L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Sporting Cristal v Palmeiras-SP
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Sporting Cristal (Local)
Prévision 15.13%6.61cote équitable
EV +2.10%
Avantage +0.311%
Kelly +0.366%
Croissance +0.008%
avec la cote maximale 6.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.99%15.12%15.15%16.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.256.116.066.7519.05%16.36%16.50%14.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Palmeiras-SP (Visiteur)
Prévision 61.83%1.62cote équitable
EV -3.55%
Avantage -2.27%
Kelly -6.34%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.56
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.32%61.84%61.84%63.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.441.501.501.5669.44%66.70%66.67%64.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 23.05%4.34cote équitable
EV -2.06%
Avantage -0.484%
Kelly -0.633%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.01%23.04%23.01%24.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.504.014.004.2528.57%24.92%25.00%23.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.40%EV +2.10%E +0.311%K +0.366%G +0.008% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.72%EV -4.17%E -2.69%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.88%EV -2.06%E -0.484%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.40%EV +2.10%E +0.311%K +0.366%G +0.008% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.72%EV -4.17%E -2.69%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.88%EV -2.06%E -0.484%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.99%EV +2.10%E +0.311%K +0.366%G +0.008% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.37%EV -7.88%E -5.29%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.64%EV -3.90%E -0.935%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-05 16:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.99%EV +2.10%E +0.311%K +0.366%G +0.008% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.37%EV -7.88%E -5.29%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.64%EV -3.90%E -0.935%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-05 16:40 |
| Coolbet | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.67%EV -1.68%E -0.258%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.50%EV -4.17%E -2.69%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-05 21:20 |
| Grosvenor | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -1.68%E -0.258%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.63%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -5.51%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| Casumo | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -1.68%E -0.258%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.63%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -5.51%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -1.68%E -0.258%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.63%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -5.51%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| BetRivers | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -1.68%E -0.258%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.63%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -5.51%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| Unibet | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -1.68%E -0.258%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.63%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -5.51%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -1.68%E -0.258%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -7.88%E -5.29%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -5.51%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| SportsBet | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -1.68%E -0.258%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.90%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -10.12%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Pinnacle | 6.43I 15.55%NM 14.70%EV -2.74%E -0.426%K -0.504%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.29%EV -2.29%E -0.540%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| NordicBet | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV -3.19%E -0.499%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.64%EV -6.02%E -3.96%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -8.97%E -2.27%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| Betsson | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV -3.19%E -0.499%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.64%EV -6.02%E -3.96%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -8.97%E -2.27%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| 1xBet | 6.38I 15.67%NM 15.02%EV -3.49%E -0.548%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.22%EV -4.78%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.21I 23.75%NM 22.76%EV -2.98%E -0.708%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.98%EV -5.46%E -0.874%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.61%EV -6.02%E -3.96%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV -5.46%E -0.874%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.24%EV -6.02%E -3.96%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -10.12%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.55%EV -5.46%E -0.874%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.72%EV -10.35%E -7.14%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.55%EV -5.46%E -0.874%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.72%EV -10.35%E -7.14%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| PMU (FR) | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.49%EV -5.46%E -0.874%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.88%EV -10.97%E -7.62%K -24.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.05%EV -6.22%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.20%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -5.51%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| GTbets | 6.08I 16.45%NM 15.38%EV -8.03%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.35%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -3.21%E -0.764%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-05 20:00 |
| BetUS | 6.06I 16.50%NM 15.59%EV -8.33%E -1.38%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.17%EV -6.02%E -3.96%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.24%EV -2.06%E -0.484%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| Bovada | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.24%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.96%EV -3.55%E -2.27%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -5.51%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 21:34 |
| theScore Bet | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -9.24%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -5.40%E -3.53%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -3.21%E -0.764%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Betway | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -9.24%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.40%E -3.53%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-05 20:00 |
| Everygame | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -9.24%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.21%E -0.764%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| betfred_uk | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -9.24%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -9.24%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-05 20:00 |
| PlayUp | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -9.24%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| Codere (IT) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -9.24%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -7.88%E -5.29%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-05 19:59 |
| William Hill | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -9.24%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -12.43%E -3.27%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-05 19:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -9.24%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.94%EV -9.11%E -6.20%K -19.39%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 22.88%EV -8.28%E -2.08%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-05 21:33 |
| Paddy Power | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -9.24%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -10.97%E -7.62%K -24.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -12.43%E -3.27%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-05 19:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.53%EV -9.24%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.55%EV -10.97%E -7.62%K -24.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.91%EV -19.34%E -5.53%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Suprabets | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.84%EV -10.75%E -1.82%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.90%EV -6.64%E -4.40%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -3.21%E -0.764%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| Winamax (DE) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV -12.27%E -2.12%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.05%EV -7.88%E -5.29%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -3.21%E -0.764%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-05 19:59 |
| 888sport | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -13.02%E -2.27%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -10.12%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -13.02%E -2.27%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -10.12%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -13.02%E -2.27%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -10.12%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.48%EV -13.78%E -2.42%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.29%EV -10.97%E -7.62%K -24.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.23%EV -12.43%E -3.27%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.28%EV -16.81%E -3.06%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.33%EV -9.73%E -6.66%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-05 19:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -20.59%E -3.92%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.32%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -13.58%E -3.62%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| Neds | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -20.59%E -3.92%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.32%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -13.58%E -3.62%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| Coral | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -20.59%E -3.92%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.32%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -13.58%E -3.62%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -20.59%E -3.92%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.32%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -13.58%E -3.62%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.67% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.58% | 1.0% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.67% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.58% | 1.0% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.67% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.58% | 1.0% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Smarkets | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.70% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.82% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48% | 1.4% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |