Langue:Français
Palmeiras-SP v Sporting Cristal
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Palmeiras-SP (Local)
Prévision 80.19%1.25cote équitable
EV -3.77%
Avantage -3.14%
Kelly -18.84%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
78.52%80.29%80.17%82.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.091.161.161.2091.74%86.45%86.21%83.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Sporting Cristal (Visiteur)
Prévision 6.05%16.52cote équitable
EV +15.03%
Avantage +0.791%
Kelly +0.835%
Croissance +0.125%
avec la cote maximale 19.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
5.04%6.10%6.07%7.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
12.0015.0615.0019.008.33%6.64%6.67%5.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 13.75%7.27cote équitable
EV +10.02%
Avantage +1.25%
Kelly +1.43%
Croissance +0.143%
avec la cote maximale 8.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.57%13.61%13.76%14.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.906.866.888.0016.95%14.57%14.55%12.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Palmeiras-SP (Local) : 80.19% ; Sporting Cristal (Visiteur) : 6.05% ; Match nul : 13.75%. Pour Sporting Cristal (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 16.52. 9 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 19.00, soit une espérance positive de +15.03%.
Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.64%EV -10.18%E -9.09%K -84.86%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.79%EV -3.13%E -0.196%K -0.209%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.57%EV +10.02%E +1.25%K +1.43%G +0.143% | 8.0% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.80%EV -6.98%E -6.01%K -43.60%G +0.000% | 12.60I 7.94%NM 7.44%EV -23.72%E -1.88%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.97I 12.55%NM 11.76%EV +9.60%E +1.21%K +1.38%G +0.132% | 6.7% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.41%EV -6.17%E -5.28%K -36.31%G +0.000% | 15.74I 6.35%NM 6.05%EV -4.71%E -0.299%K -0.319%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.53%EV +4.52%E +0.594%K +0.684%G +0.031% | 5.0% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.02%EV -6.17%E -5.28%K -36.31%G +0.000% | 14.75I 6.78%NM 6.43%EV -10.70%E -0.725%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 7.55I 13.25%NM 12.56%EV +3.83%E +0.507%K +0.585%G +0.022% | 5.5% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.76%EV -3.77%E -3.14%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.16%EV +15.03%E +0.791%K +0.835%G +0.125% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 13.08%EV +3.14%E +0.419%K +0.483%G +0.015% | 1.9% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.76%EV -3.77%E -3.14%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.16%EV +15.03%E +0.791%K +0.835%G +0.125% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 13.08%EV +3.14%E +0.419%K +0.483%G +0.015% | 1.9% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.17%E -5.28%K -36.31%G +0.000% | 15.95I 6.27%NM 5.97%EV -3.44%E -0.215%K -0.230%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +3.14%E +0.419%K +0.483%G +0.015% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.17%E -5.28%K -36.31%G +0.000% | 15.95I 6.27%NM 5.97%EV -3.44%E -0.215%K -0.230%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +3.14%E +0.419%K +0.483%G +0.015% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.12%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.84%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV -21.30%E -1.64%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV +3.14%E +0.419%K +0.483%G +0.015% | 5.8% | 2026-04-16 21:56 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.30%EV -6.17%E -5.28%K -36.31%G +0.000% | 13.35I 7.49%NM 7.04%EV -19.18%E -1.44%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.42I 13.48%NM 12.66%EV +2.04%E +0.275%K +0.318%G +0.006% | 6.4% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.61%EV -8.58%E -7.53%K -61.28%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.81%EV -3.13%E -0.196%K -0.209%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.57%EV +1.77%E +0.239%K +0.276%G +0.005% | 7.5% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.10%EV -8.58%E -7.53%K -61.28%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.31%EV -24.32%E -1.95%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.60%EV -0.297%E -0.041%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.60%EV -6.98%E -6.01%K -43.60%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV -9.19%E -0.612%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.17%EV -2.36%E -0.332%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-16 21:56 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.03%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.84%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV +8.98%E +0.499%K +0.528%G +0.047% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.66%EV -3.73%E -0.534%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.29%EV -6.98%E -6.01%K -43.60%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.24%EV +8.98%E +0.499%K +0.528%G +0.047% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -3.73%E -0.534%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-16 21:53 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.29%EV -6.98%E -6.01%K -43.60%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.24%EV +8.98%E +0.499%K +0.528%G +0.047% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -3.73%E -0.534%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.29%EV -6.98%E -6.01%K -43.60%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.24%EV +8.98%E +0.499%K +0.528%G +0.047% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -3.73%E -0.534%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.29%EV -6.98%E -6.01%K -43.60%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.24%EV +8.98%E +0.499%K +0.528%G +0.047% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -3.73%E -0.534%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.95%EV -6.17%E -5.28%K -36.31%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV -15.24%E -1.09%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -3.73%E -0.534%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.45%EV -6.98%E -6.01%K -43.60%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.22%EV -9.19%E -0.612%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -3.73%E -0.534%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.58%EV -7.78%E -6.76%K -51.85%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV -9.19%E -0.612%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -3.73%E -0.534%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.58%EV -7.78%E -6.76%K -51.85%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV -9.19%E -0.612%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -3.73%E -0.534%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.99%EV -10.18%E -9.09%K -84.86%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.05%EV -9.19%E -0.612%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -3.73%E -0.534%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.23%EV -6.17%E -5.28%K -36.31%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.87%EV -3.13%E -0.196%K -0.209%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -7.17%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.42%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.84%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.69%EV -15.24%E -1.09%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.88%EV -7.17%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.16%EV -6.17%E -5.28%K -36.31%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.12%EV -21.30%E -1.64%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -7.17%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.59%EV -7.78%E -6.76%K -51.85%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.54%EV -15.24%E -1.09%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.87%EV -9.24%E -1.40%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.08%EV -6.17%E -5.28%K -36.31%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.51%EV +2.92%E +0.172%K +0.183%G +0.005% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -10.61%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.94%EV -6.98%E -6.01%K -43.60%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.80%EV -3.13%E -0.196%K -0.209%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.61%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.74%EV -6.17%E -5.28%K -36.31%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV -21.30%E -1.64%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -10.61%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.09%EV -6.98%E -6.01%K -43.60%G +0.000% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 6.80%EV -18.27%E -1.35%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -10.61%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.77%EV -7.78%E -6.76%K -51.85%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.12%EV -9.19%E -0.612%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -10.61%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.77%EV -7.78%E -6.76%K -51.85%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.12%EV -9.19%E -0.612%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -10.61%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.77%EV -7.78%E -6.76%K -51.85%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.12%EV -9.19%E -0.612%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -10.61%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.57%EV -7.78%E -6.76%K -51.85%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.53%EV -27.35%E -2.28%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -10.61%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.57%EV -7.78%E -6.76%K -51.85%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.53%EV -27.35%E -2.28%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -10.61%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.57%EV -7.78%E -6.76%K -51.85%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.53%EV -27.35%E -2.28%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -10.61%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.57%EV -7.78%E -6.76%K -51.85%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.53%EV -27.35%E -2.28%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -10.61%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.39%EV -6.98%E -6.01%K -43.60%G +0.000% | 18.50I 5.41%NM 5.04%EV +12.00%E +0.649%K +0.686%G +0.082% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.57%EV -11.99%E -1.87%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.86%EV -8.58%E -7.53%K -61.28%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.69%EV -3.13%E -0.196%K -0.209%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.45%EV -13.36%E -2.12%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.84%EV -6.98%E -6.01%K -43.60%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.53%EV -15.24%E -1.09%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV -14.05%E -2.25%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.84%EV -6.98%E -6.01%K -43.60%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.53%EV -15.24%E -1.09%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV -14.05%E -2.25%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.84%EV -6.98%E -6.01%K -43.60%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.53%EV -15.24%E -1.09%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV -14.05%E -2.25%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 80.48%EV -12.59%E -11.55%K -139.88%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.48%EV -3.13%E -0.196%K -0.209%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.04%EV -14.05%E -2.25%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 79.13%EV -9.38%E -8.30%K -72.16%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.96%EV -9.19%E -0.612%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -17.49%E -2.91%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 78.52%EV -10.99%E -9.90%K -99.86%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.70%EV -21.30%E -1.64%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 14.77%EV -18.86%E -3.20%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.61% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.54% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.85% | 0.2% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.61% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.54% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.85% | 0.2% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.61% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.54% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.85% | 0.2% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.45% | 21.01I 4.76%NM 4.66% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.88% | 2.1% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |