Language:English
Sporting Cristal v Palmeiras-SP
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sporting Cristal (Local)
Prediction 15.13%6.61fair odd
EV +2.10%
Edge +0.311%
Kelly +0.366%
Growth +0.008%
assuming max odds 6.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.99%15.12%15.15%16.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.256.116.066.7519.05%16.36%16.50%14.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Palmeiras-SP (Visit)
Prediction 61.83%1.62fair odd
EV -3.55%
Edge -2.27%
Kelly -6.34%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.56
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.32%61.84%61.84%63.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.501.501.5669.44%66.70%66.67%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.05%4.34fair odd
EV -2.06%
Edge -0.484%
Kelly -0.633%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.01%23.04%23.01%24.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.504.014.004.2528.57%24.92%25.00%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sporting Cristal (Local): 15.13%; Palmeiras-SP (Visit): 61.83%; Draw: 23.05%. For Sporting Cristal (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.61. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.10%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.40%EV +2.10%E +0.311%K +0.366%G +0.008% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.72%EV -4.17%E -2.69%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.88%EV -2.06%E -0.484%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.40%EV +2.10%E +0.311%K +0.366%G +0.008% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.72%EV -4.17%E -2.69%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.88%EV -2.06%E -0.484%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.99%EV +2.10%E +0.311%K +0.366%G +0.008% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.37%EV -7.88%E -5.29%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.64%EV -3.90%E -0.935%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-05 16:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.99%EV +2.10%E +0.311%K +0.366%G +0.008% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.37%EV -7.88%E -5.29%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.64%EV -3.90%E -0.935%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-05 16:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.67%EV -1.68%E -0.258%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.50%EV -4.17%E -2.69%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-05 21:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -1.68%E -0.258%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.63%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -5.51%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -1.68%E -0.258%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.63%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -5.51%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -1.68%E -0.258%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.63%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -5.51%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -1.68%E -0.258%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.63%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -5.51%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -1.68%E -0.258%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.63%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -5.51%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -1.68%E -0.258%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -7.88%E -5.29%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -5.51%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -1.68%E -0.258%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.90%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -10.12%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 6.43I 15.55%NM 14.70%EV -2.74%E -0.426%K -0.504%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.29%EV -2.29%E -0.540%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV -3.19%E -0.499%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.64%EV -6.02%E -3.96%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -8.97%E -2.27%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV -3.19%E -0.499%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.64%EV -6.02%E -3.96%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -8.97%E -2.27%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 6.38I 15.67%NM 15.02%EV -3.49%E -0.548%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.22%EV -4.78%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.21I 23.75%NM 22.76%EV -2.98%E -0.708%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.98%EV -5.46%E -0.874%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.61%EV -6.02%E -3.96%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV -5.46%E -0.874%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.24%EV -6.02%E -3.96%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -10.12%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.55%EV -5.46%E -0.874%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.72%EV -10.35%E -7.14%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.55%EV -5.46%E -0.874%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.72%EV -10.35%E -7.14%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.49%EV -5.46%E -0.874%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.88%EV -10.97%E -7.62%K -24.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.05%EV -6.22%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.20%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -5.51%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 6.08I 16.45%NM 15.38%EV -8.03%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.35%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -3.21%E -0.764%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-05 20:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 6.06I 16.50%NM 15.59%EV -8.33%E -1.38%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.17%EV -6.02%E -3.96%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.24%EV -2.06%E -0.484%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.24%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.96%EV -3.55%E -2.27%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -5.51%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 21:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -9.24%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -5.40%E -3.53%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -3.21%E -0.764%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -9.24%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.40%E -3.53%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-05 20:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -9.24%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.21%E -0.764%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -9.24%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -9.24%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-05 20:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -9.24%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -9.24%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -7.88%E -5.29%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-05 19:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -9.24%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -12.43%E -3.27%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-05 19:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -9.24%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.94%EV -9.11%E -6.20%K -19.39%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 22.88%EV -8.28%E -2.08%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-05 21:33 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -9.24%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -10.97%E -7.62%K -24.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -12.43%E -3.27%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-05 19:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.53%EV -9.24%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.55%EV -10.97%E -7.62%K -24.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.91%EV -19.34%E -5.53%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.84%EV -10.75%E -1.82%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.90%EV -6.64%E -4.40%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -3.21%E -0.764%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV -12.27%E -2.12%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.05%EV -7.88%E -5.29%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -3.21%E -0.764%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-05 19:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -13.02%E -2.27%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -10.12%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -13.02%E -2.27%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -10.12%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -13.02%E -2.27%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -10.12%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.48%EV -13.78%E -2.42%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.29%EV -10.97%E -7.62%K -24.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.23%EV -12.43%E -3.27%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.28%EV -16.81%E -3.06%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.33%EV -9.73%E -6.66%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-05 19:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -20.59%E -3.92%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.32%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -13.58%E -3.62%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -20.59%E -3.92%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.32%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -13.58%E -3.62%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -20.59%E -3.92%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.32%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -13.58%E -3.62%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -20.59%E -3.92%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.32%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -13.58%E -3.62%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.67% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.58% | 1.0% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.67% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.58% | 1.0% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.67% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.58% | 1.0% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.70% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.82% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48% | 1.4% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |