La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Peñarol Montevideo v Independiente Santa Fe
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Peñarol Montevideo (Local)
Predicción 57.87%1.73momio equitativo
EV +0.108%
Ventaja +0.063%
Kelly +0.148%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.73
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.21%57.70%57.99%59.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.531.621.601.7365.36%61.88%62.50%57.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Independiente Santa Fe (Visitante)
Predicción 16.12%6.20momio equitativo
EV +4.78%
Ventaja +0.735%
Kelly +0.869%
Crecimiento +0.042%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.40%16.33%15.94%18.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.005.635.566.5020.00%17.76%17.97%15.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.01%3.84momio equitativo
EV -1.67%
Ventaja -0.441%
Kelly -0.599%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.78
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.09%25.97%26.07%27.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.563.603.7830.30%28.12%27.78%26.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.61%EV -9.15%E -5.83%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV +4.78%E +0.735%K +0.869%G +0.042% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-28 00:09 |
| Pinnacle | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.48%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.85%EV +3.97%E +0.616%K +0.729%G +0.029% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.67%EV -2.97%E -0.795%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| Suprabets | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.52%EV -9.15%E -5.83%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.60%EV +3.17%E +0.495%K +0.586%G +0.019% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 25.88%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| 1xBet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.66%EV -7.99%E -5.03%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 6.22I 16.08%NM 15.25%EV +0.264%E +0.042%K +0.051%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.09%EV -1.67%E -0.441%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.86%EV -4.52%E -2.74%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.91%EV -3.28%E -0.547%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.23%EV -5.31%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 00:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.86%EV -4.52%E -2.74%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.91%EV -3.28%E -0.547%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.23%EV -5.31%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-27 23:59 |
| Bovada | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.75%EV -6.26%E -3.86%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -3.28%E -0.547%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -2.45%E -0.652%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 00:08 |
| Betway | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.06%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -3.28%E -0.547%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.20%EV -2.45%E -0.652%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 00:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -3.28%E -0.547%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.47%EV -9.15%E -5.83%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -3.28%E -0.547%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| Betsson | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.08%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -4.89%E -0.829%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -7.65%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-28 00:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.08%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -4.89%E -0.829%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -7.65%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-28 00:09 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.69%EV -7.99%E -5.03%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -3.75%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.86%EV -7.99%E -5.03%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.86%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| William Hill | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.26%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.80%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.95%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-28 00:09 |
| theScore Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.90%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -7.31%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| PlayUp | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.84%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -7.31%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -7.65%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-28 00:10 |
| 888sport | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.18%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.91%EV -7.31%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-28 00:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.18%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.91%EV -7.31%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-28 00:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.18%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.91%EV -7.31%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-28 00:09 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.08%EV -9.15%E -5.83%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.86%EV -7.31%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| GTbets | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.85%EV -1.63%E -0.957%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.63I 17.76%NM 16.86%EV -9.25%E -1.64%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.28%EV -9.47%E -2.72%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 00:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.31%EV +0.108%E +0.063%K +0.148%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.71%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.98%EV -2.45%E -0.652%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.31%EV +0.108%E +0.063%K +0.148%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.71%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.98%EV -2.45%E -0.652%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| Coolbet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.28%EV -2.21%E -1.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 00:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.55%EV -10.31%E -6.65%K -18.74%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.23%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-28 00:09 |
| Coral | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.55%EV -10.31%E -6.65%K -18.74%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.23%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-28 00:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.55%EV -10.31%E -6.65%K -18.74%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.23%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-28 00:10 |
| Neds | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.55%EV -10.31%E -6.65%K -18.74%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.23%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-28 00:09 |
| Paddy Power | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.41%EV -11.46%E -7.49%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.97%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -14.15%E -4.29%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-28 00:09 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.75%EV -8.57%E -5.43%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.90%EV -12.95%E -2.40%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.06%EV -2.79%E -1.66%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.77%EV -14.57%E -2.75%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-28 00:16 |
| Casumo | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.36%EV -3.94%E -2.37%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.65%EV -14.57%E -2.75%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| Grosvenor | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.36%EV -3.94%E -2.37%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.65%EV -14.57%E -2.75%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| Unibet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.36%EV -3.94%E -2.37%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.65%EV -14.57%E -2.75%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.36%EV -3.94%E -2.37%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.65%EV -14.57%E -2.75%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.51%EV -4.52%E -2.74%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -14.57%E -2.75%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.51%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -16.18%E -3.11%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.51%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -16.18%E -3.11%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.51%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -16.18%E -3.11%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.20%EV -10.89%E -7.07%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.27%EV -17.79%E -3.49%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.53%EV -10.25%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.47%EV -2.79%E -1.66%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -19.40%E -3.88%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -3.36%E -2.01%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -19.40%E -3.88%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| betfred_uk | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -3.36%E -2.01%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -19.40%E -3.88%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.15% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.04% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-05-28 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.15% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.04% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-05-28 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.15% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.04% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-05-28 00:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.11% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.94% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.96% | 1.4% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |