Школа коэффициентов

Peñarol Montevideo v Independiente Santa Fe

Начало: 2026-05-28 00:30 UTC

Итог: Peñarol Montevideo 0–1 Independiente Santa Fe

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

44 букмекерские конторы (14 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Peñarol Montevideo (Хозяева)

Прогноз 57.87%1.73справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.108%
Преимущество +0.063%
Kelly +0.148%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.73

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
55.21%57.70%57.99%59.66%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.531.621.601.7365.36%61.88%62.50%57.80%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Independiente Santa Fe (Гости)

Прогноз 16.12%6.20справедливый коэффициент
EV +4.78%
Преимущество +0.735%
Kelly +0.869%
Рост +0.042%

при максимальном коэффициенте 6.50

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
14.40%16.33%15.94%18.64%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
5.005.635.566.5020.00%17.76%17.97%15.38%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 26.01%3.84справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.67%
Преимущество -0.441%
Kelly -0.599%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.78

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
25.09%25.97%26.07%27.28%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.303.563.603.7830.30%28.12%27.78%26.46%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (44 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 59.61%EV -9.15%E -5.83%K -16.05%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV +4.78%E +0.735%K +0.869%G +0.042%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-28 00:09
Pinnacle1.61I 62.11%NM 59.48%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.21%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.85%EV +3.97%E +0.616%K +0.729%G +0.029%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.67%EV -2.97%E -0.795%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-28 00:20
Suprabets1.57I 63.69%NM 59.52%EV -9.15%E -5.83%K -16.05%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.60%EV +3.17%E +0.495%K +0.586%G +0.019%3.61I 27.70%NM 25.88%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-28 00:19
1xBet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.66%EV -7.99%E -5.03%K -13.55%G +0.000%6.22I 16.08%NM 15.25%EV +0.264%E +0.042%K +0.051%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.09%EV -1.67%E -0.441%K -0.599%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-28 00:19
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 57.86%EV -4.52%E -2.74%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.91%EV -3.28%E -0.547%K -0.656%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.23%EV -5.31%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 00:00
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 57.86%EV -4.52%E -2.74%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.91%EV -3.28%E -0.547%K -0.656%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.23%EV -5.31%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 23:59
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 58.75%EV -6.26%E -3.86%K -10.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -3.28%E -0.547%K -0.656%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -2.45%E -0.652%K -0.890%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 00:08
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 59.06%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.36%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -3.28%E -0.547%K -0.656%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.20%EV -2.45%E -0.652%K -0.890%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-28 00:09
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.36%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -3.28%E -0.547%K -0.656%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-28 00:20
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.47%EV -9.15%E -5.83%K -16.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -3.28%E -0.547%K -0.656%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-28 00:19
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 58.08%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.36%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -4.89%E -0.829%K -0.999%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -7.65%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-28 00:10
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.08%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.36%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -4.89%E -0.829%K -0.999%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -7.65%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-28 00:09
Marathon Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 58.69%EV -7.99%E -5.03%K -13.55%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -3.75%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-28 00:19
Codere (IT)1.59I 62.89%NM 57.86%EV -7.99%E -5.03%K -13.55%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.86%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-28 00:19
William Hill1.60I 62.50%NM 57.26%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.36%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.80%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.95%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-28 00:09
theScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.90%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -7.31%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-28 00:19
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 57.84%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.36%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -7.31%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -7.65%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-28 00:10
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 57.18%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.36%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.91%EV -7.31%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-28 00:09
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.18%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.36%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.91%EV -7.31%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-28 00:09
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.18%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.36%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.91%EV -7.31%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-28 00:09
Betclic (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.08%EV -9.15%E -5.83%K -16.05%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.86%EV -7.31%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-28 00:20
GTbets1.70I 58.82%NM 55.85%EV -1.63%E -0.957%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.63I 17.76%NM 16.86%EV -9.25%E -1.64%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.28%EV -9.47%E -2.72%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 00:10
Svenska Spel1.73I 57.80%NM 56.31%EV +0.108%E +0.063%K +0.148%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.71%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.98%EV -2.45%E -0.652%K -0.890%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-28 00:19
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 56.31%EV +0.108%E +0.063%K +0.148%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.71%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.98%EV -2.45%E -0.652%K -0.890%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-28 00:19
Coolbet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.28%EV -2.21%E -1.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 00:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.55%EV -10.31%E -6.65%K -18.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.23%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-28 00:09
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 57.55%EV -10.31%E -6.65%K -18.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.23%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-28 00:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.55%EV -10.31%E -6.65%K -18.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.23%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-28 00:10
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 57.55%EV -10.31%E -6.65%K -18.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.23%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-28 00:09
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 57.41%EV -11.46%E -7.49%K -21.63%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.97%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -14.15%E -4.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-28 00:09
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.75%EV -8.57%E -5.43%K -14.78%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.90%EV -12.95%E -2.40%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-28 00:20
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 56.06%EV -2.79%E -1.66%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.77%EV -14.57%E -2.75%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-28 00:16
Casumo1.66I 60.24%NM 56.36%EV -3.94%E -2.37%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.65%EV -14.57%E -2.75%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-28 00:19
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 56.36%EV -3.94%E -2.37%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.65%EV -14.57%E -2.75%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-28 00:19
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.36%EV -3.94%E -2.37%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.65%EV -14.57%E -2.75%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-28 00:19
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.36%EV -3.94%E -2.37%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.65%EV -14.57%E -2.75%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-28 00:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.51%EV -4.52%E -2.74%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -14.57%E -2.75%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-28 00:19
Virgin Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.51%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -16.18%E -3.11%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-28 00:19
LiveScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.51%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -16.18%E -3.11%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-28 00:19
PMU (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.51%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -16.18%E -3.11%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-28 00:19
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.20%EV -10.89%E -7.07%K -20.16%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.27%EV -17.79%E -3.49%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.53%EV -10.25%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-28 00:19
Betr (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.47%EV -2.79%E -1.66%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -19.40%E -3.88%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-28 00:19
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -3.36%E -2.01%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -19.40%E -3.88%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-28 00:19
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -3.36%E -2.01%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -19.40%E -3.88%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-28 00:19
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (4)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.15%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.04%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-05-28 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.15%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.04%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-05-28 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.15%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.04%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-05-28 00:10
Smarkets1.64I 60.98%NM 60.11%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.94%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.96%1.4%2026-05-28 00:20