مدرسة الاحتمالات

Peñarol Montevideo v Independiente Santa Fe

البداية: 2026-05-28 00:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Peñarol Montevideo 0–1 Independiente Santa Fe

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

44 شركة مراهنات (14 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Peñarol Montevideo (المضيف)

التنبؤ 57.87%1.73السعر العادل
EV +0.108%
الأفضلية +0.063%
Kelly +0.148%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.73

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
55.21%57.70%57.99%59.66%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.531.621.601.7365.36%61.88%62.50%57.80%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Independiente Santa Fe (الضيف)

التنبؤ 16.12%6.20السعر العادل
EV +4.78%
الأفضلية +0.735%
Kelly +0.869%
النمو +0.042%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
14.40%16.33%15.94%18.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.005.635.566.5020.00%17.76%17.97%15.38%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.01%3.84السعر العادل
EV -1.67%
الأفضلية -0.441%
Kelly -0.599%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.78

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.09%25.97%26.07%27.28%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.303.563.603.7830.30%28.12%27.78%26.46%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (44 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 59.61%EV -9.15%E -5.83%K -16.05%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV +4.78%E +0.735%K +0.869%G +0.042%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-28 00:09
Pinnacle1.61I 62.11%NM 59.48%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.21%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.85%EV +3.97%E +0.616%K +0.729%G +0.029%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.67%EV -2.97%E -0.795%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-28 00:20
Suprabets1.57I 63.69%NM 59.52%EV -9.15%E -5.83%K -16.05%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.60%EV +3.17%E +0.495%K +0.586%G +0.019%3.61I 27.70%NM 25.88%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-28 00:19
1xBet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.66%EV -7.99%E -5.03%K -13.55%G +0.000%6.22I 16.08%NM 15.25%EV +0.264%E +0.042%K +0.051%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.09%EV -1.67%E -0.441%K -0.599%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-28 00:19
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 57.86%EV -4.52%E -2.74%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.91%EV -3.28%E -0.547%K -0.656%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.23%EV -5.31%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 00:00
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 57.86%EV -4.52%E -2.74%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.91%EV -3.28%E -0.547%K -0.656%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.23%EV -5.31%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 23:59
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 58.75%EV -6.26%E -3.86%K -10.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -3.28%E -0.547%K -0.656%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -2.45%E -0.652%K -0.890%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 00:08
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 59.06%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.36%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -3.28%E -0.547%K -0.656%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.20%EV -2.45%E -0.652%K -0.890%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-28 00:09
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.36%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -3.28%E -0.547%K -0.656%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-28 00:20
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.47%EV -9.15%E -5.83%K -16.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -3.28%E -0.547%K -0.656%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-28 00:19
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 58.08%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.36%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -4.89%E -0.829%K -0.999%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -7.65%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-28 00:10
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.08%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.36%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -4.89%E -0.829%K -0.999%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -7.65%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-28 00:09
Marathon Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 58.69%EV -7.99%E -5.03%K -13.55%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -3.75%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-28 00:19
Codere (IT)1.59I 62.89%NM 57.86%EV -7.99%E -5.03%K -13.55%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.86%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-28 00:19
William Hill1.60I 62.50%NM 57.26%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.36%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.80%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.95%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-28 00:09
theScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.90%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -7.31%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-28 00:19
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 57.84%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.36%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -7.31%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -7.65%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-28 00:10
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 57.18%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.36%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.91%EV -7.31%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-28 00:09
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.18%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.36%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.91%EV -7.31%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-28 00:09
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.18%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.36%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.91%EV -7.31%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-28 00:09
Betclic (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.08%EV -9.15%E -5.83%K -16.05%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.86%EV -7.31%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-28 00:20
GTbets1.70I 58.82%NM 55.85%EV -1.63%E -0.957%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.63I 17.76%NM 16.86%EV -9.25%E -1.64%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.28%EV -9.47%E -2.72%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 00:10
Svenska Spel1.73I 57.80%NM 56.31%EV +0.108%E +0.063%K +0.148%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.71%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.98%EV -2.45%E -0.652%K -0.890%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-28 00:19
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 56.31%EV +0.108%E +0.063%K +0.148%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.71%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.98%EV -2.45%E -0.652%K -0.890%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-28 00:19
Coolbet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.28%EV -2.21%E -1.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 00:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.55%EV -10.31%E -6.65%K -18.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.23%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-28 00:09
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 57.55%EV -10.31%E -6.65%K -18.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.23%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-28 00:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.55%EV -10.31%E -6.65%K -18.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.23%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-28 00:10
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 57.55%EV -10.31%E -6.65%K -18.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.23%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-28 00:09
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 57.41%EV -11.46%E -7.49%K -21.63%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.97%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -14.15%E -4.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-28 00:09
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.75%EV -8.57%E -5.43%K -14.78%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.90%EV -12.95%E -2.40%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-28 00:20
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 56.06%EV -2.79%E -1.66%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.77%EV -14.57%E -2.75%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-28 00:16
Casumo1.66I 60.24%NM 56.36%EV -3.94%E -2.37%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.65%EV -14.57%E -2.75%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-28 00:19
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 56.36%EV -3.94%E -2.37%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.65%EV -14.57%E -2.75%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-28 00:19
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.36%EV -3.94%E -2.37%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.65%EV -14.57%E -2.75%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-28 00:19
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.36%EV -3.94%E -2.37%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.65%EV -14.57%E -2.75%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-28 00:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.51%EV -4.52%E -2.74%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -14.57%E -2.75%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-28 00:19
Virgin Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.51%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -16.18%E -3.11%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-28 00:19
LiveScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.51%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -16.18%E -3.11%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-28 00:19
PMU (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.51%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -16.18%E -3.11%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-28 00:19
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.20%EV -10.89%E -7.07%K -20.16%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.27%EV -17.79%E -3.49%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.53%EV -10.25%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-28 00:19
Betr (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.47%EV -2.79%E -1.66%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -19.40%E -3.88%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-28 00:19
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -3.36%E -2.01%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -19.40%E -3.88%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-28 00:19
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -3.36%E -2.01%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -19.40%E -3.88%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-28 00:19
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (4)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.15%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.04%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-05-28 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.15%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.04%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-05-28 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.15%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.04%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-05-28 00:10
Smarkets1.64I 60.98%NM 60.11%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.94%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.96%1.4%2026-05-28 00:20