StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Sporting Cristal v Palmeiras-SP

Matchstart: 2026-05-05 22:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Sporting Cristal 0–2 Palmeiras-SP

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

47 spelbolag (14 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Sporting Cristal (Hemma)

Prognos 15.13%6.61rättvist odds
EV +2.10%
Fördel +0.311%
Kelly +0.366%
Tillväxt +0.008%

med antagandet om högsta odds 6.75

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
13.99%15.12%15.15%16.95%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
5.256.116.066.7519.05%16.36%16.50%14.81%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Palmeiras-SP (Borta)

Prognos 61.83%1.62rättvist odds
EV -3.55%
Fördel -2.27%
Kelly -6.34%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.56

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
59.32%61.84%61.84%63.37%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.441.501.501.5669.44%66.70%66.67%64.10%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 23.05%4.34rättvist odds
EV -2.06%
Fördel -0.484%
Kelly -0.633%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.25

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
22.01%23.04%23.01%24.91%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.504.014.004.2528.57%24.92%25.00%23.53%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Sporting Cristal (Hemma): 15.13%; Palmeiras-SP (Borta): 61.83%; Oavgjort: 23.05%. För Sporting Cristal (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 6.61. 4 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 6.75, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +2.10%.

Spelbolagsodds (47 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Svenska Spel🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.40%EV +2.10%E +0.311%K +0.366%G +0.008%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.72%EV -4.17%E -2.69%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.88%EV -2.06%E -0.484%K -0.633%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-05 21:30
ATG (SE)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.40%EV +2.10%E +0.311%K +0.366%G +0.008%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.72%EV -4.17%E -2.69%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.88%EV -2.06%E -0.484%K -0.633%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-05 21:30
LowVig.ag🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.99%EV +2.10%E +0.311%K +0.366%G +0.008%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.37%EV -7.88%E -5.29%K -16.07%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.64%EV -3.90%E -0.935%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-05 16:40
BetOnline.ag🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.99%EV +2.10%E +0.311%K +0.366%G +0.008%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.37%EV -7.88%E -5.29%K -16.07%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.64%EV -3.90%E -0.935%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-05 16:40
Coolbet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.67%EV -1.68%E -0.258%K -0.305%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.50%EV -4.17%E -2.69%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 21:20
Grosvenor🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -1.68%E -0.258%K -0.305%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.63%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -5.51%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 21:15
Casumo🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -1.68%E -0.258%K -0.305%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.63%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -5.51%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 21:15
Unibet (NL)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -1.68%E -0.258%K -0.305%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.63%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -5.51%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 21:15
BetRivers🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -1.68%E -0.258%K -0.305%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.63%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -5.51%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 21:15
Unibet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -1.68%E -0.258%K -0.305%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.63%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -5.51%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 21:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -1.68%E -0.258%K -0.305%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -7.88%E -5.29%K -16.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -5.51%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-05 21:15
SportsBet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -1.68%E -0.258%K -0.305%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.90%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -10.12%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-05 21:30
Pinnacle🎯6.43I 15.55%NM 14.70%EV -2.74%E -0.426%K -0.504%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.29%EV -2.29%E -0.540%K -0.706%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 21:30
NordicBet🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV -3.19%E -0.499%K -0.591%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.64%EV -6.02%E -3.96%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -8.97%E -2.27%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-05 21:35
Betsson🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV -3.19%E -0.499%K -0.591%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.64%EV -6.02%E -3.96%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -8.97%E -2.27%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-05 21:35
1xBet🎯6.38I 15.67%NM 15.02%EV -3.49%E -0.548%K -0.650%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.22%EV -4.78%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.76%EV -2.98%E -0.708%K -0.928%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-05 21:35
Betr (AU)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.98%EV -5.46%E -0.874%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.61%EV -6.02%E -3.96%K -11.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-05 21:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV -5.46%E -0.874%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.24%EV -6.02%E -3.96%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -10.12%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-05 21:35
Virgin Bet🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.55%EV -5.46%E -0.874%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.72%EV -10.35%E -7.14%K -23.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-05 21:15
LiveScore Bet🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.55%EV -5.46%E -0.874%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.72%EV -10.35%E -7.14%K -23.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-05 21:15
PMU (FR)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.49%EV -5.46%E -0.874%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.88%EV -10.97%E -7.62%K -24.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-05 21:15
Marathon Bet🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 15.05%EV -6.22%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.20%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -5.51%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-05 21:35
GTbets🎯6.08I 16.45%NM 15.38%EV -8.03%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.35%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -3.21%E -0.764%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-05 20:00
BetUS🎯6.06I 16.50%NM 15.59%EV -8.33%E -1.38%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.17%EV -6.02%E -3.96%K -11.58%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.24%EV -2.06%E -0.484%K -0.633%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 21:35
Bovada🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.24%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.96%EV -3.55%E -2.27%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -5.51%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 21:34
theScore Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -9.24%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -5.40%E -3.53%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -3.21%E -0.764%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 21:30
Betway🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -9.24%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.40%E -3.53%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 20:00
Everygame🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -9.24%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.21%E -0.764%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-05 21:35
betfred_uk🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -9.24%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-05 21:35
Unibet (UK)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -9.24%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-05 20:00
PlayUp🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -9.24%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-05 21:35
Codere (IT)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -9.24%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -7.88%E -5.29%K -16.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-05 19:59
William Hill🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -9.24%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -12.43%E -3.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-05 19:59
Betclic (FR)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -9.24%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.94%EV -9.11%E -6.20%K -19.39%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.88%EV -8.28%E -2.08%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-05 21:33
Paddy Power🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -9.24%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -10.97%E -7.62%K -24.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -12.43%E -3.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-05 19:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.53%EV -9.24%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.55%EV -10.97%E -7.62%K -24.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.91%EV -19.34%E -5.53%K -7.74%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-05 21:30
Suprabets🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.84%EV -10.75%E -1.82%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.90%EV -6.64%E -4.40%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -3.21%E -0.764%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 21:35
Winamax (DE)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV -12.27%E -2.12%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.05%EV -7.88%E -5.29%K -16.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -3.21%E -0.764%K -1.00%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-05 19:59
888sport🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -13.02%E -2.27%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -10.12%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-05 21:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -13.02%E -2.27%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -10.12%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-05 21:35
888sport (SE)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -13.02%E -2.27%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -10.12%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-05 21:35
Unibet (FR)🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 15.48%EV -13.78%E -2.42%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.29%EV -10.97%E -7.62%K -24.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.23%EV -12.43%E -3.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-05 21:35
Winamax (FR)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.28%EV -16.81%E -3.06%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 61.33%EV -9.73%E -6.66%K -21.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-05 19:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -20.59%E -3.92%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.32%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -13.58%E -3.62%K -4.94%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-05 21:35
Neds🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -20.59%E -3.92%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.32%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -13.58%E -3.62%K -4.94%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-05 21:35
Coral🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -20.59%E -3.92%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.32%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -13.58%E -3.62%K -4.94%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-05 21:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -20.59%E -3.92%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.32%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -13.58%E -3.62%K -4.94%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-05 21:30
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.67%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.58%1.0%2026-05-05 21:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.67%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.58%1.0%2026-05-05 21:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.67%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.58%1.0%2026-05-05 21:30
Smarkets7.20I 13.89%NM 13.70%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.82%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%1.4%2026-05-05 21:35