Language:English
Burnley v Derby County
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Burnley (Local)
Prediction 52.90%1.89fair odd
EV -3.20%
Edge -1.75%
Kelly -3.85%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.70%53.04%52.78%55.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.771.771.8360.61%56.62%56.50%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Derby County (Visit)
Prediction 21.89%4.57fair odd
EV -1.50%
Edge -0.333%
Kelly -0.428%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.74%21.89%22.01%23.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.264.304.5025.64%23.46%23.26%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.21%3.97fair odd
EV +0.853%
Edge +0.213%
Kelly +0.284%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.61%25.07%25.21%26.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.683.704.0028.99%27.14%27.03%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Burnley (Local): 52.90%; Derby County (Visit): 21.89%; Draw: 25.21%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.97. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.853%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.89%EV -7.96%E -4.57%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.23%EV -1.50%E -0.333%K -0.428%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.88%EV +0.853%E +0.213%K +0.284%G +0.002% | 4.7% | 2026-09-18 15:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.49%EV -7.43%E -4.25%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.67%EV -3.69%E -0.838%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV +0.853%E +0.213%K +0.284%G +0.002% | 4.9% | 2026-09-18 15:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.58%EV -8.49%E -4.91%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -5.22%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV +0.853%E +0.213%K +0.284%G +0.002% | 5.9% | 2026-09-18 15:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.02%EV -10.60%E -6.27%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -3.69%E -0.838%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -1.67%E -0.428%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-18 15:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.59%EV -5.31%E -2.97%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.56%EV -2.59%E -0.583%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.85%EV -2.68%E -0.693%K -0.936%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-18 14:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.02%EV -4.78%E -2.66%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.19%EV -5.88%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.79%EV -2.93%E -0.761%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-18 14:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -6.37%E -3.60%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -1.50%E -0.333%K -0.428%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.19%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-18 14:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -8.49%E -4.91%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -5.22%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -4.19%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-18 15:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -6.37%E -3.60%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -12.44%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -4.19%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-18 14:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -11.66%E -6.98%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -3.69%E -0.838%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -4.19%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.49%EV -5.84%E -3.28%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 4.48I 22.32%NM 21.25%EV -1.94%E -0.432%K -0.556%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.26%EV -4.95%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-18 14:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.49%EV -5.84%E -3.28%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 4.48I 22.32%NM 21.25%EV -1.94%E -0.432%K -0.556%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.26%EV -4.95%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-18 14:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.49%EV -5.84%E -3.28%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 4.48I 22.32%NM 21.25%EV -1.94%E -0.432%K -0.556%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.26%EV -4.95%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-18 14:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.78%EV -3.20%E -1.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.46%EV -1.50%E -0.333%K -0.428%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.76%EV -5.45%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-14 09:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.78%EV -3.20%E -1.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.46%EV -1.50%E -0.333%K -0.428%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.76%EV -5.45%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-14 09:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.78%EV -3.20%E -1.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.46%EV -1.50%E -0.333%K -0.428%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.76%EV -5.45%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-14 09:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.39%EV -3.73%E -2.05%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.18%EV -5.88%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -5.45%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-18 12:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.98%EV -3.20%E -1.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -8.07%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -5.45%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 15:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.53%EV -4.26%E -2.35%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%EV -5.88%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36%EV -5.45%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-18 15:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.67%EV -4.78%E -2.66%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.05%EV -5.88%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.28%EV -5.45%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -4.78%E -2.66%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -8.07%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.45%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-18 12:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -4.78%E -2.66%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -8.07%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.45%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-18 12:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -4.78%E -2.66%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -8.07%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.45%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-18 09:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -4.78%E -2.66%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -8.07%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.45%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-18 10:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -4.78%E -2.66%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -8.07%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.45%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-18 10:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -4.78%E -2.66%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -8.07%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.45%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-12 16:17 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.89%EV -7.43%E -4.25%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -1.50%E -0.333%K -0.428%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.45%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-18 15:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.89%EV -7.43%E -4.25%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -1.50%E -0.333%K -0.428%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.45%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.23%EV -6.90%E -3.92%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -5.88%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.98%EV -5.45%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-18 15:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.36%EV -4.78%E -2.66%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.17%EV -6.97%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -6.71%E -1.81%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.21%EV -5.84%E -3.28%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -10.25%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.71%E -1.81%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-18 10:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.21%EV -5.84%E -3.28%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -10.25%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.71%E -1.81%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-18 09:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.49%EV -7.96%E -4.57%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -12.44%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -6.71%E -1.81%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-18 15:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.86%EV -5.31%E -2.97%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 4.46I 22.42%NM 21.22%EV -2.37%E -0.532%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.92%EV -7.97%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-18 15:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.98%EV -5.84%E -3.28%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.19%EV -2.59%E -0.583%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -7.97%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-18 15:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.81%EV -6.37%E -3.60%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.59%EV -5.22%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -7.97%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-18 15:27 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.14%EV -7.43%E -4.25%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -4.78%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -7.97%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.17%EV -6.37%E -3.60%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -10.25%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -7.97%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-18 12:24 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.05%EV -4.26%E -2.35%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.06%EV -6.53%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.88%EV -8.22%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-13 00:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.43%E -4.25%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -1.50%E -0.333%K -0.428%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.23%E -2.56%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-18 15:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.40%EV -5.84%E -3.28%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -5.88%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.23%E -2.56%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 14:41 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.40%EV -5.84%E -3.28%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -5.88%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.23%E -2.56%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 14:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.40%EV -5.84%E -3.28%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -5.88%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.23%E -2.56%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 14:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.40%EV -5.84%E -3.28%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -5.88%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.23%E -2.56%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 14:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.40%EV -5.84%E -3.28%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -5.88%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.23%E -2.56%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 14:41 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.40%EV -5.84%E -3.28%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -5.88%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.23%E -2.56%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 14:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -6.37%E -3.60%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -6.97%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.23%E -2.56%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-15 16:06 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.95%EV -7.43%E -4.25%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.30%EV -4.78%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.23%E -2.56%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-18 15:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -7.43%E -4.25%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -8.07%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.23%E -2.56%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-18 14:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -7.43%E -4.25%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -8.07%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.23%E -2.56%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-18 14:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -7.43%E -4.25%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -8.07%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.23%E -2.56%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-18 14:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -7.43%E -4.25%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -8.07%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.23%E -2.56%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-18 14:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.43%E -4.25%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -12.44%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -9.23%E -2.56%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-13 07:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.12%EV -9.02%E -5.24%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -14.63%E -3.75%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -9.23%E -2.56%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-18 15:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -5.84%E -3.28%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -8.07%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -10.49%E -2.96%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-14 09:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.09%EV -7.43%E -4.25%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -10.25%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -10.49%E -2.96%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.76%EV -6.90%E -3.92%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -10.25%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -11.75%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-14 09:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.76%EV -6.90%E -3.92%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -10.25%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -11.75%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-14 09:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.33%EV -9.02%E -5.24%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.95%EV -10.25%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -11.75%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-14 15:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.33%EV -9.02%E -5.24%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.95%EV -10.25%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -11.75%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-14 15:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -10.07%E -5.93%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -12.44%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -11.75%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.08%EV -12.72%E -7.71%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.90%EV -12.44%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.02%EV -11.75%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-09-18 15:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.70%EV -7.43%E -4.25%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.07%EV -10.25%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -13.01%E -3.77%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-12 14:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 52.44%EV -12.19%E -7.34%K -18.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.32%EV -14.63%E -3.75%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.23%EV -13.01%E -3.77%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.50% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.44% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.06% | 1.4% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.50% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.44% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.06% | 1.4% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.50% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.44% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.06% | 1.4% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.50% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.44% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.06% | 1.4% | 2026-09-18 15:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.91% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.56% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53% | 1.9% | 2026-09-18 14:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.92% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.69% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.40% | 2.5% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |