语言:简体中文
Burnley v Derby County
胜负盘
Burnley (主队)
预测 51.98%1.92公平赔率
EV -3.83%
优势 -2.07%
Kelly -4.51%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.85
博彩公司预测分布
49.84%51.84%51.98%52.77%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.641.791.801.8560.98%55.78%55.56%54.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
Derby County (客队)
预测 22.14%4.52公平赔率
EV -0.392%
优势 -0.087%
Kelly -0.112%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.50
博彩公司预测分布
21.39%22.29%22.15%23.80%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.704.174.204.5027.03%23.97%23.81%22.22%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 25.88%3.86公平赔率
EV -1.65%
优势 -0.433%
Kelly -0.588%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.80
博彩公司预测分布
25.04%25.87%25.87%27.12%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.353.583.603.8029.85%27.95%27.78%26.32%最小值均值中位数最大值
对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Burnley (主队)：51.98%；Derby County (客队)：22.14%；平局：25.88%。 对于“Derby County (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.52。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率：当前最佳赔率为4.50，期望值为-0.392%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (50 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -3.83%E -2.07%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -11.46%E -2.86%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -3.83%E -2.07%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -11.46%E -2.86%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -3.83%E -2.07%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -11.46%E -2.86%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -3.83%E -2.07%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -11.46%E -2.86%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-12 18:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.60%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.39%EV -0.392%E -0.087%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.01%EV -4.23%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-12 14:41 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.60%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.39%EV -0.392%E -0.087%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.01%EV -4.23%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-12 14:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.60%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.39%EV -0.392%E -0.087%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.01%EV -4.23%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-12 14:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.30%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.52%EV -5.93%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.18%EV -1.65%E -0.433%K -0.588%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-12 16:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.98%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.03%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -2.94%E -0.784%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 15:53 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.98%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.03%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -2.94%E -0.784%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 15:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.79%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.89%EV -4.15%E -0.960%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-12 18:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.79%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.89%EV -4.15%E -0.960%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-12 18:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.71%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -4.82%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-12 16:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.71%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -4.82%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-12 16:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.68%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.20%EV -5.70%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.12%EV -6.31%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-12 16:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.68%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.20%EV -5.70%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.12%EV -6.31%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-12 16:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.52%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -9.25%E -2.26%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -4.23%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-12 15:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -7.03%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -7.03%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -7.03%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.94%EV -5.39%E -2.96%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.03%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.23%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-12 15:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.46%EV -5.91%E -3.27%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.08%EV -4.82%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.46%EV -3.46%E -0.927%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-12 15:51 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -7.03%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -2.94%E -0.784%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-12 16:17 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.04%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -7.03%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -5.53%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-12 20:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.39%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.56%EV -9.25%E -2.26%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -8.12%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-12 18:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.46%E -2.86%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-12 15:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.46%E -2.86%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-12 15:56 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.41%EV -6.95%E -3.88%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.23%EV -6.59%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -4.23%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-12 19:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.40%EV -7.47%E -4.20%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -4.82%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 14:41 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.40%EV -7.47%E -4.20%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -4.82%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 14:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.40%EV -7.47%E -4.20%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -4.82%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 14:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.40%EV -7.47%E -4.20%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -4.82%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 14:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.40%EV -7.47%E -4.20%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -4.82%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 14:41 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.40%EV -7.47%E -4.20%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -4.82%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 14:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -7.47%E -4.20%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -5.93%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-12 16:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.77%EV -7.99%E -4.51%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -5.93%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.23%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-12 19:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.64%EV -7.99%E -4.51%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -7.03%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -4.23%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-12 15:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.22%EV -7.99%E -4.51%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.75%EV -5.93%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -8.12%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-12 14:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -7.99%E -4.51%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -7.03%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-12 14:41 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.09%EV -7.99%E -4.51%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -15.89%E -4.18%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-12 18:56 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.56%EV -8.51%E -4.84%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -9.25%E -2.26%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -10.71%E -3.10%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-12 14:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.56%EV -8.51%E -4.84%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -9.25%E -2.26%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -10.71%E -3.10%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-12 14:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.56%EV -8.51%E -4.84%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -9.25%E -2.26%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -10.71%E -3.10%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-12 14:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -9.03%E -5.16%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -11.46%E -2.86%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-12 15:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.70%EV -9.03%E -5.16%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.07%EV -9.25%E -2.26%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -10.71%E -3.10%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-12 14:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.42%EV -10.59%E -6.16%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -11.46%E -2.86%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.04%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-12 16:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.81%EV -10.59%E -6.16%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -11.46%E -2.86%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 25.91%EV -10.96%E -3.19%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-12 16:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.24%EV -12.67%E -7.54%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.94%EV -11.46%E -2.86%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.81%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-12 16:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 51.75%EV -12.67%E -7.54%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.29%EV -13.67%E -3.51%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.95%EV -13.29%E -3.97%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-09-12 16:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 51.74%EV -14.75%E -8.99%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 22.93%EV -18.10%E -4.89%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.33%EV -13.29%E -3.97%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-09-12 16:15 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.50% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.96% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 26.54% | 13.1% | 2026-09-12 20:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.60% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.21% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.19% | 14.0% | 2026-09-12 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 32.70% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 34.59% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 32.70% | 178.0% | 2026-09-12 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 32.70% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 34.59% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 32.70% | 178.0% | 2026-09-12 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99% | 191.3% | 2026-09-12 16:25 |