Langue:Français
Burnley v Derby County
Résultat du match
Burnley (Local)
Prévision 51.98%1.92cote équitable
EV -3.83%
Avantage -2.07%
Kelly -4.51%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.85
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.84%51.84%51.98%52.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.641.791.801.8560.98%55.78%55.56%54.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Derby County (Visiteur)
Prévision 22.14%4.52cote équitable
EV -0.392%
Avantage -0.087%
Kelly -0.112%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.39%22.29%22.15%23.80%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.704.174.204.5027.03%23.97%23.81%22.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 25.88%3.86cote équitable
EV -1.65%
Avantage -0.433%
Kelly -0.588%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.04%25.87%25.87%27.12%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.353.583.603.8029.85%27.95%27.78%26.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Burnley (Local) : 51.98% ; Derby County (Visiteur) : 22.14% ; Match nul : 25.88%. Pour Derby County (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 4.52. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 4.50, pour une espérance de -0.392% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -3.83%E -2.07%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -11.46%E -2.86%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -3.83%E -2.07%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -11.46%E -2.86%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -3.83%E -2.07%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -11.46%E -2.86%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -3.83%E -2.07%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -11.46%E -2.86%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-12 18:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.60%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.39%EV -0.392%E -0.087%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.01%EV -4.23%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-12 14:41 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.60%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.39%EV -0.392%E -0.087%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.01%EV -4.23%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-12 14:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.60%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.39%EV -0.392%E -0.087%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.01%EV -4.23%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-12 14:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.30%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.52%EV -5.93%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.18%EV -1.65%E -0.433%K -0.588%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-12 16:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.98%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.03%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -2.94%E -0.784%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 15:53 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.98%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.03%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -2.94%E -0.784%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 15:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.79%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.89%EV -4.15%E -0.960%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-12 18:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.79%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.89%EV -4.15%E -0.960%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-12 18:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.71%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -4.82%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-12 16:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.71%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -4.82%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-12 16:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.68%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.20%EV -5.70%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.12%EV -6.31%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-12 16:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.68%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.20%EV -5.70%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.12%EV -6.31%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-12 16:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.52%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -9.25%E -2.26%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -4.23%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-12 15:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -7.03%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -7.03%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -7.03%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.94%EV -5.39%E -2.96%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.03%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.23%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-12 15:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.46%EV -5.91%E -3.27%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.08%EV -4.82%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.46%EV -3.46%E -0.927%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-12 15:51 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -7.03%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -2.94%E -0.784%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-12 16:17 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.04%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -7.03%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -5.53%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-12 20:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.39%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.56%EV -9.25%E -2.26%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -8.12%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-12 18:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.46%E -2.86%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-12 15:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.46%E -2.86%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-12 15:56 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.41%EV -6.95%E -3.88%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.23%EV -6.59%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -4.23%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-12 19:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.40%EV -7.47%E -4.20%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -4.82%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 14:41 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.40%EV -7.47%E -4.20%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -4.82%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 14:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.40%EV -7.47%E -4.20%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -4.82%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 14:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.40%EV -7.47%E -4.20%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -4.82%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 14:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.40%EV -7.47%E -4.20%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -4.82%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 14:41 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.40%EV -7.47%E -4.20%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -4.82%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 14:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -7.47%E -4.20%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -5.93%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-12 16:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.77%EV -7.99%E -4.51%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -5.93%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.23%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-12 19:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.64%EV -7.99%E -4.51%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -7.03%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -4.23%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-12 15:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.22%EV -7.99%E -4.51%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.75%EV -5.93%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -8.12%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-12 14:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -7.99%E -4.51%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -7.03%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-12 14:41 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.09%EV -7.99%E -4.51%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -15.89%E -4.18%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-12 18:56 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.56%EV -8.51%E -4.84%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -9.25%E -2.26%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -10.71%E -3.10%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-12 14:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.56%EV -8.51%E -4.84%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -9.25%E -2.26%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -10.71%E -3.10%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-12 14:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.56%EV -8.51%E -4.84%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -9.25%E -2.26%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -10.71%E -3.10%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-12 14:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -9.03%E -5.16%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -11.46%E -2.86%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-12 15:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.70%EV -9.03%E -5.16%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.07%EV -9.25%E -2.26%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -10.71%E -3.10%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-12 14:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.42%EV -10.59%E -6.16%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -11.46%E -2.86%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.04%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-12 16:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.81%EV -10.59%E -6.16%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -11.46%E -2.86%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 25.91%EV -10.96%E -3.19%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-12 16:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.24%EV -12.67%E -7.54%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.94%EV -11.46%E -2.86%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.81%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-12 16:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 51.75%EV -12.67%E -7.54%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.29%EV -13.67%E -3.51%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.95%EV -13.29%E -3.97%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-09-12 16:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 51.74%EV -14.75%E -8.99%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 22.93%EV -18.10%E -4.89%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.33%EV -13.29%E -3.97%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-09-12 16:15 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.50% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.96% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 26.54% | 13.1% | 2026-09-12 20:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.60% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.21% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.19% | 14.0% | 2026-09-12 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 32.70% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 34.59% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 32.70% | 178.0% | 2026-09-12 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 32.70% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 34.59% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 32.70% | 178.0% | 2026-09-12 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99% | 191.3% | 2026-09-12 16:25 |