Школа коэффициентов

Sporting Cristal v Palmeiras-SP

Начало: 2026-05-05 22:00 UTC

Итог: Sporting Cristal 0–2 Palmeiras-SP

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

47 букмекерских контор (14 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Sporting Cristal (Хозяева)

Прогноз 15.13%6.61справедливый коэффициент
EV +2.10%
Преимущество +0.311%
Kelly +0.366%
Рост +0.008%

при максимальном коэффициенте 6.75

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
13.99%15.12%15.15%16.95%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
5.256.116.066.7519.05%16.36%16.50%14.81%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Palmeiras-SP (Гости)

Прогноз 61.83%1.62справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.55%
Преимущество -2.27%
Kelly -6.34%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.56

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
59.32%61.84%61.84%63.37%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.441.501.501.5669.44%66.70%66.67%64.10%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 23.05%4.34справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.06%
Преимущество -0.484%
Kelly -0.633%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.25

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
22.01%23.04%23.01%24.91%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.504.014.004.2528.57%24.92%25.00%23.53%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (47 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиНичьяМаржаОбновлено
Svenska Spel6.75I 14.81%NM 14.40%EV +2.10%E +0.311%K +0.366%G +0.008%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.72%EV -4.17%E -2.69%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.88%EV -2.06%E -0.484%K -0.633%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-05 21:30
ATG (SE)6.75I 14.81%NM 14.40%EV +2.10%E +0.311%K +0.366%G +0.008%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.72%EV -4.17%E -2.69%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.88%EV -2.06%E -0.484%K -0.633%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-05 21:30
LowVig.ag6.75I 14.81%NM 13.99%EV +2.10%E +0.311%K +0.366%G +0.008%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.37%EV -7.88%E -5.29%K -16.07%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.64%EV -3.90%E -0.935%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-05 16:40
BetOnline.ag6.75I 14.81%NM 13.99%EV +2.10%E +0.311%K +0.366%G +0.008%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.37%EV -7.88%E -5.29%K -16.07%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.64%EV -3.90%E -0.935%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-05 16:40
Coolbet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.67%EV -1.68%E -0.258%K -0.305%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.50%EV -4.17%E -2.69%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 21:20
Grosvenor6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -1.68%E -0.258%K -0.305%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.63%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -5.51%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 21:15
Casumo6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -1.68%E -0.258%K -0.305%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.63%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -5.51%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 21:15
Unibet (NL)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -1.68%E -0.258%K -0.305%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.63%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -5.51%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 21:15
BetRivers6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -1.68%E -0.258%K -0.305%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.63%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -5.51%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 21:15
Unibet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -1.68%E -0.258%K -0.305%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.63%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -5.51%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 21:15
LeoVegas (SE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -1.68%E -0.258%K -0.305%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -7.88%E -5.29%K -16.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -5.51%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-05 21:15
SportsBet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -1.68%E -0.258%K -0.305%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.90%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -10.12%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-05 21:30
Pinnacle6.43I 15.55%NM 14.70%EV -2.74%E -0.426%K -0.504%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.29%EV -2.29%E -0.540%K -0.706%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 21:30
NordicBet6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV -3.19%E -0.499%K -0.591%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.64%EV -6.02%E -3.96%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -8.97%E -2.27%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-05 21:35
Betsson6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV -3.19%E -0.499%K -0.591%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.64%EV -6.02%E -3.96%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -8.97%E -2.27%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-05 21:35
1xBet6.38I 15.67%NM 15.02%EV -3.49%E -0.548%K -0.650%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.22%EV -4.78%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.76%EV -2.98%E -0.708%K -0.928%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-05 21:35
Betr (AU)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.98%EV -5.46%E -0.874%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.61%EV -6.02%E -3.96%K -11.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-05 21:35
PointsBet (AU)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV -5.46%E -0.874%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.24%EV -6.02%E -3.96%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -10.12%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-05 21:35
Virgin Bet6.25I 16.00%NM 14.55%EV -5.46%E -0.874%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.72%EV -10.35%E -7.14%K -23.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-05 21:15
LiveScore Bet6.25I 16.00%NM 14.55%EV -5.46%E -0.874%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.72%EV -10.35%E -7.14%K -23.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-05 21:15
PMU (FR)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.49%EV -5.46%E -0.874%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.88%EV -10.97%E -7.62%K -24.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-05 21:15
Marathon Bet6.20I 16.13%NM 15.05%EV -6.22%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.20%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -5.51%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-05 21:35
GTbets6.08I 16.45%NM 15.38%EV -8.03%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.35%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -3.21%E -0.764%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-05 20:00
BetUS6.06I 16.50%NM 15.59%EV -8.33%E -1.38%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.17%EV -6.02%E -3.96%K -11.58%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.24%EV -2.06%E -0.484%K -0.633%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 21:35
Bovada6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.24%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.96%EV -3.55%E -2.27%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -5.51%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 21:34
theScore Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -9.24%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -5.40%E -3.53%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -3.21%E -0.764%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 21:30
Betway6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -9.24%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.40%E -3.53%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 20:00
Everygame6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -9.24%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.21%E -0.764%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-05 21:35
betfred_uk6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -9.24%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-05 21:35
Unibet (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -9.24%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-05 20:00
PlayUp6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -9.24%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-05 21:35
Codere (IT)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -9.24%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -7.88%E -5.29%K -16.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-05 19:59
William Hill6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -9.24%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -12.43%E -3.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-05 19:59
Betclic (FR)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -9.24%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.94%EV -9.11%E -6.20%K -19.39%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.88%EV -8.28%E -2.08%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-05 21:33
Paddy Power6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -9.24%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -10.97%E -7.62%K -24.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -12.43%E -3.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-05 19:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 14.53%EV -9.24%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.55%EV -10.97%E -7.62%K -24.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.91%EV -19.34%E -5.53%K -7.74%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-05 21:30
Suprabets5.90I 16.95%NM 15.84%EV -10.75%E -1.82%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.90%EV -6.64%E -4.40%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -3.21%E -0.764%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 21:35
Winamax (DE)5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV -12.27%E -2.12%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.05%EV -7.88%E -5.29%K -16.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -3.21%E -0.764%K -1.00%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-05 19:59
888sport5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -13.02%E -2.27%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -10.12%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-05 21:35
Mr Green (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -13.02%E -2.27%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -10.12%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-05 21:35
888sport (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -13.02%E -2.27%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -10.12%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-05 21:35
Unibet (FR)5.70I 17.54%NM 15.48%EV -13.78%E -2.42%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.29%EV -10.97%E -7.62%K -24.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.23%EV -12.43%E -3.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-05 21:35
Winamax (FR)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.28%EV -16.81%E -3.06%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 61.33%EV -9.73%E -6.66%K -21.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-05 19:59
Ladbrokes (AU)5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -20.59%E -3.92%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.32%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -13.58%E -3.62%K -4.94%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-05 21:35
Neds5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -20.59%E -3.92%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.32%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -13.58%E -3.62%K -4.94%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-05 21:35
Coral5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -20.59%E -3.92%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.32%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -13.58%E -3.62%K -4.94%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-05 21:35
Ladbrokes (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -20.59%E -3.92%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.32%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -13.58%E -3.62%K -4.94%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-05 21:30
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (4)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (EU)7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.67%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.58%1.0%2026-05-05 21:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.67%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.58%1.0%2026-05-05 21:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.67%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.58%1.0%2026-05-05 21:30
Smarkets7.20I 13.89%NM 13.70%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.82%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%1.4%2026-05-05 21:35