النموذج الافتراضيالمتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

Burnley v Derby County

2026-09-19 14:00 UTC — Championship

نتيجة المباراة

50 شركة مراهنات (14 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

Burnley (المضيف)

التنبؤ 51.98%1.92السعر العادل
EV -3.83%
الأفضلية -2.07%
Kelly -4.51%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.85

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
49.84%51.84%51.98%52.77%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
1.641.791.801.8560.98%55.78%55.56%54.05%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

Derby County (الضيف)

التنبؤ 22.14%4.52السعر العادل
EV -0.392%
الأفضلية -0.087%
Kelly -0.112%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.39%22.29%22.15%23.80%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
3.704.174.204.5027.03%23.97%23.81%22.22%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

تعادل

التنبؤ 25.88%3.86السعر العادل
EV -1.65%
الأفضلية -0.433%
Kelly -0.588%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.04%25.87%25.87%27.12%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
3.353.583.603.8029.85%27.95%27.78%26.32%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

بالنسبة إلى سوق ⁨نتيجة المباراة⁩، يقدّر نموذج ⁨المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)⁩ الاحتمالات الآتية: ⁨Burnley (المضيف)⁩: ⁨51.98%⁩؛ ⁨Derby County (الضيف)⁩: ⁨22.14%⁩؛ ⁨تعادل⁩: ⁨25.88%⁩. بالنسبة إلى ⁨Derby County (الضيف)⁩، يعادل هذا التقدير سعرًا عشريًا عادلًا قدره ⁨4.52⁩. لا تعرض أي شركة مراهنات مؤهلة سعرًا أعلى من ذلك المستوى: أفضل سعر متاح هو ⁨4.50⁩، بقيمة متوقعة قدرها ⁨-0.392%⁩؛ ولا ينتج قيمة متوقعة موجبة.

أسعار شركات المراهنات (50 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -3.83%E -2.07%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -11.46%E -2.86%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-12 18:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -3.83%E -2.07%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -11.46%E -2.86%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-12 18:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -3.83%E -2.07%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -11.46%E -2.86%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-12 18:50
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -3.83%E -2.07%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -11.46%E -2.86%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-12 18:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.60%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.39%EV -0.392%E -0.087%K -0.112%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.01%EV -4.23%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-12 14:41
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.60%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.39%EV -0.392%E -0.087%K -0.112%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.01%EV -4.23%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-12 14:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.60%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.39%EV -0.392%E -0.087%K -0.112%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.01%EV -4.23%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-12 14:40
SportsBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.30%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.52%EV -5.93%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.18%EV -1.65%E -0.433%K -0.588%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-12 16:00
Coolbet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.98%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.03%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -2.94%E -0.784%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 15:53
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.98%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.03%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -2.94%E -0.784%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 15:55
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.79%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.89%EV -4.15%E -0.960%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-12 18:49
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.79%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.89%EV -4.15%E -0.960%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-12 18:49
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.71%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -4.82%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-12 16:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.71%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -4.82%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-12 16:15
NordicBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.68%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.20%EV -5.70%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.12%EV -6.31%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-12 16:35
Betsson🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.68%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.20%EV -5.70%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.12%EV -6.31%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-12 16:35
Bet Right🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.52%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -9.25%E -2.26%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -4.23%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 15:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -7.03%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 18:50
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -7.03%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -7.03%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 18:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.94%EV -5.39%E -2.96%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.03%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.23%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-12 15:55
Pinnacle🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.46%EV -5.91%E -3.27%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.08%EV -4.82%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.46%EV -3.46%E -0.927%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 15:51
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -7.03%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -2.94%E -0.784%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 16:17
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.04%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -7.03%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -5.53%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-12 20:00
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.39%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.56%EV -9.25%E -2.26%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -8.12%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-12 18:45
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.46%E -2.86%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-12 15:55
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.46%E -2.86%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-12 15:56
1xBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.41%EV -6.95%E -3.88%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.23%EV -6.59%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -4.23%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 19:44
Unibet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.40%EV -7.47%E -4.20%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -4.82%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 14:41
Unibet (NL)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.40%EV -7.47%E -4.20%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -4.82%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 14:40
Casumo🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.40%EV -7.47%E -4.20%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -4.82%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 14:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.40%EV -7.47%E -4.20%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -4.82%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 14:40
betPARX🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.40%EV -7.47%E -4.20%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -4.82%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 14:41
Bally Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.40%EV -7.47%E -4.20%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -4.82%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 14:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -7.47%E -4.20%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -5.93%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-12 16:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.77%EV -7.99%E -4.51%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -5.93%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.23%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 19:40
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.64%EV -7.99%E -4.51%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -7.03%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -4.23%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 15:55
Grosvenor🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.22%EV -7.99%E -4.51%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.75%EV -5.93%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -8.12%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-12 14:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -7.99%E -4.51%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -7.03%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-12 14:41
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.09%EV -7.99%E -4.51%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -15.89%E -4.18%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-12 18:56
BetRivers🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.56%EV -8.51%E -4.84%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -9.25%E -2.26%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -10.71%E -3.10%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-12 14:40
TABtouch🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.56%EV -8.51%E -4.84%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -9.25%E -2.26%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -10.71%E -3.10%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-12 14:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.56%EV -8.51%E -4.84%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -9.25%E -2.26%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -10.71%E -3.10%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-12 14:40
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -9.03%E -5.16%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -11.46%E -2.86%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-12 15:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.70%EV -9.03%E -5.16%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.07%EV -9.25%E -2.26%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -10.71%E -3.10%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-12 14:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.42%EV -10.59%E -6.16%K -14.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -11.46%E -2.86%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.04%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-12 16:15
ReBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.81%EV -10.59%E -6.16%K -14.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -11.46%E -2.86%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 25.91%EV -10.96%E -3.19%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-12 16:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 52.24%EV -12.67%E -7.54%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.94%EV -11.46%E -2.86%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.81%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-12 16:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 51.75%EV -12.67%E -7.54%K -18.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.29%EV -13.67%E -3.51%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.95%EV -13.29%E -3.97%K -5.66%G +0.000%15.0%2026-09-12 16:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 51.74%EV -14.75%E -8.99%K -23.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.93%EV -18.10%E -4.89%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.33%EV -13.29%E -3.97%K -5.66%G +0.000%17.9%2026-09-12 16:15
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 50.50%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.96%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.54%13.1%2026-09-12 20:25
Smarkets1.70I 58.82%NM 51.60%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.21%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.19%14.0%2026-09-12 16:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 32.70%1.04I 96.15%NM 34.59%1.10I 90.91%NM 32.70%178.0%2026-09-12 19:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.10I 90.91%NM 32.70%1.04I 96.15%NM 34.59%1.10I 90.91%NM 32.70%178.0%2026-09-12 19:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-09-12 16:25