مدرسة الاحتمالاتاللغة:العربية
Palmeiras-SP v Sporting Cristal
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Palmeiras-SP (المضيف)
التنبؤ 80.19%1.25السعر العادل
EV -3.77%
الأفضلية -3.14%
Kelly -18.84%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.20
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
78.52%80.29%80.17%82.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.091.161.161.2091.74%86.45%86.21%83.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Sporting Cristal (الضيف)
التنبؤ 6.05%16.52السعر العادل
EV +15.03%
الأفضلية +0.791%
Kelly +0.835%
النمو +0.125%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 19.00
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
5.04%6.10%6.07%7.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
12.0015.0615.0019.008.33%6.64%6.67%5.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
تعادل
التنبؤ 13.75%7.27السعر العادل
EV +10.02%
الأفضلية +1.25%
Kelly +1.43%
النمو +0.143%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 8.00
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
11.57%13.61%13.76%14.90%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.906.866.888.0016.95%14.57%14.55%12.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (46 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل ▼ | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.64%EV -10.18%E -9.09%K -84.86%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.79%EV -3.13%E -0.196%K -0.209%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.57%EV +10.02%E +1.25%K +1.43%G +0.143% | 8.0% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.80%EV -6.98%E -6.01%K -43.60%G +0.000% | 12.60I 7.94%NM 7.44%EV -23.72%E -1.88%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.97I 12.55%NM 11.76%EV +9.60%E +1.21%K +1.38%G +0.132% | 6.7% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.41%EV -6.17%E -5.28%K -36.31%G +0.000% | 15.74I 6.35%NM 6.05%EV -4.71%E -0.299%K -0.319%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.53%EV +4.52%E +0.594%K +0.684%G +0.031% | 5.0% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| BetUS | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.02%EV -6.17%E -5.28%K -36.31%G +0.000% | 14.75I 6.78%NM 6.43%EV -10.70%E -0.725%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 7.55I 13.25%NM 12.56%EV +3.83%E +0.507%K +0.585%G +0.022% | 5.5% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.76%EV -3.77%E -3.14%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.16%EV +15.03%E +0.791%K +0.835%G +0.125% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 13.08%EV +3.14%E +0.419%K +0.483%G +0.015% | 1.9% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.76%EV -3.77%E -3.14%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.16%EV +15.03%E +0.791%K +0.835%G +0.125% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 13.08%EV +3.14%E +0.419%K +0.483%G +0.015% | 1.9% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.17%E -5.28%K -36.31%G +0.000% | 15.95I 6.27%NM 5.97%EV -3.44%E -0.215%K -0.230%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +3.14%E +0.419%K +0.483%G +0.015% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.17%E -5.28%K -36.31%G +0.000% | 15.95I 6.27%NM 5.97%EV -3.44%E -0.215%K -0.230%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +3.14%E +0.419%K +0.483%G +0.015% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Bovada | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.12%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.84%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV -21.30%E -1.64%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV +3.14%E +0.419%K +0.483%G +0.015% | 5.8% | 2026-04-16 21:56 |
| GTbets | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.30%EV -6.17%E -5.28%K -36.31%G +0.000% | 13.35I 7.49%NM 7.04%EV -19.18%E -1.44%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.42I 13.48%NM 12.66%EV +2.04%E +0.275%K +0.318%G +0.006% | 6.4% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.61%EV -8.58%E -7.53%K -61.28%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.81%EV -3.13%E -0.196%K -0.209%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.57%EV +1.77%E +0.239%K +0.276%G +0.005% | 7.5% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.10%EV -8.58%E -7.53%K -61.28%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.31%EV -24.32%E -1.95%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.60%EV -0.297%E -0.041%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Suprabets | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.60%EV -6.98%E -6.01%K -43.60%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV -9.19%E -0.612%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.17%EV -2.36%E -0.332%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-16 21:56 |
| Coolbet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.03%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.84%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV +8.98%E +0.499%K +0.528%G +0.047% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.66%EV -3.73%E -0.534%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.29%EV -6.98%E -6.01%K -43.60%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.24%EV +8.98%E +0.499%K +0.528%G +0.047% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -3.73%E -0.534%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-16 21:53 |
| Unibet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.29%EV -6.98%E -6.01%K -43.60%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.24%EV +8.98%E +0.499%K +0.528%G +0.047% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -3.73%E -0.534%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.29%EV -6.98%E -6.01%K -43.60%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.24%EV +8.98%E +0.499%K +0.528%G +0.047% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -3.73%E -0.534%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.29%EV -6.98%E -6.01%K -43.60%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.24%EV +8.98%E +0.499%K +0.528%G +0.047% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -3.73%E -0.534%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.95%EV -6.17%E -5.28%K -36.31%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV -15.24%E -1.09%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -3.73%E -0.534%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Everygame | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.45%EV -6.98%E -6.01%K -43.60%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.22%EV -9.19%E -0.612%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -3.73%E -0.534%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| William Hill | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.58%EV -7.78%E -6.76%K -51.85%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV -9.19%E -0.612%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -3.73%E -0.534%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.58%EV -7.78%E -6.76%K -51.85%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV -9.19%E -0.612%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -3.73%E -0.534%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.99%EV -10.18%E -9.09%K -84.86%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.05%EV -9.19%E -0.612%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -3.73%E -0.534%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Casumo | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.23%EV -6.17%E -5.28%K -36.31%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.87%EV -3.13%E -0.196%K -0.209%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -7.17%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.42%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.84%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.69%EV -15.24%E -1.09%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.88%EV -7.17%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.16%EV -6.17%E -5.28%K -36.31%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.12%EV -21.30%E -1.64%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -7.17%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.59%EV -7.78%E -6.76%K -51.85%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.54%EV -15.24%E -1.09%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.87%EV -9.24%E -1.40%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.08%EV -6.17%E -5.28%K -36.31%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.51%EV +2.92%E +0.172%K +0.183%G +0.005% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -10.61%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.94%EV -6.98%E -6.01%K -43.60%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.80%EV -3.13%E -0.196%K -0.209%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.61%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| betfred_uk | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.74%EV -6.17%E -5.28%K -36.31%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV -21.30%E -1.64%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -10.61%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.09%EV -6.98%E -6.01%K -43.60%G +0.000% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 6.80%EV -18.27%E -1.35%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -10.61%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| 888sport | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.77%EV -7.78%E -6.76%K -51.85%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.12%EV -9.19%E -0.612%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -10.61%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Betway | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.77%EV -7.78%E -6.76%K -51.85%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.12%EV -9.19%E -0.612%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -10.61%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.77%EV -7.78%E -6.76%K -51.85%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.12%EV -9.19%E -0.612%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -10.61%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Neds | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.57%EV -7.78%E -6.76%K -51.85%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.53%EV -27.35%E -2.28%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -10.61%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.57%EV -7.78%E -6.76%K -51.85%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.53%EV -27.35%E -2.28%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -10.61%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Coral | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.57%EV -7.78%E -6.76%K -51.85%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.53%EV -27.35%E -2.28%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -10.61%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.57%EV -7.78%E -6.76%K -51.85%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.53%EV -27.35%E -2.28%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -10.61%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.39%EV -6.98%E -6.01%K -43.60%G +0.000% | 18.50I 5.41%NM 5.04%EV +12.00%E +0.649%K +0.686%G +0.082% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.57%EV -11.99%E -1.87%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Betsson | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.86%EV -8.58%E -7.53%K -61.28%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.69%EV -3.13%E -0.196%K -0.209%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.45%EV -13.36%E -2.12%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.84%EV -6.98%E -6.01%K -43.60%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.53%EV -15.24%E -1.09%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV -14.05%E -2.25%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.84%EV -6.98%E -6.01%K -43.60%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.53%EV -15.24%E -1.09%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV -14.05%E -2.25%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.84%EV -6.98%E -6.01%K -43.60%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.53%EV -15.24%E -1.09%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV -14.05%E -2.25%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 80.48%EV -12.59%E -11.55%K -139.88%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.48%EV -3.13%E -0.196%K -0.209%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.04%EV -14.05%E -2.25%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 79.13%EV -9.38%E -8.30%K -72.16%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.96%EV -9.19%E -0.612%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -17.49%E -2.91%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 78.52%EV -10.99%E -9.90%K -99.86%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.70%EV -21.30%E -1.64%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 14.77%EV -18.86%E -3.20%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (4)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.61% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.54% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.85% | 0.2% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.61% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.54% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.85% | 0.2% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.61% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.54% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.85% | 0.2% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.45% | 21.01I 4.76%NM 4.66% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.88% | 2.1% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |