مدرسة الاحتمالات

Sporting Cristal v Palmeiras-SP

البداية: 2026-05-05 22:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Sporting Cristal 0–2 Palmeiras-SP

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

47 شركة مراهنات (14 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Sporting Cristal (المضيف)

التنبؤ 15.13%6.61السعر العادل
EV +2.10%
الأفضلية +0.311%
Kelly +0.366%
النمو +0.008%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
13.99%15.12%15.15%16.95%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.256.116.066.7519.05%16.36%16.50%14.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Palmeiras-SP (الضيف)

التنبؤ 61.83%1.62السعر العادل
EV -3.55%
الأفضلية -2.27%
Kelly -6.34%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.56

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
59.32%61.84%61.84%63.37%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.441.501.501.5669.44%66.70%66.67%64.10%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 23.05%4.34السعر العادل
EV -2.06%
الأفضلية -0.484%
Kelly -0.633%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.01%23.04%23.01%24.91%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.504.014.004.2528.57%24.92%25.00%23.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (47 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Svenska Spel6.75I 14.81%NM 14.40%EV +2.10%E +0.311%K +0.366%G +0.008%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.72%EV -4.17%E -2.69%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.88%EV -2.06%E -0.484%K -0.633%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-05 21:30
ATG (SE)6.75I 14.81%NM 14.40%EV +2.10%E +0.311%K +0.366%G +0.008%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.72%EV -4.17%E -2.69%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.88%EV -2.06%E -0.484%K -0.633%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-05 21:30
LowVig.ag6.75I 14.81%NM 13.99%EV +2.10%E +0.311%K +0.366%G +0.008%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.37%EV -7.88%E -5.29%K -16.07%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.64%EV -3.90%E -0.935%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-05 16:40
BetOnline.ag6.75I 14.81%NM 13.99%EV +2.10%E +0.311%K +0.366%G +0.008%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.37%EV -7.88%E -5.29%K -16.07%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.64%EV -3.90%E -0.935%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-05 16:40
Coolbet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.67%EV -1.68%E -0.258%K -0.305%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.50%EV -4.17%E -2.69%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 21:20
Grosvenor6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -1.68%E -0.258%K -0.305%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.63%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -5.51%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 21:15
Casumo6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -1.68%E -0.258%K -0.305%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.63%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -5.51%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 21:15
Unibet (NL)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -1.68%E -0.258%K -0.305%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.63%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -5.51%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 21:15
BetRivers6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -1.68%E -0.258%K -0.305%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.63%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -5.51%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 21:15
Unibet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -1.68%E -0.258%K -0.305%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.63%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -5.51%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 21:15
LeoVegas (SE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -1.68%E -0.258%K -0.305%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -7.88%E -5.29%K -16.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -5.51%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-05 21:15
SportsBet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -1.68%E -0.258%K -0.305%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.90%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -10.12%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-05 21:30
Pinnacle6.43I 15.55%NM 14.70%EV -2.74%E -0.426%K -0.504%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.29%EV -2.29%E -0.540%K -0.706%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 21:30
NordicBet6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV -3.19%E -0.499%K -0.591%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.64%EV -6.02%E -3.96%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -8.97%E -2.27%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-05 21:35
Betsson6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV -3.19%E -0.499%K -0.591%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.64%EV -6.02%E -3.96%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -8.97%E -2.27%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-05 21:35
1xBet6.38I 15.67%NM 15.02%EV -3.49%E -0.548%K -0.650%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.22%EV -4.78%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.76%EV -2.98%E -0.708%K -0.928%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-05 21:35
Betr (AU)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.98%EV -5.46%E -0.874%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.61%EV -6.02%E -3.96%K -11.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-05 21:35
PointsBet (AU)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV -5.46%E -0.874%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.24%EV -6.02%E -3.96%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -10.12%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-05 21:35
Virgin Bet6.25I 16.00%NM 14.55%EV -5.46%E -0.874%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.72%EV -10.35%E -7.14%K -23.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-05 21:15
LiveScore Bet6.25I 16.00%NM 14.55%EV -5.46%E -0.874%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.72%EV -10.35%E -7.14%K -23.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-05 21:15
PMU (FR)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.49%EV -5.46%E -0.874%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.88%EV -10.97%E -7.62%K -24.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-05 21:15
Marathon Bet6.20I 16.13%NM 15.05%EV -6.22%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.20%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -5.51%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-05 21:35
GTbets6.08I 16.45%NM 15.38%EV -8.03%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.35%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -3.21%E -0.764%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-05 20:00
BetUS6.06I 16.50%NM 15.59%EV -8.33%E -1.38%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.17%EV -6.02%E -3.96%K -11.58%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.24%EV -2.06%E -0.484%K -0.633%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 21:35
Bovada6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.24%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.96%EV -3.55%E -2.27%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -5.51%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 21:34
theScore Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -9.24%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -5.40%E -3.53%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -3.21%E -0.764%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 21:30
Betway6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -9.24%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.40%E -3.53%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 20:00
Everygame6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -9.24%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.21%E -0.764%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-05 21:35
betfred_uk6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -9.24%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-05 21:35
Unibet (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -9.24%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-05 20:00
PlayUp6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -9.24%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-05 21:35
Codere (IT)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -9.24%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -7.88%E -5.29%K -16.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-05 19:59
William Hill6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -9.24%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -12.43%E -3.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-05 19:59
Betclic (FR)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -9.24%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.94%EV -9.11%E -6.20%K -19.39%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.88%EV -8.28%E -2.08%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-05 21:33
Paddy Power6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -9.24%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -10.97%E -7.62%K -24.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -12.43%E -3.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-05 19:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 14.53%EV -9.24%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.55%EV -10.97%E -7.62%K -24.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.91%EV -19.34%E -5.53%K -7.74%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-05 21:30
Suprabets5.90I 16.95%NM 15.84%EV -10.75%E -1.82%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.90%EV -6.64%E -4.40%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -3.21%E -0.764%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 21:35
Winamax (DE)5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV -12.27%E -2.12%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.05%EV -7.88%E -5.29%K -16.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -3.21%E -0.764%K -1.00%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-05 19:59
888sport5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -13.02%E -2.27%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -10.12%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-05 21:35
Mr Green (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -13.02%E -2.27%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -10.12%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-05 21:35
888sport (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -13.02%E -2.27%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -10.12%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-05 21:35
Unibet (FR)5.70I 17.54%NM 15.48%EV -13.78%E -2.42%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.29%EV -10.97%E -7.62%K -24.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.23%EV -12.43%E -3.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-05 21:35
Winamax (FR)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.28%EV -16.81%E -3.06%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 61.33%EV -9.73%E -6.66%K -21.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-05 19:59
Ladbrokes (AU)5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -20.59%E -3.92%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.32%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -13.58%E -3.62%K -4.94%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-05 21:35
Neds5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -20.59%E -3.92%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.32%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -13.58%E -3.62%K -4.94%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-05 21:35
Coral5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -20.59%E -3.92%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.32%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -13.58%E -3.62%K -4.94%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-05 21:35
Ladbrokes (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -20.59%E -3.92%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.32%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -13.58%E -3.62%K -4.94%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-05 21:30
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (4)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.67%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.58%1.0%2026-05-05 21:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.67%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.58%1.0%2026-05-05 21:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.67%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.58%1.0%2026-05-05 21:30
Smarkets7.20I 13.89%NM 13.70%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.82%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%1.4%2026-05-05 21:35