A Escola das Odds

Sporting Cristal v Palmeiras-SP

Início: 2026-05-05 22:00 UTC

Final: Sporting Cristal 0–2 Palmeiras-SP

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Sporting Cristal (Local)

Previsão 15.13%6.61odd justa
EV +2.10%
Vantagem +0.311%
Kelly +0.366%
Crescimento +0.008%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
13.99%15.12%15.15%16.95%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
5.256.116.066.7519.05%16.36%16.50%14.81%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Palmeiras-SP (Visitante)

Previsão 61.83%1.62odd justa
EV -3.55%
Vantagem -2.27%
Kelly -6.34%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.56

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
59.32%61.84%61.84%63.37%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.441.501.501.5669.44%66.70%66.67%64.10%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 23.05%4.34odd justa
EV -2.06%
Vantagem -0.484%
Kelly -0.633%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.01%23.04%23.01%24.91%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.504.014.004.2528.57%24.92%25.00%23.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Svenska Spel6.75I 14.81%NM 14.40%EV +2.10%E +0.311%K +0.366%G +0.008%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.72%EV -4.17%E -2.69%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.88%EV -2.06%E -0.484%K -0.633%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-05 21:30
ATG (SE)6.75I 14.81%NM 14.40%EV +2.10%E +0.311%K +0.366%G +0.008%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.72%EV -4.17%E -2.69%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.88%EV -2.06%E -0.484%K -0.633%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-05 21:30
LowVig.ag6.75I 14.81%NM 13.99%EV +2.10%E +0.311%K +0.366%G +0.008%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.37%EV -7.88%E -5.29%K -16.07%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.64%EV -3.90%E -0.935%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-05 16:40
BetOnline.ag6.75I 14.81%NM 13.99%EV +2.10%E +0.311%K +0.366%G +0.008%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.37%EV -7.88%E -5.29%K -16.07%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.64%EV -3.90%E -0.935%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-05 16:40
Coolbet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.67%EV -1.68%E -0.258%K -0.305%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.50%EV -4.17%E -2.69%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 21:20
Grosvenor6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -1.68%E -0.258%K -0.305%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.63%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -5.51%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 21:15
Casumo6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -1.68%E -0.258%K -0.305%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.63%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -5.51%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 21:15
Unibet (NL)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -1.68%E -0.258%K -0.305%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.63%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -5.51%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 21:15
BetRivers6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -1.68%E -0.258%K -0.305%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.63%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -5.51%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 21:15
Unibet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -1.68%E -0.258%K -0.305%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.63%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -5.51%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 21:15
LeoVegas (SE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -1.68%E -0.258%K -0.305%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -7.88%E -5.29%K -16.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -5.51%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-05 21:15
SportsBet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -1.68%E -0.258%K -0.305%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.90%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -10.12%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-05 21:30
Pinnacle6.43I 15.55%NM 14.70%EV -2.74%E -0.426%K -0.504%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.29%EV -2.29%E -0.540%K -0.706%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 21:30
NordicBet6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV -3.19%E -0.499%K -0.591%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.64%EV -6.02%E -3.96%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -8.97%E -2.27%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-05 21:35
Betsson6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV -3.19%E -0.499%K -0.591%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.64%EV -6.02%E -3.96%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -8.97%E -2.27%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-05 21:35
1xBet6.38I 15.67%NM 15.02%EV -3.49%E -0.548%K -0.650%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.22%EV -4.78%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.76%EV -2.98%E -0.708%K -0.928%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-05 21:35
Betr (AU)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.98%EV -5.46%E -0.874%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.61%EV -6.02%E -3.96%K -11.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-05 21:35
PointsBet (AU)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV -5.46%E -0.874%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.24%EV -6.02%E -3.96%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -10.12%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-05 21:35
Virgin Bet6.25I 16.00%NM 14.55%EV -5.46%E -0.874%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.72%EV -10.35%E -7.14%K -23.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-05 21:15
LiveScore Bet6.25I 16.00%NM 14.55%EV -5.46%E -0.874%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.72%EV -10.35%E -7.14%K -23.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-05 21:15
PMU (FR)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.49%EV -5.46%E -0.874%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.88%EV -10.97%E -7.62%K -24.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-05 21:15
Marathon Bet6.20I 16.13%NM 15.05%EV -6.22%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.20%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -5.51%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-05 21:35
GTbets6.08I 16.45%NM 15.38%EV -8.03%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.35%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -3.21%E -0.764%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-05 20:00
BetUS6.06I 16.50%NM 15.59%EV -8.33%E -1.38%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.17%EV -6.02%E -3.96%K -11.58%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.24%EV -2.06%E -0.484%K -0.633%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 21:35
Bovada6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.24%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.96%EV -3.55%E -2.27%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -5.51%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 21:34
theScore Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -9.24%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -5.40%E -3.53%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -3.21%E -0.764%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 21:30
Betway6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -9.24%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.40%E -3.53%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 20:00
Everygame6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -9.24%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.21%E -0.764%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-05 21:35
betfred_uk6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -9.24%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-05 21:35
Unibet (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -9.24%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-05 20:00
PlayUp6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -9.24%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-05 21:35
Codere (IT)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -9.24%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -7.88%E -5.29%K -16.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-05 19:59
William Hill6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -9.24%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -12.43%E -3.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-05 19:59
Betclic (FR)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -9.24%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.94%EV -9.11%E -6.20%K -19.39%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.88%EV -8.28%E -2.08%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-05 21:33
Paddy Power6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -9.24%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -10.97%E -7.62%K -24.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -12.43%E -3.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-05 19:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 14.53%EV -9.24%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.55%EV -10.97%E -7.62%K -24.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.91%EV -19.34%E -5.53%K -7.74%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-05 21:30
Suprabets5.90I 16.95%NM 15.84%EV -10.75%E -1.82%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.90%EV -6.64%E -4.40%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -3.21%E -0.764%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 21:35
Winamax (DE)5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV -12.27%E -2.12%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.05%EV -7.88%E -5.29%K -16.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -3.21%E -0.764%K -1.00%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-05 19:59
888sport5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -13.02%E -2.27%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -10.12%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-05 21:35
Mr Green (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -13.02%E -2.27%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -10.12%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-05 21:35
888sport (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -13.02%E -2.27%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -10.12%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-05 21:35
Unibet (FR)5.70I 17.54%NM 15.48%EV -13.78%E -2.42%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.29%EV -10.97%E -7.62%K -24.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.23%EV -12.43%E -3.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-05 21:35
Winamax (FR)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.28%EV -16.81%E -3.06%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 61.33%EV -9.73%E -6.66%K -21.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-05 19:59
Ladbrokes (AU)5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -20.59%E -3.92%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.32%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -13.58%E -3.62%K -4.94%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-05 21:35
Neds5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -20.59%E -3.92%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.32%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -13.58%E -3.62%K -4.94%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-05 21:35
Coral5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -20.59%E -3.92%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.32%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -13.58%E -3.62%K -4.94%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-05 21:35
Ladbrokes (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -20.59%E -3.92%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.32%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -13.58%E -3.62%K -4.94%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-05 21:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.67%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.58%1.0%2026-05-05 21:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.67%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.58%1.0%2026-05-05 21:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.67%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.58%1.0%2026-05-05 21:30
Smarkets7.20I 13.89%NM 13.70%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.82%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%1.4%2026-05-05 21:35