La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Palmeiras-SP v Sporting Cristal
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Palmeiras-SP (Local)
Predicción 80.19%1.25momio equitativo
EV -3.77%
Ventaja -3.14%
Kelly -18.84%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
78.52%80.29%80.17%82.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.091.161.161.2091.74%86.45%86.21%83.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Sporting Cristal (Visitante)
Predicción 6.05%16.52momio equitativo
EV +15.03%
Ventaja +0.791%
Kelly +0.835%
Crecimiento +0.125%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 19.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
5.04%6.10%6.07%7.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
12.0015.0615.0019.008.33%6.64%6.67%5.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 13.75%7.27momio equitativo
EV +10.02%
Ventaja +1.25%
Kelly +1.43%
Crecimiento +0.143%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.57%13.61%13.76%14.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.906.866.888.0016.95%14.57%14.55%12.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.64%EV -10.18%E -9.09%K -84.86%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.79%EV -3.13%E -0.196%K -0.209%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.57%EV +10.02%E +1.25%K +1.43%G +0.143% | 8.0% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.80%EV -6.98%E -6.01%K -43.60%G +0.000% | 12.60I 7.94%NM 7.44%EV -23.72%E -1.88%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.97I 12.55%NM 11.76%EV +9.60%E +1.21%K +1.38%G +0.132% | 6.7% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.41%EV -6.17%E -5.28%K -36.31%G +0.000% | 15.74I 6.35%NM 6.05%EV -4.71%E -0.299%K -0.319%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.53%EV +4.52%E +0.594%K +0.684%G +0.031% | 5.0% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| BetUS | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.02%EV -6.17%E -5.28%K -36.31%G +0.000% | 14.75I 6.78%NM 6.43%EV -10.70%E -0.725%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 7.55I 13.25%NM 12.56%EV +3.83%E +0.507%K +0.585%G +0.022% | 5.5% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.76%EV -3.77%E -3.14%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.16%EV +15.03%E +0.791%K +0.835%G +0.125% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 13.08%EV +3.14%E +0.419%K +0.483%G +0.015% | 1.9% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.76%EV -3.77%E -3.14%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.16%EV +15.03%E +0.791%K +0.835%G +0.125% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 13.08%EV +3.14%E +0.419%K +0.483%G +0.015% | 1.9% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.17%E -5.28%K -36.31%G +0.000% | 15.95I 6.27%NM 5.97%EV -3.44%E -0.215%K -0.230%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +3.14%E +0.419%K +0.483%G +0.015% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.17%E -5.28%K -36.31%G +0.000% | 15.95I 6.27%NM 5.97%EV -3.44%E -0.215%K -0.230%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +3.14%E +0.419%K +0.483%G +0.015% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Bovada | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.12%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.84%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV -21.30%E -1.64%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV +3.14%E +0.419%K +0.483%G +0.015% | 5.8% | 2026-04-16 21:56 |
| GTbets | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.30%EV -6.17%E -5.28%K -36.31%G +0.000% | 13.35I 7.49%NM 7.04%EV -19.18%E -1.44%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.42I 13.48%NM 12.66%EV +2.04%E +0.275%K +0.318%G +0.006% | 6.4% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.61%EV -8.58%E -7.53%K -61.28%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.81%EV -3.13%E -0.196%K -0.209%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.57%EV +1.77%E +0.239%K +0.276%G +0.005% | 7.5% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.10%EV -8.58%E -7.53%K -61.28%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.31%EV -24.32%E -1.95%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.60%EV -0.297%E -0.041%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Suprabets | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.60%EV -6.98%E -6.01%K -43.60%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV -9.19%E -0.612%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.17%EV -2.36%E -0.332%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-16 21:56 |
| Coolbet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.03%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.84%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV +8.98%E +0.499%K +0.528%G +0.047% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.66%EV -3.73%E -0.534%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.29%EV -6.98%E -6.01%K -43.60%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.24%EV +8.98%E +0.499%K +0.528%G +0.047% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -3.73%E -0.534%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-16 21:53 |
| Unibet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.29%EV -6.98%E -6.01%K -43.60%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.24%EV +8.98%E +0.499%K +0.528%G +0.047% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -3.73%E -0.534%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.29%EV -6.98%E -6.01%K -43.60%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.24%EV +8.98%E +0.499%K +0.528%G +0.047% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -3.73%E -0.534%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.29%EV -6.98%E -6.01%K -43.60%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.24%EV +8.98%E +0.499%K +0.528%G +0.047% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -3.73%E -0.534%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.95%EV -6.17%E -5.28%K -36.31%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV -15.24%E -1.09%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -3.73%E -0.534%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Everygame | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.45%EV -6.98%E -6.01%K -43.60%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.22%EV -9.19%E -0.612%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -3.73%E -0.534%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| William Hill | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.58%EV -7.78%E -6.76%K -51.85%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV -9.19%E -0.612%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -3.73%E -0.534%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.58%EV -7.78%E -6.76%K -51.85%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV -9.19%E -0.612%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -3.73%E -0.534%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.99%EV -10.18%E -9.09%K -84.86%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.05%EV -9.19%E -0.612%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -3.73%E -0.534%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Casumo | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.23%EV -6.17%E -5.28%K -36.31%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.87%EV -3.13%E -0.196%K -0.209%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -7.17%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.42%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.84%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.69%EV -15.24%E -1.09%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.88%EV -7.17%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.16%EV -6.17%E -5.28%K -36.31%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.12%EV -21.30%E -1.64%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -7.17%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.59%EV -7.78%E -6.76%K -51.85%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.54%EV -15.24%E -1.09%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.87%EV -9.24%E -1.40%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.08%EV -6.17%E -5.28%K -36.31%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.51%EV +2.92%E +0.172%K +0.183%G +0.005% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -10.61%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.94%EV -6.98%E -6.01%K -43.60%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.80%EV -3.13%E -0.196%K -0.209%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.61%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| betfred_uk | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.74%EV -6.17%E -5.28%K -36.31%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV -21.30%E -1.64%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -10.61%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.09%EV -6.98%E -6.01%K -43.60%G +0.000% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 6.80%EV -18.27%E -1.35%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -10.61%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| 888sport | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.77%EV -7.78%E -6.76%K -51.85%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.12%EV -9.19%E -0.612%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -10.61%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Betway | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.77%EV -7.78%E -6.76%K -51.85%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.12%EV -9.19%E -0.612%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -10.61%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.77%EV -7.78%E -6.76%K -51.85%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.12%EV -9.19%E -0.612%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -10.61%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Neds | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.57%EV -7.78%E -6.76%K -51.85%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.53%EV -27.35%E -2.28%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -10.61%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.57%EV -7.78%E -6.76%K -51.85%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.53%EV -27.35%E -2.28%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -10.61%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Coral | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.57%EV -7.78%E -6.76%K -51.85%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.53%EV -27.35%E -2.28%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -10.61%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.57%EV -7.78%E -6.76%K -51.85%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.53%EV -27.35%E -2.28%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -10.61%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.39%EV -6.98%E -6.01%K -43.60%G +0.000% | 18.50I 5.41%NM 5.04%EV +12.00%E +0.649%K +0.686%G +0.082% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.57%EV -11.99%E -1.87%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Betsson | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.86%EV -8.58%E -7.53%K -61.28%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.69%EV -3.13%E -0.196%K -0.209%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.45%EV -13.36%E -2.12%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.84%EV -6.98%E -6.01%K -43.60%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.53%EV -15.24%E -1.09%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV -14.05%E -2.25%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.84%EV -6.98%E -6.01%K -43.60%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.53%EV -15.24%E -1.09%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV -14.05%E -2.25%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.84%EV -6.98%E -6.01%K -43.60%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.53%EV -15.24%E -1.09%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV -14.05%E -2.25%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 80.48%EV -12.59%E -11.55%K -139.88%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.48%EV -3.13%E -0.196%K -0.209%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.04%EV -14.05%E -2.25%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 79.13%EV -9.38%E -8.30%K -72.16%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.96%EV -9.19%E -0.612%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -17.49%E -2.91%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 78.52%EV -10.99%E -9.90%K -99.86%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.70%EV -21.30%E -1.64%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 14.77%EV -18.86%E -3.20%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.61% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.54% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.85% | 0.2% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.61% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.54% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.85% | 0.2% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.61% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.54% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.85% | 0.2% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.45% | 21.01I 4.76%NM 4.66% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.88% | 2.1% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |