Oddsskolan

Watford v Derby County

Matchstart: 2026-02-21 15:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

60 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Watford (Hemma)

Prognos 46.23%2.16rättvist odds
EV -2.92%
Fördel -1.39%
Kelly -2.65%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.10

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
44.96%46.22%46.16%47.54%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.802.022.042.1055.56%49.56%49.14%47.62%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Derby County (Borta)

Prognos 26.10%3.83rättvist odds
EV -0.815%
Fördel -0.214%
Kelly -0.291%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.80

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
24.77%26.11%26.18%27.15%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
3.153.563.553.8031.75%28.11%28.17%26.32%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Oavgjort

Prognos 27.67%3.61rättvist odds
EV -1.50%
Fördel -0.422%
Kelly -0.587%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.56

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
26.64%27.68%27.66%28.99%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
3.003.383.403.5633.33%29.63%29.41%28.09%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (60 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
1xBet2.10I 47.62%NM 46.13%EV -2.92%E -1.39%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.18%EV -3.42%E -0.926%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.68%EV -3.16%E -0.903%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-21 14:50
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -2.92%E -1.39%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 14:55
Pinnacle2.08I 48.08%NM 46.49%EV -3.84%E -1.85%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.28%EV -3.95%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.24%EV -1.78%E -0.501%K -0.698%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-21 14:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.21%EV -3.84%E -1.85%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.33%EV -4.73%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.46%EV -3.16%E -0.903%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-21 14:05
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 46.21%EV -3.84%E -1.85%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.33%EV -4.73%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.46%EV -3.16%E -0.903%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-21 14:05
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.21%EV -3.84%E -1.85%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.33%EV -4.73%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.46%EV -3.16%E -0.903%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-21 14:00
Codere (IT)2.06I 48.54%NM 46.24%EV -4.76%E -2.31%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.74%EV -3.42%E -0.926%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 08:50
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.52%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -2.12%E -0.565%K -0.771%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.05%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 14:33
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.22%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.46%EV -4.55%E -1.32%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-21 14:35
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.16%E -0.903%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 14:45
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.16%E -0.903%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 14:45
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 14:40
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 14:39
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 13:55
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -3.42%E -0.926%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 08:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 14:45
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 14:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 14:45
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 14:35
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 14:35
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 14:35
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -11.46%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 14:42
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -11.26%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 14:35
Unibet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.15%EV -5.69%E -2.79%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 14:24
Grosvenor2.04I 49.02%NM 46.15%EV -5.69%E -2.79%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 14:05
Unibet (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.15%EV -5.69%E -2.79%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 14:05
Casumo2.04I 49.02%NM 46.15%EV -5.69%E -2.79%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 14:05
Unibet (NL)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.15%EV -5.69%E -2.79%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 14:05
betPARX2.04I 49.02%NM 46.15%EV -5.69%E -2.79%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 14:00
Bally Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.15%EV -5.69%E -2.79%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 14:05
Betsson2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.15%E -3.03%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.64%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.64%EV -1.50%E -0.422%K -0.587%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 14:35
NordicBet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.15%E -3.03%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.64%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.64%EV -1.50%E -0.422%K -0.587%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 14:35
GTbets2.03I 49.26%NM 46.49%EV -6.15%E -3.03%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.00%EV -5.25%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.51%EV -5.10%E -1.49%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 14:50
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.42%EV -6.61%E -3.27%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.21%EV -0.815%E -0.214%K -0.291%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.37%EV -3.16%E -0.903%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-21 14:45
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.42%EV -6.61%E -3.27%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.21%EV -0.815%E -0.214%K -0.291%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.37%EV -3.16%E -0.903%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-21 14:45
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 46.23%EV -6.61%E -3.27%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -7.34%E -2.07%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 14:05
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 46.23%EV -6.61%E -3.27%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -7.34%E -2.07%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 14:05
Bet Right2.02I 49.50%NM 46.18%EV -6.61%E -3.27%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -4.73%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.27%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 14:35
Marathon Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.15%EV -6.61%E -3.27%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -7.34%E -2.07%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.58%EV -6.48%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 14:35
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -6.61%E -3.27%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -11.26%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 14:35
BetUS2.01I 49.75%NM 45.80%EV -7.08%E -3.52%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-21 14:55
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.16%E -0.903%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 14:40
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 14:34
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -7.31%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 14:05
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -7.31%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 14:34
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 14:40
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 14:30
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 14:30
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 14:30
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.54%EV -8.46%E -4.27%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -0.815%E -0.214%K -0.291%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 08:49
Virgin Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 46.66%EV -8.93%E -4.53%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -7.34%E -2.07%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.31%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 14:05
LiveScore Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 46.66%EV -8.93%E -4.53%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -7.34%E -2.07%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.31%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 14:05
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.85%E -5.05%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-21 14:11
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -9.85%E -5.05%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -11.26%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-21 14:45
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.15%EV -10.31%E -5.32%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.72%EV -12.56%E -3.75%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.13%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.7%2026-02-21 08:49
Betclic (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 46.45%EV -11.24%E -5.85%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.85%EV -9.95%E -2.88%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.70%EV -10.91%E -3.39%K -4.91%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-21 14:33
Parions Sport (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 46.37%EV -11.24%E -5.85%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.81%EV -9.95%E -2.88%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -11.46%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-21 14:35
Unibet (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 47.20%EV -12.62%E -6.68%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 25.35%EV -8.12%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-21 14:49
NetBet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.52%EV -13.09%E -6.96%K -14.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.72%EV -11.26%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.76%EV -12.85%E -4.08%K -5.97%G +0.000%14.3%2026-02-21 14:55
PMU (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 46.05%EV -16.78%E -9.32%K -20.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.32%EV -17.78%E -5.64%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.63%EV -17.00%E -5.67%K -8.50%G +0.000%20.6%2026-02-21 14:40
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.12%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.67%0.4%2026-02-21 14:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.12%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.67%0.4%2026-02-21 14:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.12%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.67%0.4%2026-02-21 14:45
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 46.12%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.67%0.4%2026-02-21 14:45
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 46.01%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.26%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.74%1.6%2026-02-21 14:45