L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Peñarol Montevideo v Independiente Santa Fe
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Peñarol Montevideo (Local)
Prévision 57.87%1.73cote équitable
EV +0.108%
Avantage +0.063%
Kelly +0.148%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.73
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.21%57.70%57.99%59.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.531.621.601.7365.36%61.88%62.50%57.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Independiente Santa Fe (Visiteur)
Prévision 16.12%6.20cote équitable
EV +4.78%
Avantage +0.735%
Kelly +0.869%
Croissance +0.042%
avec la cote maximale 6.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.40%16.33%15.94%18.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.005.635.566.5020.00%17.76%17.97%15.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 26.01%3.84cote équitable
EV -1.67%
Avantage -0.441%
Kelly -0.599%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.78
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.09%25.97%26.07%27.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.563.603.7830.30%28.12%27.78%26.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.61%EV -9.15%E -5.83%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV +4.78%E +0.735%K +0.869%G +0.042% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-28 00:09 |
| Pinnacle | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.48%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.85%EV +3.97%E +0.616%K +0.729%G +0.029% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.67%EV -2.97%E -0.795%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| Suprabets | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.52%EV -9.15%E -5.83%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.60%EV +3.17%E +0.495%K +0.586%G +0.019% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 25.88%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| 1xBet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.66%EV -7.99%E -5.03%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 6.22I 16.08%NM 15.25%EV +0.264%E +0.042%K +0.051%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.09%EV -1.67%E -0.441%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.86%EV -4.52%E -2.74%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.91%EV -3.28%E -0.547%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.23%EV -5.31%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 00:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.86%EV -4.52%E -2.74%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.91%EV -3.28%E -0.547%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.23%EV -5.31%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-27 23:59 |
| Bovada | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.75%EV -6.26%E -3.86%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -3.28%E -0.547%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -2.45%E -0.652%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 00:08 |
| Betway | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.06%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -3.28%E -0.547%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.20%EV -2.45%E -0.652%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 00:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -3.28%E -0.547%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.47%EV -9.15%E -5.83%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -3.28%E -0.547%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| Betsson | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.08%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -4.89%E -0.829%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -7.65%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-28 00:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.08%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -4.89%E -0.829%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -7.65%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-28 00:09 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.69%EV -7.99%E -5.03%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -3.75%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.86%EV -7.99%E -5.03%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.86%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| William Hill | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.26%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.80%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.95%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-28 00:09 |
| theScore Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.90%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -7.31%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| PlayUp | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.84%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -7.31%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -7.65%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-28 00:10 |
| 888sport | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.18%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.91%EV -7.31%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-28 00:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.18%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.91%EV -7.31%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-28 00:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.18%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.91%EV -7.31%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-28 00:09 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.08%EV -9.15%E -5.83%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.86%EV -7.31%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| GTbets | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.85%EV -1.63%E -0.957%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.63I 17.76%NM 16.86%EV -9.25%E -1.64%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.28%EV -9.47%E -2.72%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 00:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.31%EV +0.108%E +0.063%K +0.148%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.71%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.98%EV -2.45%E -0.652%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.31%EV +0.108%E +0.063%K +0.148%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.71%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.98%EV -2.45%E -0.652%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| Coolbet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.28%EV -2.21%E -1.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 00:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.55%EV -10.31%E -6.65%K -18.74%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.23%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-28 00:09 |
| Coral | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.55%EV -10.31%E -6.65%K -18.74%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.23%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-28 00:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.55%EV -10.31%E -6.65%K -18.74%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.23%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-28 00:10 |
| Neds | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.55%EV -10.31%E -6.65%K -18.74%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.23%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-28 00:09 |
| Paddy Power | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.41%EV -11.46%E -7.49%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.97%EV -11.34%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -14.15%E -4.29%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-28 00:09 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.75%EV -8.57%E -5.43%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.90%EV -12.95%E -2.40%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.06%EV -2.79%E -1.66%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.77%EV -14.57%E -2.75%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-28 00:16 |
| Casumo | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.36%EV -3.94%E -2.37%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.65%EV -14.57%E -2.75%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| Grosvenor | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.36%EV -3.94%E -2.37%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.65%EV -14.57%E -2.75%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| Unibet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.36%EV -3.94%E -2.37%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.65%EV -14.57%E -2.75%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.36%EV -3.94%E -2.37%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.65%EV -14.57%E -2.75%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.51%EV -4.52%E -2.74%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -14.57%E -2.75%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.51%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -16.18%E -3.11%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.51%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -16.18%E -3.11%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.51%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -16.18%E -3.11%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.20%EV -10.89%E -7.07%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.27%EV -17.79%E -3.49%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.53%EV -10.25%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.47%EV -2.79%E -1.66%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -19.40%E -3.88%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -3.36%E -2.01%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -19.40%E -3.88%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| betfred_uk | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -3.36%E -2.01%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -19.40%E -3.88%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.15% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.04% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-05-28 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.15% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.04% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-05-28 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.15% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.04% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-05-28 00:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.11% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.94% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.96% | 1.4% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |