Школа коэффициентов

Palmeiras-SP v Sporting Cristal

Начало: 2026-04-16 22:02 UTC

Итог: Palmeiras-SP 2–1 Sporting Cristal

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

46 букмекерских контор (13 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Palmeiras-SP (Хозяева)

Прогноз 80.19%1.25справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.77%
Преимущество -3.14%
Kelly -18.84%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.20

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
78.52%80.29%80.17%82.64%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.091.161.161.2091.74%86.45%86.21%83.33%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Sporting Cristal (Гости)

Прогноз 6.05%16.52справедливый коэффициент
EV +15.03%
Преимущество +0.791%
Kelly +0.835%
Рост +0.125%

при максимальном коэффициенте 19.00

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
5.04%6.10%6.07%7.53%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
12.0015.0615.0019.008.33%6.64%6.67%5.26%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 13.75%7.27справедливый коэффициент
EV +10.02%
Преимущество +1.25%
Kelly +1.43%
Рост +0.143%

при максимальном коэффициенте 8.00

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
11.57%13.61%13.76%14.90%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
5.906.866.888.0016.95%14.57%14.55%12.50%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (46 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичья ▼МаржаОбновлено
SportsBet1.12I 89.29%NM 82.64%EV -10.18%E -9.09%K -84.86%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.79%EV -3.13%E -0.196%K -0.209%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.57%EV +10.02%E +1.25%K +1.43%G +0.143%8.0%2026-04-16 22:00
1xBet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.80%EV -6.98%E -6.01%K -43.60%G +0.000%12.60I 7.94%NM 7.44%EV -23.72%E -1.88%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.97I 12.55%NM 11.76%EV +9.60%E +1.21%K +1.38%G +0.132%6.7%2026-04-16 21:59
Pinnacle1.17I 85.47%NM 81.41%EV -6.17%E -5.28%K -36.31%G +0.000%15.74I 6.35%NM 6.05%EV -4.71%E -0.299%K -0.319%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.53%EV +4.52%E +0.594%K +0.684%G +0.031%5.0%2026-04-16 21:59
BetUS1.17I 85.47%NM 81.02%EV -6.17%E -5.28%K -36.31%G +0.000%14.75I 6.78%NM 6.43%EV -10.70%E -0.725%K -0.778%G +0.000%7.55I 13.25%NM 12.56%EV +3.83%E +0.507%K +0.585%G +0.022%5.5%2026-04-16 21:59
Svenska Spel1.20I 83.33%NM 81.76%EV -3.77%E -3.14%K -18.84%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.16%EV +15.03%E +0.791%K +0.835%G +0.125%7.50I 13.33%NM 13.08%EV +3.14%E +0.419%K +0.483%G +0.015%1.9%2026-04-16 22:00
ATG (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 81.76%EV -3.77%E -3.14%K -18.84%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.16%EV +15.03%E +0.791%K +0.835%G +0.125%7.50I 13.33%NM 13.08%EV +3.14%E +0.419%K +0.483%G +0.015%1.9%2026-04-16 22:00
BetOnline.ag1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.17%E -5.28%K -36.31%G +0.000%15.95I 6.27%NM 5.97%EV -3.44%E -0.215%K -0.230%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +3.14%E +0.419%K +0.483%G +0.015%5.1%2026-04-16 21:59
LowVig.ag1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.17%E -5.28%K -36.31%G +0.000%15.95I 6.27%NM 5.97%EV -3.44%E -0.215%K -0.230%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +3.14%E +0.419%K +0.483%G +0.015%5.1%2026-04-16 22:00
Bovada1.18I 84.75%NM 80.12%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.84%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV -21.30%E -1.64%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV +3.14%E +0.419%K +0.483%G +0.015%5.8%2026-04-16 21:56
GTbets1.17I 85.47%NM 80.30%EV -6.17%E -5.28%K -36.31%G +0.000%13.35I 7.49%NM 7.04%EV -19.18%E -1.44%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.42I 13.48%NM 12.66%EV +2.04%E +0.275%K +0.318%G +0.006%6.4%2026-04-16 21:59
Marathon Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 81.61%EV -8.58%E -7.53%K -61.28%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.81%EV -3.13%E -0.196%K -0.209%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.57%EV +1.77%E +0.239%K +0.276%G +0.005%7.5%2026-04-16 21:59
Winamax (DE)1.14I 87.72%NM 80.10%EV -8.58%E -7.53%K -61.28%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.31%EV -24.32%E -1.95%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.60%EV -0.297%E -0.041%K -0.047%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-16 22:00
Suprabets1.16I 86.21%NM 80.60%EV -6.98%E -6.01%K -43.60%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV -9.19%E -0.612%K -0.656%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.17%EV -2.36%E -0.332%K -0.387%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 21:56
Coolbet1.18I 84.75%NM 81.03%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.84%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV +8.98%E +0.499%K +0.528%G +0.047%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.66%EV -3.73%E -0.534%K -0.622%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 22:00
BetRivers1.16I 86.21%NM 81.29%EV -6.98%E -6.01%K -43.60%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.24%EV +8.98%E +0.499%K +0.528%G +0.047%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -3.73%E -0.534%K -0.622%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 21:53
Unibet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.29%EV -6.98%E -6.01%K -43.60%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.24%EV +8.98%E +0.499%K +0.528%G +0.047%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -3.73%E -0.534%K -0.622%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 21:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.29%EV -6.98%E -6.01%K -43.60%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.24%EV +8.98%E +0.499%K +0.528%G +0.047%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -3.73%E -0.534%K -0.622%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 22:00
Unibet (NL)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.29%EV -6.98%E -6.01%K -43.60%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.24%EV +8.98%E +0.499%K +0.528%G +0.047%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -3.73%E -0.534%K -0.622%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 22:00
theScore Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.95%EV -6.17%E -5.28%K -36.31%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV -15.24%E -1.09%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -3.73%E -0.534%K -0.622%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-16 22:00
Everygame1.16I 86.21%NM 80.45%EV -6.98%E -6.01%K -43.60%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.22%EV -9.19%E -0.612%K -0.656%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -3.73%E -0.534%K -0.622%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-16 21:59
William Hill1.15I 86.96%NM 80.58%EV -7.78%E -6.76%K -51.85%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV -9.19%E -0.612%K -0.656%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -3.73%E -0.534%K -0.622%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-16 21:59
Mr Green (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.58%EV -7.78%E -6.76%K -51.85%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV -9.19%E -0.612%K -0.656%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -3.73%E -0.534%K -0.622%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-16 21:59
Paddy Power1.12I 89.29%NM 80.99%EV -10.18%E -9.09%K -84.86%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.05%EV -9.19%E -0.612%K -0.656%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -3.73%E -0.534%K -0.622%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-16 22:00
Casumo1.17I 85.47%NM 80.23%EV -6.17%E -5.28%K -36.31%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.87%EV -3.13%E -0.196%K -0.209%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -7.17%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-16 22:00
Betr (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.42%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.84%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.69%EV -15.24%E -1.09%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.88%EV -7.17%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 21:59
PointsBet (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.16%EV -6.17%E -5.28%K -36.31%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.12%EV -21.30%E -1.64%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -7.17%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-16 22:00
Codere (IT)1.15I 86.96%NM 79.59%EV -7.78%E -6.76%K -51.85%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.54%EV -15.24%E -1.09%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.87%EV -9.24%E -1.40%K -1.65%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-16 22:00
PlayUp1.17I 85.47%NM 80.08%EV -6.17%E -5.28%K -36.31%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.51%EV +2.92%E +0.172%K +0.183%G +0.005%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -10.61%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 22:00
Betclic (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 79.94%EV -6.98%E -6.01%K -43.60%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.80%EV -3.13%E -0.196%K -0.209%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.61%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 22:00
betfred_uk1.17I 85.47%NM 78.74%EV -6.17%E -5.28%K -36.31%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV -21.30%E -1.64%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -10.61%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-16 21:59
Winamax (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 79.09%EV -6.98%E -6.01%K -43.60%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 6.80%EV -18.27%E -1.35%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -10.61%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-16 22:00
888sport1.15I 86.96%NM 79.77%EV -7.78%E -6.76%K -51.85%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.12%EV -9.19%E -0.612%K -0.656%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -10.61%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-16 22:00
Betway1.15I 86.96%NM 79.77%EV -7.78%E -6.76%K -51.85%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.12%EV -9.19%E -0.612%K -0.656%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -10.61%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-16 22:00
888sport (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 79.77%EV -7.78%E -6.76%K -51.85%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.12%EV -9.19%E -0.612%K -0.656%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -10.61%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-16 22:00
Neds1.15I 86.96%NM 78.57%EV -7.78%E -6.76%K -51.85%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.53%EV -27.35%E -2.28%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -10.61%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-16 21:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 78.57%EV -7.78%E -6.76%K -51.85%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.53%EV -27.35%E -2.28%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -10.61%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-16 22:00
Coral1.15I 86.96%NM 78.57%EV -7.78%E -6.76%K -51.85%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.53%EV -27.35%E -2.28%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -10.61%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-16 22:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 78.57%EV -7.78%E -6.76%K -51.85%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.53%EV -27.35%E -2.28%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -10.61%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-16 21:59
NordicBet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.39%EV -6.98%E -6.01%K -43.60%G +0.000%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.04%EV +12.00%E +0.649%K +0.686%G +0.082%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.57%EV -11.99%E -1.87%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-16 22:00
Betsson1.14I 87.72%NM 79.86%EV -8.58%E -7.53%K -61.28%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.69%EV -3.13%E -0.196%K -0.209%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.45%EV -13.36%E -2.12%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-16 22:00
Grosvenor1.16I 86.21%NM 78.84%EV -6.98%E -6.01%K -43.60%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.53%EV -15.24%E -1.09%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV -14.05%E -2.25%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-16 22:00
LiveScore Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 78.84%EV -6.98%E -6.01%K -43.60%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.53%EV -15.24%E -1.09%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV -14.05%E -2.25%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-16 22:00
Virgin Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 78.84%EV -6.98%E -6.01%K -43.60%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.53%EV -15.24%E -1.09%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV -14.05%E -2.25%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-16 22:00
PMU (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 80.48%EV -12.59%E -11.55%K -139.88%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.48%EV -3.13%E -0.196%K -0.209%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.04%EV -14.05%E -2.25%K -2.68%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-16 22:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 79.13%EV -9.38%E -8.30%K -72.16%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.96%EV -9.19%E -0.612%K -0.656%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -17.49%E -2.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-16 21:59
Unibet (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 78.52%EV -10.99%E -9.90%K -99.86%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.70%EV -21.30%E -1.64%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.77%EV -18.86%E -3.20%K -3.85%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-16 21:59
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (4)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.61%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.54%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.85%0.2%2026-04-16 22:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.61%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.54%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.85%0.2%2026-04-16 22:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.61%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.54%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.85%0.2%2026-04-16 22:00
Smarkets1.16I 86.21%NM 84.45%21.01I 4.76%NM 4.66%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.88%2.1%2026-04-16 21:59