A Escola das Odds

Watford v Derby County

Início: 2026-02-21 15:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Watford (Local)

Previsão 46.23%2.16odd justa
EV -2.92%
Vantagem -1.39%
Kelly -2.65%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.96%46.22%46.16%47.54%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.802.022.042.1055.56%49.56%49.14%47.62%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Derby County (Visitante)

Previsão 26.10%3.83odd justa
EV -0.815%
Vantagem -0.214%
Kelly -0.291%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.77%26.11%26.18%27.15%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.153.563.553.8031.75%28.11%28.17%26.32%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 27.67%3.61odd justa
EV -1.50%
Vantagem -0.422%
Kelly -0.587%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.56

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.64%27.68%27.66%28.99%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.383.403.5633.33%29.63%29.41%28.09%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet2.10I 47.62%NM 46.13%EV -2.92%E -1.39%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.18%EV -3.42%E -0.926%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.68%EV -3.16%E -0.903%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-21 14:50
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -2.92%E -1.39%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 14:55
Pinnacle2.08I 48.08%NM 46.49%EV -3.84%E -1.85%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.28%EV -3.95%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.24%EV -1.78%E -0.501%K -0.698%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-21 14:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.21%EV -3.84%E -1.85%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.33%EV -4.73%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.46%EV -3.16%E -0.903%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-21 14:05
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 46.21%EV -3.84%E -1.85%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.33%EV -4.73%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.46%EV -3.16%E -0.903%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-21 14:05
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.21%EV -3.84%E -1.85%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.33%EV -4.73%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.46%EV -3.16%E -0.903%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-21 14:00
Codere (IT)2.06I 48.54%NM 46.24%EV -4.76%E -2.31%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.74%EV -3.42%E -0.926%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 08:50
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.52%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -2.12%E -0.565%K -0.771%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.05%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 14:33
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.22%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.46%EV -4.55%E -1.32%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-21 14:35
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.16%E -0.903%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 14:45
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.16%E -0.903%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 14:45
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 14:40
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 14:39
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 13:55
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -3.42%E -0.926%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 08:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 14:45
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 14:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 14:45
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 14:35
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 14:35
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 14:35
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -11.46%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 14:42
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -11.26%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 14:35
Unibet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.15%EV -5.69%E -2.79%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 14:24
Grosvenor2.04I 49.02%NM 46.15%EV -5.69%E -2.79%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 14:05
Unibet (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.15%EV -5.69%E -2.79%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 14:05
Casumo2.04I 49.02%NM 46.15%EV -5.69%E -2.79%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 14:05
Unibet (NL)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.15%EV -5.69%E -2.79%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 14:05
betPARX2.04I 49.02%NM 46.15%EV -5.69%E -2.79%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 14:00
Bally Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.15%EV -5.69%E -2.79%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 14:05
Betsson2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.15%E -3.03%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.64%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.64%EV -1.50%E -0.422%K -0.587%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 14:35
NordicBet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.15%E -3.03%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.64%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.64%EV -1.50%E -0.422%K -0.587%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 14:35
GTbets2.03I 49.26%NM 46.49%EV -6.15%E -3.03%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.00%EV -5.25%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.51%EV -5.10%E -1.49%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 14:50
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.42%EV -6.61%E -3.27%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.21%EV -0.815%E -0.214%K -0.291%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.37%EV -3.16%E -0.903%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-21 14:45
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.42%EV -6.61%E -3.27%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.21%EV -0.815%E -0.214%K -0.291%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.37%EV -3.16%E -0.903%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-21 14:45
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 46.23%EV -6.61%E -3.27%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -7.34%E -2.07%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 14:05
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 46.23%EV -6.61%E -3.27%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -7.34%E -2.07%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 14:05
Bet Right2.02I 49.50%NM 46.18%EV -6.61%E -3.27%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -4.73%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.27%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 14:35
Marathon Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.15%EV -6.61%E -3.27%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -7.34%E -2.07%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.58%EV -6.48%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 14:35
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -6.61%E -3.27%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -11.26%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 14:35
BetUS2.01I 49.75%NM 45.80%EV -7.08%E -3.52%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-21 14:55
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.16%E -0.903%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 14:40
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 14:34
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -7.31%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 14:05
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -7.31%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 14:34
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 14:40
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 14:30
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 14:30
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 14:30
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.54%EV -8.46%E -4.27%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -0.815%E -0.214%K -0.291%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 08:49
Virgin Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 46.66%EV -8.93%E -4.53%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -7.34%E -2.07%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.31%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 14:05
LiveScore Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 46.66%EV -8.93%E -4.53%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -7.34%E -2.07%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.31%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 14:05
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.85%E -5.05%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-21 14:11
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -9.85%E -5.05%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -11.26%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-21 14:45
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.15%EV -10.31%E -5.32%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.72%EV -12.56%E -3.75%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.13%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.7%2026-02-21 08:49
Betclic (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 46.45%EV -11.24%E -5.85%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.85%EV -9.95%E -2.88%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.70%EV -10.91%E -3.39%K -4.91%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-21 14:33
Parions Sport (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 46.37%EV -11.24%E -5.85%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.81%EV -9.95%E -2.88%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -11.46%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-21 14:35
Unibet (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 47.20%EV -12.62%E -6.68%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 25.35%EV -8.12%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-21 14:49
NetBet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.52%EV -13.09%E -6.96%K -14.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.72%EV -11.26%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.76%EV -12.85%E -4.08%K -5.97%G +0.000%14.3%2026-02-21 14:55
PMU (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 46.05%EV -16.78%E -9.32%K -20.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.32%EV -17.78%E -5.64%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.63%EV -17.00%E -5.67%K -8.50%G +0.000%20.6%2026-02-21 14:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.12%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.67%0.4%2026-02-21 14:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.12%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.67%0.4%2026-02-21 14:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.12%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.67%0.4%2026-02-21 14:45
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 46.12%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.67%0.4%2026-02-21 14:45
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 46.01%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.26%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.74%1.6%2026-02-21 14:45