.15%EV -5.69%E -2.79%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 14:24
Grosvenor2.04I 49.02%NM 46.15%EV -5.69%E -2.79%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 14:05
Unibet (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.15%EV -5.69%E -2.79%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 14:05
Casumo2.04I 49.02%NM 46.15%EV -5.69%E -2.79%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 14:05
Unibet (NL)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.15%EV -5.69%E -2.79%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 14:05
betPARX2.04I 49.02%NM 46.15%EV -5.69%E -2.79%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 14:00
Bally Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.15%EV -5.69%E -2.79%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 14:05
Betsson2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.15%E -3.03%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.64%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.64%EV -1.50%E -0.422%K -0.587%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 14:35
NordicBet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.15%E -3.03%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.64%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.64%EV -1.50%E -0.422%K -0.587%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 14:35
GTbets2.03I 49.26%NM 46.49%EV -6.15%E -3.03%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.00%EV -5.25%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.51%EV -5.10%E -1.49%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 14:50
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.42%EV -6.61%E -3.27%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.21%EV -0.815%E -0.214%K -0.291%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.37%EV -3.16%E -0.903%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-21 14:45
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.42%EV -6.61%E -3.27%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.21%EV -0.815%E -0.214%K -0.291%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.37%EV -3.16%E -0.903%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-21 14:45
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 46.23%EV -6.61%E -3.27%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -7.34%E -2.07%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 14:05
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 46.23%EV -6.61%E -3.27%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -7.34%E -2.07%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 14:05
Bet Right2.02I 49.50%NM 46.18%EV -6.61%E -3.27%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -4.73%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.27%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 14:35
Marathon Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.15%EV -6.61%E -3.27%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -7.34%E -2.07%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.58%EV -6.48%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 14:35
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -6.61%E -3.27%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -11.26%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 14:35
BetUS2.01I 49.75%NM 45.80%EV -7.08%E -3.52%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-21 14:55
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.16%E -0.903%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 14:40
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 14:34
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -7.31%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 14:05
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -7.31%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 14:34
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 14:40
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 14:30
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 14:30
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 14:30
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.54%EV -8.46%E -4.27%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -0.815%E -0.214%K -0.291%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 08:49
Virgin Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 46.66%EV -8.93%E -4.53%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -7.34%E -2.07%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.31%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 14:05
LiveScore Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 46.66%EV -8.93%E -4.53%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -7.34%E -2.07%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.31%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 14:05
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.85%E -5.05%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-21 14:11
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -9.85%E -5.05%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -11.26%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-21 14:45
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.15%EV -10.31%E -5.32%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.72%EV -12.56%E -3.75%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.13%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.7%2026-02-21 08:49
Betclic (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 46.45%EV -11.24%E -5.85%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.85%EV -9.95%E -2.88%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.70%EV -10.91%E -3.39%K -4.91%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-21 14:33
Parions Sport (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 46.37%EV -11.24%E -5.85%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.81%EV -9.95%E -2.88%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -11.46%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-21 14:35
Unibet (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 47.20%EV -12.62%E -6.68%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 25.35%EV -8.12%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-21 14:49
NetBet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.52%EV -13.09%E -6.96%K -14.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.72%EV -11.26%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.76%EV -12.85%E -4.08%K -5.97%G +0.000%14.3%2026-02-21 14:55
PMU (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 46.05%EV -16.78%E -9.32%K -20.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.32%EV -17.78%E -5.64%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.63%EV -17.00%E -5.67%K -8.50%G +0.000%20.6%2026-02-21 14:40
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.12%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.67%0.4%2026-02-21 14:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.12%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.67%0.4%2026-02-21 14:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.12%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.67%0.4%2026-02-21 14:45
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 46.12%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.67%0.4%2026-02-21 14:45
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 46.01%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.26%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.74%1.6%2026-02-21 14:45