Idioma:Español
Burnley v Derby County
Resultado del partido
Burnley (Local)
Predicción 51.98%1.92momio equitativo
EV -3.83%
Ventaja -2.07%
Kelly -4.51%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.84%51.84%51.98%52.77%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.641.791.801.8560.98%55.78%55.56%54.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Derby County (Visitante)
Predicción 22.14%4.52momio equitativo
EV -0.392%
Ventaja -0.087%
Kelly -0.112%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.39%22.29%22.15%23.80%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.704.174.204.5027.03%23.97%23.81%22.22%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 25.88%3.86momio equitativo
EV -1.65%
Ventaja -0.433%
Kelly -0.588%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.04%25.87%25.87%27.12%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.353.583.603.8029.85%27.95%27.78%26.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Burnley (Local): 51.98%; Derby County (Visitante): 22.14%; Empate: 25.88%. Para Derby County (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 4.52. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 4.50, con un valor esperado de -0.392%; no producen valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -3.83%E -2.07%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -11.46%E -2.86%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -3.83%E -2.07%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -11.46%E -2.86%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -3.83%E -2.07%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -11.46%E -2.86%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -3.83%E -2.07%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -11.46%E -2.86%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-12 18:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.60%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.39%EV -0.392%E -0.087%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.01%EV -4.23%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-12 14:41 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.60%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.39%EV -0.392%E -0.087%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.01%EV -4.23%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-12 14:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.60%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.39%EV -0.392%E -0.087%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.01%EV -4.23%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-12 14:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.30%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.52%EV -5.93%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.18%EV -1.65%E -0.433%K -0.588%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-12 16:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.98%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.03%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -2.94%E -0.784%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 15:53 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.98%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.03%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -2.94%E -0.784%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 15:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.79%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.89%EV -4.15%E -0.960%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-12 18:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.79%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.89%EV -4.15%E -0.960%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-12 18:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.71%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -4.82%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-12 16:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.71%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -4.82%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-12 16:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.68%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.20%EV -5.70%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.12%EV -6.31%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-12 16:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.68%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.20%EV -5.70%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.12%EV -6.31%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-12 16:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.52%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -9.25%E -2.26%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -4.23%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-12 15:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -7.03%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -7.03%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -7.03%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.94%EV -5.39%E -2.96%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.03%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.23%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-12 15:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.46%EV -5.91%E -3.27%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.08%EV -4.82%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.46%EV -3.46%E -0.927%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-12 15:51 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -7.03%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -2.94%E -0.784%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-12 16:17 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.04%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -7.03%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -5.53%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-12 20:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.39%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.56%EV -9.25%E -2.26%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -8.12%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-12 18:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.46%E -2.86%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-12 15:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.46%E -2.86%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-12 15:56 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.41%EV -6.95%E -3.88%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.23%EV -6.59%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -4.23%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-12 19:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.40%EV -7.47%E -4.20%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -4.82%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 14:41 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.40%EV -7.47%E -4.20%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -4.82%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 14:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.40%EV -7.47%E -4.20%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -4.82%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 14:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.40%EV -7.47%E -4.20%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -4.82%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 14:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.40%EV -7.47%E -4.20%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -4.82%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 14:41 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.40%EV -7.47%E -4.20%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -4.82%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 14:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -7.47%E -4.20%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -5.93%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-12 16:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.77%EV -7.99%E -4.51%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -5.93%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.23%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-12 19:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.64%EV -7.99%E -4.51%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -7.03%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -4.23%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-12 15:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.22%EV -7.99%E -4.51%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.75%EV -5.93%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -8.12%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-12 14:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -7.99%E -4.51%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -7.03%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-12 14:41 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.09%EV -7.99%E -4.51%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -15.89%E -4.18%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-12 18:56 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.56%EV -8.51%E -4.84%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -9.25%E -2.26%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -10.71%E -3.10%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-12 14:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.56%EV -8.51%E -4.84%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -9.25%E -2.26%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -10.71%E -3.10%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-12 14:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.56%EV -8.51%E -4.84%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -9.25%E -2.26%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -10.71%E -3.10%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-12 14:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -9.03%E -5.16%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -11.46%E -2.86%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-12 15:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.70%EV -9.03%E -5.16%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.07%EV -9.25%E -2.26%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -10.71%E -3.10%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-12 14:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.42%EV -10.59%E -6.16%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -11.46%E -2.86%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.04%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-12 16:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.81%EV -10.59%E -6.16%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -11.46%E -2.86%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 25.91%EV -10.96%E -3.19%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-12 16:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.24%EV -12.67%E -7.54%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.94%EV -11.46%E -2.86%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.81%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-12 16:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 51.75%EV -12.67%E -7.54%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.29%EV -13.67%E -3.51%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.95%EV -13.29%E -3.97%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-09-12 16:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 51.74%EV -14.75%E -8.99%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 22.93%EV -18.10%E -4.89%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.33%EV -13.29%E -3.97%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-09-12 16:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.50% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.96% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 26.54% | 13.1% | 2026-09-12 20:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.60% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.21% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.19% | 14.0% | 2026-09-12 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 32.70% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 34.59% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 32.70% | 178.0% | 2026-09-12 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 32.70% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 34.59% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 32.70% | 178.0% | 2026-09-12 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99% | 191.3% | 2026-09-12 16:25 |