La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Peñarol Montevideo v Independiente Santa Fe
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Peñarol Montevideo (Casa)
Previsione 57.87%1.73quota equa
EV +0.108%
Vantaggio +0.063%
Kelly +0.148%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.73
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
55.21%57.70%57.99%59.66%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.531.621.601.7365.36%61.88%62.50%57.80%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Independiente Santa Fe (Trasferta)
Previsione 16.12%6.20quota equa
EV +4.78%
Vantaggio +0.735%
Kelly +0.869%
Crescita +0.042%
ipotizzando la quota massima 6.50
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
14.40%16.33%15.94%18.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.005.635.566.5020.00%17.76%17.97%15.38%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 26.01%3.84quota equa
EV -1.67%
Vantaggio -0.441%
Kelly -0.599%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.78
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.09%25.97%26.07%27.28%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.563.603.7830.30%28.12%27.78%26.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (44 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.61%EV -9.15%E -5.83%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV +4.78%E +0.735%K +0.869%G +0.042% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-28 00:09 |
| Pinnacle | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.48%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.85%EV +3.97%E +0.616%K +0.729%G +0.029% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.67%EV -2.97%E -0.795%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| Suprabets | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.52%EV -9.15%E -5.83%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.60%EV +3.17%E +0.495%K +0.586%G +0.019% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 25.88%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| 1xBet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.66%EV -7.99%E -5.03%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 6.22I 16.08%NM 15.25%EV +0.264%E +0.042%K +0.051%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.09%EV -1.67%E -0.441%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.86%EV -4.52%E -2.74%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.91%EV -3.28%E -0.547%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.23%EV -5.31%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 00:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.86%EV -4.52%E -2.74%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.91%EV -3.28%E -0.547%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.23%EV -5.31%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-27 23:59 |
| Bovada | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.75%EV -6.26%E -3.86%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -3.28%E -0.547%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -2.45%E -0.652%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 00:08 |
| Betway | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.06%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -3.28%E -0.547%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.20%EV -2.45%E -0.652%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 00:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -3.28%E -0.547%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.47%EV -9.15%E -5.83%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -3.28%E -0.547%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| Betsson | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.08%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -4.89%E -0.829%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -7.65%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-28 00:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.08%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -4.89%E -0.829%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -7.65%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-28 00:09 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.69%EV -7.99%E -5.03%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -3.75%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.86%EV -7.99%E -5.03%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.86%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| William Hill | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.26%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.80%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.95%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-28 00:09 |
| theScore Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.90%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -7.31%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| PlayUp | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.84%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -7.31%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -7.65%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-28 00:10 |
| 888sport | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.18%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.91%EV -7.31%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-28 00:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.18%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.91%EV -7.31%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-28 00:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.18%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.91%EV -7.31%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-28 00:09 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.08%EV -9.15%E -5.83%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.86%EV -7.31%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| GTbets | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.85%EV -1.63%E -0.957%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.63I 17.76%NM 16.86%EV -9.25%E -1.64%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.28%EV -9.47%E -2.72%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 00:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.31%EV +0.108%E +0.063%K +0.148%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.71%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.98%EV -2.45%E -0.652%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.31%EV +0.108%E +0.063%K +0.148%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.71%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.98%EV -2.45%E -0.652%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| Coolbet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.28%EV -2.21%E -1.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 00:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.55%EV -10.31%E -6.65%K -18.74%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.23%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-28 00:09 |
| Coral | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.55%EV -10.31%E -6.65%K -18.74%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.23%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-28 00:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.55%EV -10.31%E -6.65%K -18.74%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.23%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-28 00:10 |
| Neds | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.55%EV -10.31%E -6.65%K -18.74%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.23%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-28 00:09 |
| Paddy Power | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.41%EV -11.46%E -7.49%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.97%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -14.15%E -4.29%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-28 00:09 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.75%EV -8.57%E -5.43%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.90%EV -12.95%E -2.40%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.06%EV -2.79%E -1.66%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.77%EV -14.57%E -2.75%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-28 00:16 |
| Casumo | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.36%EV -3.94%E -2.37%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.65%EV -14.57%E -2.75%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| Grosvenor | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.36%EV -3.94%E -2.37%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.65%EV -14.57%E -2.75%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| Unibet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.36%EV -3.94%E -2.37%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.65%EV -14.57%E -2.75%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.36%EV -3.94%E -2.37%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.65%EV -14.57%E -2.75%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.51%EV -4.52%E -2.74%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -14.57%E -2.75%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.51%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -16.18%E -3.11%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.51%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -16.18%E -3.11%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.51%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -16.18%E -3.11%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.20%EV -10.89%E -7.07%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.27%EV -17.79%E -3.49%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.53%EV -10.25%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.47%EV -2.79%E -1.66%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -19.40%E -3.88%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -3.36%E -2.01%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -19.40%E -3.88%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| betfred_uk | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -3.36%E -2.01%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -19.40%E -3.88%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (4)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.15% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.04% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-05-28 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.15% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.04% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-05-28 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.15% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.04% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-05-28 00:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.11% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.94% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.96% | 1.4% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |