Die Schule der Quoten

Peñarol Montevideo v Independiente Santa Fe

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-28 00:30 UTC

Endstand: Peñarol Montevideo 0–1 Independiente Santa Fe

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

44 Wettanbieter (14 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Peñarol Montevideo (Heim)

Prognose 57.87%1.73faire Quote
EV +0.108%
Vorteil +0.063%
Kelly +0.148%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.73

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
55.21%57.70%57.99%59.66%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.531.621.601.7365.36%61.88%62.50%57.80%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Independiente Santa Fe (Auswärts)

Prognose 16.12%6.20faire Quote
EV +4.78%
Vorteil +0.735%
Kelly +0.869%
Wachstum +0.042%

bei einer Höchstquote von 6.50

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
14.40%16.33%15.94%18.64%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
5.005.635.566.5020.00%17.76%17.97%15.38%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 26.01%3.84faire Quote
EV -1.67%
Vorteil -0.441%
Kelly -0.599%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.78

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
25.09%25.97%26.07%27.28%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.303.563.603.7830.30%28.12%27.78%26.46%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (44 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 59.61%EV -9.15%E -5.83%K -16.05%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV +4.78%E +0.735%K +0.869%G +0.042%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-28 00:09
Pinnacle1.61I 62.11%NM 59.48%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.21%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.85%EV +3.97%E +0.616%K +0.729%G +0.029%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.67%EV -2.97%E -0.795%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-28 00:20
Suprabets1.57I 63.69%NM 59.52%EV -9.15%E -5.83%K -16.05%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.60%EV +3.17%E +0.495%K +0.586%G +0.019%3.61I 27.70%NM 25.88%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-28 00:19
1xBet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.66%EV -7.99%E -5.03%K -13.55%G +0.000%6.22I 16.08%NM 15.25%EV +0.264%E +0.042%K +0.051%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.09%EV -1.67%E -0.441%K -0.599%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-28 00:19
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 57.86%EV -4.52%E -2.74%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.91%EV -3.28%E -0.547%K -0.656%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.23%EV -5.31%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 00:00
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 57.86%EV -4.52%E -2.74%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.91%EV -3.28%E -0.547%K -0.656%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.23%EV -5.31%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 23:59
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 58.75%EV -6.26%E -3.86%K -10.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -3.28%E -0.547%K -0.656%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -2.45%E -0.652%K -0.890%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 00:08
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 59.06%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.36%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -3.28%E -0.547%K -0.656%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.20%EV -2.45%E -0.652%K -0.890%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-28 00:09
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.36%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -3.28%E -0.547%K -0.656%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-28 00:20
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.47%EV -9.15%E -5.83%K -16.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -3.28%E -0.547%K -0.656%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-28 00:19
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 58.08%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.36%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -4.89%E -0.829%K -0.999%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -7.65%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-28 00:10
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.08%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.36%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -4.89%E -0.829%K -0.999%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -7.65%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-28 00:09
Marathon Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 58.69%EV -7.99%E -5.03%K -13.55%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -3.75%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-28 00:19
Codere (IT)1.59I 62.89%NM 57.86%EV -7.99%E -5.03%K -13.55%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.86%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-28 00:19
William Hill1.60I 62.50%NM 57.26%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.36%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.80%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.95%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-28 00:09
theScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.90%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -7.31%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-28 00:19
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 57.84%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.36%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -7.31%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -7.65%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-28 00:10
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 57.18%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.36%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.91%EV -7.31%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-28 00:09
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.18%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.36%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.91%EV -7.31%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-28 00:09
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.18%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.36%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.91%EV -7.31%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-28 00:09
Betclic (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.08%EV -9.15%E -5.83%K -16.05%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.86%EV -7.31%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-28 00:20
GTbets1.70I 58.82%NM 55.85%EV -1.63%E -0.957%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.63I 17.76%NM 16.86%EV -9.25%E -1.64%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.28%EV -9.47%E -2.72%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 00:10
Svenska Spel1.73I 57.80%NM 56.31%EV +0.108%E +0.063%K +0.148%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.71%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.98%EV -2.45%E -0.652%K -0.890%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-28 00:19
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 56.31%EV +0.108%E +0.063%K +0.148%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.71%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.98%EV -2.45%E -0.652%K -0.890%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-28 00:19
Coolbet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.28%EV -2.21%E -1.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 00:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.55%EV -10.31%E -6.65%K -18.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.23%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-28 00:09
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 57.55%EV -10.31%E -6.65%K -18.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.23%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-28 00:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.55%EV -10.31%E -6.65%K -18.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.23%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-28 00:10
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 57.55%EV -10.31%E -6.65%K -18.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.23%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-28 00:09
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 57.41%EV -11.46%E -7.49%K -21.63%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.97%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -14.15%E -4.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-28 00:09
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.75%EV -8.57%E -5.43%K -14.78%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.90%EV -12.95%E -2.40%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-28 00:20
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 56.06%EV -2.79%E -1.66%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.77%EV -14.57%E -2.75%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-28 00:16
Casumo1.66I 60.24%NM 56.36%EV -3.94%E -2.37%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.65%EV -14.57%E -2.75%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-28 00:19
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 56.36%EV -3.94%E -2.37%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.65%EV -14.57%E -2.75%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-28 00:19
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.36%EV -3.94%E -2.37%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.65%EV -14.57%E -2.75%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-28 00:19
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.36%EV -3.94%E -2.37%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.65%EV -14.57%E -2.75%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-28 00:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.51%EV -4.52%E -2.74%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -14.57%E -2.75%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-28 00:19
Virgin Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.51%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -16.18%E -3.11%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-28 00:19
LiveScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.51%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -16.18%E -3.11%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-28 00:19
PMU (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.51%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -16.18%E -3.11%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-28 00:19
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.20%EV -10.89%E -7.07%K -20.16%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.27%EV -17.79%E -3.49%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.53%EV -10.25%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-28 00:19
Betr (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.47%EV -2.79%E -1.66%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -19.40%E -3.88%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-28 00:19
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -3.36%E -2.01%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -19.40%E -3.88%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-28 00:19
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -3.36%E -2.01%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -19.40%E -3.88%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-28 00:19
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (4)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.15%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.04%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-05-28 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.15%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.04%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-05-28 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.15%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.04%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-05-28 00:10
Smarkets1.64I 60.98%NM 60.11%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.94%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.96%1.4%2026-05-28 00:20