Szkoła Kursów

Palmeiras-SP v Sporting Cristal

Początek: 2026-04-16 22:02 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Palmeiras-SP 2–1 Sporting Cristal

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

46 bukmacherów (13 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Palmeiras-SP (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 80.19%1.25kurs godziwy
EV -3.77%
Przewaga -3.14%
Kelly -18.84%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.20

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
78.52%80.29%80.17%82.64%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.091.161.161.2091.74%86.45%86.21%83.33%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Sporting Cristal (Goście)

Prognoza 6.05%16.52kurs godziwy
EV +15.03%
Przewaga +0.791%
Kelly +0.835%
Wzrost +0.125%

przy maksymalnym kursie 19.00

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
5.04%6.10%6.07%7.53%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
12.0015.0615.0019.008.33%6.64%6.67%5.26%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 13.75%7.27kurs godziwy
EV +10.02%
Przewaga +1.25%
Kelly +1.43%
Wzrost +0.143%

przy maksymalnym kursie 8.00

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
11.57%13.61%13.76%14.90%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
5.906.866.888.0016.95%14.57%14.55%12.50%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (46 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemis ▼MarżaAktualizacja
SportsBet1.12I 89.29%NM 82.64%EV -10.18%E -9.09%K -84.86%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.79%EV -3.13%E -0.196%K -0.209%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.57%EV +10.02%E +1.25%K +1.43%G +0.143%8.0%2026-04-16 22:00
1xBet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.80%EV -6.98%E -6.01%K -43.60%G +0.000%12.60I 7.94%NM 7.44%EV -23.72%E -1.88%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.97I 12.55%NM 11.76%EV +9.60%E +1.21%K +1.38%G +0.132%6.7%2026-04-16 21:59
Pinnacle1.17I 85.47%NM 81.41%EV -6.17%E -5.28%K -36.31%G +0.000%15.74I 6.35%NM 6.05%EV -4.71%E -0.299%K -0.319%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.53%EV +4.52%E +0.594%K +0.684%G +0.031%5.0%2026-04-16 21:59
BetUS1.17I 85.47%NM 81.02%EV -6.17%E -5.28%K -36.31%G +0.000%14.75I 6.78%NM 6.43%EV -10.70%E -0.725%K -0.778%G +0.000%7.55I 13.25%NM 12.56%EV +3.83%E +0.507%K +0.585%G +0.022%5.5%2026-04-16 21:59
Svenska Spel1.20I 83.33%NM 81.76%EV -3.77%E -3.14%K -18.84%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.16%EV +15.03%E +0.791%K +0.835%G +0.125%7.50I 13.33%NM 13.08%EV +3.14%E +0.419%K +0.483%G +0.015%1.9%2026-04-16 22:00
ATG (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 81.76%EV -3.77%E -3.14%K -18.84%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.16%EV +15.03%E +0.791%K +0.835%G +0.125%7.50I 13.33%NM 13.08%EV +3.14%E +0.419%K +0.483%G +0.015%1.9%2026-04-16 22:00
BetOnline.ag1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.17%E -5.28%K -36.31%G +0.000%15.95I 6.27%NM 5.97%EV -3.44%E -0.215%K -0.230%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +3.14%E +0.419%K +0.483%G +0.015%5.1%2026-04-16 21:59
LowVig.ag1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.17%E -5.28%K -36.31%G +0.000%15.95I 6.27%NM 5.97%EV -3.44%E -0.215%K -0.230%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +3.14%E +0.419%K +0.483%G +0.015%5.1%2026-04-16 22:00
Bovada1.18I 84.75%NM 80.12%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.84%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV -21.30%E -1.64%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV +3.14%E +0.419%K +0.483%G +0.015%5.8%2026-04-16 21:56
GTbets1.17I 85.47%NM 80.30%EV -6.17%E -5.28%K -36.31%G +0.000%13.35I 7.49%NM 7.04%EV -19.18%E -1.44%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.42I 13.48%NM 12.66%EV +2.04%E +0.275%K +0.318%G +0.006%6.4%2026-04-16 21:59
Marathon Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 81.61%EV -8.58%E -7.53%K -61.28%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.81%EV -3.13%E -0.196%K -0.209%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.57%EV +1.77%E +0.239%K +0.276%G +0.005%7.5%2026-04-16 21:59
Winamax (DE)1.14I 87.72%NM 80.10%EV -8.58%E -7.53%K -61.28%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.31%EV -24.32%E -1.95%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.60%EV -0.297%E -0.041%K -0.047%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-16 22:00
Suprabets1.16I 86.21%NM 80.60%EV -6.98%E -6.01%K -43.60%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV -9.19%E -0.612%K -0.656%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.17%EV -2.36%E -0.332%K -0.387%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 21:56
Coolbet1.18I 84.75%NM 81.03%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.84%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV +8.98%E +0.499%K +0.528%G +0.047%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.66%EV -3.73%E -0.534%K -0.622%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 22:00
BetRivers1.16I 86.21%NM 81.29%EV -6.98%E -6.01%K -43.60%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.24%EV +8.98%E +0.499%K +0.528%G +0.047%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -3.73%E -0.534%K -0.622%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 21:53
Unibet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.29%EV -6.98%E -6.01%K -43.60%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.24%EV +8.98%E +0.499%K +0.528%G +0.047%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -3.73%E -0.534%K -0.622%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 21:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.29%EV -6.98%E -6.01%K -43.60%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.24%EV +8.98%E +0.499%K +0.528%G +0.047%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -3.73%E -0.534%K -0.622%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 22:00
Unibet (NL)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.29%EV -6.98%E -6.01%K -43.60%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.24%EV +8.98%E +0.499%K +0.528%G +0.047%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -3.73%E -0.534%K -0.622%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 22:00
theScore Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.95%EV -6.17%E -5.28%K -36.31%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV -15.24%E -1.09%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -3.73%E -0.534%K -0.622%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-16 22:00
Everygame1.16I 86.21%NM 80.45%EV -6.98%E -6.01%K -43.60%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.22%EV -9.19%E -0.612%K -0.656%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -3.73%E -0.534%K -0.622%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-16 21:59
William Hill1.15I 86.96%NM 80.58%EV -7.78%E -6.76%K -51.85%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV -9.19%E -0.612%K -0.656%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -3.73%E -0.534%K -0.622%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-16 21:59
Mr Green (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.58%EV -7.78%E -6.76%K -51.85%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV -9.19%E -0.612%K -0.656%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -3.73%E -0.534%K -0.622%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-16 21:59
