Idioma:Português
Palmeiras-SP v Cerro Porteño
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Palmeiras-SP (Local)
Previsão 73.79%1.36odd justa
EV -4.08%
Vantagem -3.14%
Kelly -13.59%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.30
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
71.84%73.70%73.76%76.40%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.211.261.271.3082.64%79.16%78.74%76.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Cerro Porteño (Visitante)
Previsão 7.74%12.92odd justa
EV +8.38%
Vantagem +0.599%
Kelly +0.645%
Crescimento +0.054%
pressupondo odds máximas de 14.00
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
6.66%7.81%7.72%9.49%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
9.5011.6712.0014.0010.53%8.57%8.33%7.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Previsão 18.47%5.41odd justa
EV +6.76%
Vantagem +1.17%
Kelly +1.41%
Crescimento +0.096%
pressupondo odds máximas de 5.78
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.41%18.50%18.52%20.27%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.604.985.005.7821.74%20.06%20.00%17.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Palmeiras-SP (Local): 73.79%; Cerro Porteño (Visitante): 7.74%; Empate: 18.47%. Para Cerro Porteño (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 12.92. 12 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 14.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +8.38%.
Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.10%EV -5.55%E -4.34%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -22.58%E -2.26%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.78I 17.30%NM 16.41%EV +6.76%E +1.17%K +1.41%G +0.096% | 5.4% | 2026-08-12 21:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -9.98%E -8.18%K -45.36%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.66%EV +8.38%E +0.599%K +0.645%G +0.054% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV +1.59%E +0.289%K +0.353%G +0.006% | 7.3% | 2026-08-12 21:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.19%EV -7.03%E -5.58%K -27.03%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV -14.84%E -1.35%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -0.258%E -0.048%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-12 21:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.33%EV -4.08%E -3.14%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.43%EV +0.641%E +0.049%K +0.053%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.23%EV -2.11%E -0.397%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-12 21:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.33%EV -4.08%E -3.14%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.43%EV +0.641%E +0.049%K +0.053%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.23%EV -2.11%E -0.397%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-12 21:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.35%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.38%EV +0.641%E +0.049%K +0.053%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.27%EV -3.03%E -0.577%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-12 21:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.80%EV -7.03%E -5.58%K -27.03%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.25%EV +0.641%E +0.049%K +0.053%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.95%EV -3.03%E -0.577%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-12 21:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.74%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -22.58%E -2.26%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.87%EV -3.03%E -0.577%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-12 21:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.65%EV -5.55%E -4.34%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 13.63I 7.34%NM 7.01%EV +5.52%E +0.405%K +0.437%G +0.024% | 5.21I 19.19%NM 18.34%EV -3.77%E -0.723%K -0.895%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-12 21:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.03%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.64%EV -3.23%E -0.258%K -0.281%G +0.000% | 5.21I 19.19%NM 18.33%EV -3.77%E -0.723%K -0.895%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-12 21:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.03%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.64%EV -3.23%E -0.258%K -0.281%G +0.000% | 5.21I 19.19%NM 18.33%EV -3.77%E -0.723%K -0.895%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-12 21:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.00%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.64%EV -3.23%E -0.258%K -0.281%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.36%EV -3.95%E -0.760%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-12 21:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.22%EV -7.03%E -5.58%K -27.03%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -7.10%E -0.592%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -3.95%E -0.760%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-12 21:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.40%EV -8.50%E -6.86%K -35.43%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.10%EV -22.58%E -2.26%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -3.95%E -0.760%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-12 21:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.71%EV -4.08%E -3.14%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 10.62I 9.42%NM 8.90%EV -17.78%E -1.67%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.14I 19.46%NM 18.39%EV -5.06%E -0.985%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-12 21:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.43%EV -6.29%E -4.95%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.11%EV -10.97%E -0.954%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.47%EV -6.72%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-12 21:48 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.53%EV -4.08%E -3.14%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.35%EV +0.641%E +0.049%K +0.053%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.12%EV -7.65%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-12 21:04 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.98%EV -6.29%E -4.95%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV +0.641%E +0.049%K +0.053%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -7.65%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-12 21:11 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.98%EV -6.29%E -4.95%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV +0.641%E +0.049%K +0.053%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -7.65%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-12 21:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.14%EV -5.55%E -4.34%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.14%EV -10.97%E -0.954%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -7.65%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-12 21:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.14%EV -5.55%E -4.34%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.14%EV -10.97%E -0.954%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -7.65%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-12 21:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.14%EV -5.55%E -4.34%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.14%EV -10.97%E -0.954%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -7.65%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-12 21:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.29%EV -7.77%E -6.21%K -31.06%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV +0.641%E +0.049%K +0.053%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.65%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-12 21:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.85%EV -7.77%E -6.21%K -31.06%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -7.10%E -0.592%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -7.65%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-12 21:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.85%EV -7.77%E -6.21%K -31.06%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -7.10%E -0.592%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -7.65%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-12 21:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.85%EV -7.77%E -6.21%K -31.06%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -7.10%E -0.592%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -7.65%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-12 21:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.85%EV -7.77%E -6.21%K -31.06%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -7.10%E -0.592%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -7.65%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-12 21:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.05%EV -9.24%E -7.51%K -40.18%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -22.58%E -2.26%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.97%EV -7.65%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-12 21:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.55%EV -5.55%E -4.34%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.24%EV +0.641%E +0.049%K +0.053%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV -9.49%E -1.94%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-12 21:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.75%EV -6.29%E -4.95%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.40%EV -14.84%E -1.35%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.85%EV -9.49%E -1.94%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-12 21:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.08%EV -8.50%E -6.86%K -35.43%G +0.000% | 10.75I 9.30%NM 8.43%EV -16.78%E -1.56%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.49%EV -9.49%E -1.94%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-12 21:43 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.70%EV -10.72%E -8.86%K -51.03%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.11%EV -14.84%E -1.35%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.20%EV -9.49%E -1.94%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-12 21:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.46%EV -6.29%E -4.95%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.37%EV -14.84%E -1.35%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -11.34%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-12 21:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.18%EV -7.77%E -6.21%K -31.06%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.02%EV -22.58%E -2.26%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.80%EV -11.34%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-12 21:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.84%EV -7.77%E -6.21%K -31.06%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.45%EV -26.45%E -2.78%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.71%EV -11.34%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-12 21:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.84%EV -7.77%E -6.21%K -31.06%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.45%EV -26.45%E -2.78%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.71%EV -11.34%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-12 21:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.84%EV -7.77%E -6.21%K -31.06%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.45%EV -26.45%E -2.78%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.71%EV -11.34%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-12 21:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.67%EV -5.55%E -4.34%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.75%EV -7.10%E -0.592%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.58%EV -12.26%E -2.58%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-12 21:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.03%EV -6.29%E -4.95%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.71%EV -18.71%E -1.78%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -12.26%E -2.58%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-12 21:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.61%EV -9.98%E -8.18%K -45.36%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.48%EV -7.10%E -0.592%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -12.26%E -2.58%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-12 21:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.61%EV -9.98%E -8.18%K -45.36%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.48%EV -7.10%E -0.592%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -12.26%E -2.58%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-12 21:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.27%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.46%EV -3.23%E -0.258%K -0.281%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -15.03%E -3.27%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-12 21:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.27%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.46%EV -3.23%E -0.258%K -0.281%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -15.03%E -3.27%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-12 21:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.64%EV -5.55%E -4.34%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.15%EV +0.641%E +0.049%K +0.053%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -15.03%E -3.27%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-12 21:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.68%EV -7.77%E -6.21%K -31.06%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.57%EV -7.10%E -0.592%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -15.03%E -3.27%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-12 21:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.23%EV -9.24%E -7.51%K -40.18%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.46%EV -18.71%E -1.78%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.31%EV -15.03%E -3.27%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-12 21:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.23%EV -9.24%E -7.51%K -40.18%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.46%EV -18.71%E -1.78%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.31%EV -15.03%E -3.27%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-12 21:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.23%EV -9.24%E -7.51%K -40.18%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.46%EV -18.71%E -1.78%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.31%EV -15.03%E -3.27%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-12 21:50 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (4)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.52% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 6.03% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.45% | 0.5% | 2026-08-12 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.90% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 6.03% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.08% | 0.6% | 2026-08-12 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.90% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 6.03% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.08% | 0.6% | 2026-08-12 21:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.28% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 6.01% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.71% | 0.8% | 2026-08-12 21:55 |