Paddy Power1.12I 89.29%NM 80.99%EV -10.18%E -9.09%K -84.86%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.05%EV -9.19%E -0.612%K -0.656%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -3.73%E -0.534%K -0.622%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-16 22:00
Casumo1.17I 85.47%NM 80.23%EV -6.17%E -5.28%K -36.31%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.87%EV -3.13%E -0.196%K -0.209%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -7.17%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-16 22:00
Betr (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.42%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.84%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.69%EV -15.24%E -1.09%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.88%EV -7.17%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 21:59
PointsBet (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.16%EV -6.17%E -5.28%K -36.31%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.12%EV -21.30%E -1.64%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -7.17%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-16 22:00
Codere (IT)1.15I 86.96%NM 79.59%EV -7.78%E -6.76%K -51.85%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.54%EV -15.24%E -1.09%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.87%EV -9.24%E -1.40%K -1.65%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-16 22:00
PlayUp1.17I 85.47%NM 80.08%EV -6.17%E -5.28%K -36.31%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.51%EV +2.92%E +0.172%K +0.183%G +0.005%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -10.61%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 22:00
Betclic (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 79.94%EV -6.98%E -6.01%K -43.60%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.80%EV -3.13%E -0.196%K -0.209%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.61%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 22:00
betfred_uk1.17I 85.47%NM 78.74%EV -6.17%E -5.28%K -36.31%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV -21.30%E -1.64%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -10.61%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-16 21:59
Winamax (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 79.09%EV -6.98%E -6.01%K -43.60%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 6.80%EV -18.27%E -1.35%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -10.61%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-16 22:00
888sport1.15I 86.96%NM 79.77%EV -7.78%E -6.76%K -51.85%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.12%EV -9.19%E -0.612%K -0.656%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -10.61%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-16 22:00
Betway1.15I 86.96%NM 79.77%EV -7.78%E -6.76%K -51.85%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.12%EV -9.19%E -0.612%K -0.656%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -10.61%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-16 22:00
888sport (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 79.77%EV -7.78%E -6.76%K -51.85%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.12%EV -9.19%E -0.612%K -0.656%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -10.61%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-16 22:00
Neds1.15I 86.96%NM 78.57%EV -7.78%E -6.76%K -51.85%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.53%EV -27.35%E -2.28%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -10.61%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-16 21:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 78.57%EV -7.78%E -6.76%K -51.85%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.53%EV -27.35%E -2.28%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -10.61%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-16 22:00
Coral1.15I 86.96%NM 78.57%EV -7.78%E -6.76%K -51.85%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.53%EV -27.35%E -2.28%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -10.61%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-16 22:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 78.57%EV -7.78%E -6.76%K -51.85%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.53%EV -27.35%E -2.28%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -10.61%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-16 21:59
NordicBet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.39%EV -6.98%E -6.01%K -43.60%G +0.000%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.04%EV +12.00%E +0.649%K +0.686%G +0.082%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.57%EV -11.99%E -1.87%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-16 22:00
Betsson1.14I 87.72%NM 79.86%EV -8.58%E -7.53%K -61.28%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.69%EV -3.13%E -0.196%K -0.209%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.45%EV -13.36%E -2.12%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-16 22:00
Grosvenor1.16I 86.21%NM 78.84%EV -6.98%E -6.01%K -43.60%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.53%EV -15.24%E -1.09%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV -14.05%E -2.25%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-16 22:00
LiveScore Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 78.84%EV -6.98%E -6.01%K -43.60%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.53%EV -15.24%E -1.09%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV -14.05%E -2.25%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-16 22:00
Virgin Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 78.84%EV -6.98%E -6.01%K -43.60%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.53%EV -15.24%E -1.09%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV -14.05%E -2.25%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-16 22:00
PMU (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 80.48%EV -12.59%E -11.55%K -139.88%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.48%EV -3.13%E -0.196%K -0.209%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.04%EV -14.05%E -2.25%K -2.68%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-16 22:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 79.13%EV -9.38%E -8.30%K -72.16%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.96%EV -9.19%E -0.612%K -0.656%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -17.49%E -2.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-16 21:59
Unibet (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 78.52%EV -10.99%E -9.90%K -99.86%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.70%EV -21.30%E -1.64%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.77%EV -18.86%E -3.20%K -3.85%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-16 21:59
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (4)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.61%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.54%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.85%0.2%2026-04-16 22:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.61%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.54%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.85%0.2%2026-04-16 22:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.61%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.54%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.85%0.2%2026-04-16 22:00
Smarkets1.16I 86.21%NM 84.45%21.01I 4.76%NM 4.66%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.88%2.1%2026-04-16 21:59