La scuola delle quote

Palmeiras-SP v Cerro Porteño

2026-08-12 22:00 UTC — Copa Libertadores

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35 bookmaker (6 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Palmeiras-SP (Casa)

Previsione 70.25%1.42quota equa
EV -2.35%
Vantaggio -1.69%
Kelly -6.03%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.39

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
66.27%70.01%70.16%71.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.261.321.321.3979.37%75.91%75.76%71.94%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Cerro Porteño (Trasferta)

Previsione 10.87%9.20quota equa
EV +8.72%
Vantaggio +0.872%
Kelly +0.969%
Crescita +0.084%

ipotizzando la quota massima 10.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
9.33%10.94%11.04%13.45%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
6.258.048.0010.0016.00%12.43%12.50%10.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 18.88%5.30quota equa
EV +5.71%
Vantaggio +1.02%
Kelly +1.24%
Crescita +0.071%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
16.70%19.05%18.80%22.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.104.894.805.6024.39%20.46%20.83%17.86%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (35 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Coolbet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.33%EV -5.86%E -4.37%K -17.24%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.56%EV +8.72%E +0.872%K +0.969%G +0.084%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.12%EV -5.62%E -1.12%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-24 00:10
Betr (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.07%EV -7.27%E -5.51%K -22.71%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV +8.72%E +0.872%K +0.969%G +0.084%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -9.39%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-24 00:09
SportsBet1.31I 76.34%NM 71.23%EV -7.97%E -6.08%K -25.71%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV +8.72%E +0.872%K +0.969%G +0.084%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -9.39%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-24 00:09
1xBet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.56%EV -5.86%E -4.37%K -17.24%G +0.000%9.55I 10.47%NM 10.04%EV +3.83%E +0.401%K +0.448%G +0.017%5.21I 19.19%NM 18.40%EV -1.66%E -0.318%K -0.393%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-20 12:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 70.61%EV -9.37%E -7.27%K -32.33%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.59%EV +3.28%E +0.346%K +0.386%G +0.013%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -13.17%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-24 00:09
Paddy Power1.29I 77.52%NM 70.30%EV -9.37%E -7.27%K -32.33%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.55%EV +3.28%E +0.346%K +0.386%G +0.013%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-24 00:19
Marathon Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 71.21%EV -7.97%E -6.08%K -25.71%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.14%EV +0.022%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -5.62%E -1.12%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-20 11:50
Bovada1.34I 74.63%NM 70.58%EV -5.86%E -4.37%K -17.24%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.51%EV -2.15%E -0.239%K -0.269%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -5.62%E -1.12%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-24 11:48
Tipico (DE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -6.56%E -4.94%K -19.89%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -7.59%E -0.893%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.62%E -1.12%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 21:14
Betsson1.39I 71.94%NM 66.91%EV -2.35%E -1.69%K -6.03%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.21%EV -9.76%E -1.18%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -19.78%E -4.65%K -6.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 08:04
NordicBet1.39I 71.94%NM 66.91%EV -2.35%E -1.69%K -6.03%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.21%EV -9.76%E -1.18%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -19.78%E -4.65%K -6.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 08:05
Codere (IT)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.48%EV -6.56%E -4.94%K -19.89%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.27%EV -10.85%E -1.32%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -9.39%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-14 07:14
LeoVegas1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.56%E -4.94%K -19.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -13.02%E -1.63%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -9.39%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 00:10
Everygame1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -6.56%E -4.94%K -19.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -13.02%E -1.63%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -10.34%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-14 19:49
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 66.27%EV -3.05%E -2.21%K -8.03%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.43%EV -13.02%E -1.63%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -22.61%E -5.51%K -7.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-25 08:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 68.59%EV -8.67%E -6.67%K -28.91%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.15%EV -13.02%E -1.63%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.27%EV -16.95%E -3.85%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-24 11:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 68.59%EV -8.67%E -6.67%K -28.91%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.15%EV -13.02%E -1.63%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.27%EV -16.95%E -3.85%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-24 11:49
Neds1.30I 76.92%NM 68.59%EV -8.67%E -6.67%K -28.91%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.15%EV -13.02%E -1.63%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.27%EV -16.95%E -3.85%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-24 11:49
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 68.59%EV -8.67%E -6.67%K -28.91%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.15%EV -13.02%E -1.63%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.27%EV -16.95%E -3.85%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-24 11:50
Suprabets1.33I 75.19%NM 68.90%EV -6.56%E -4.94%K -19.89%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.60%EV -14.11%E -1.79%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -11.28%E -2.40%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-18 22:44
Unibet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -7.27%E -5.51%K -22.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -18.46%E -2.46%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +5.71%E +1.02%K +1.24%G +0.071%6.9%2026-05-30 15:00
Casumo1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -7.27%E -5.51%K -22.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -18.46%E -2.46%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +5.71%E +1.02%K +1.24%G +0.071%6.9%2026-05-30 15:00
Grosvenor1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -7.27%E -5.51%K -22.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -18.46%E -2.46%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +5.71%E +1.02%K +1.24%G +0.071%6.9%2026-05-30 15:00
BetRivers1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -7.27%E -5.51%K -22.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -18.46%E -2.46%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +5.71%E +1.02%K +1.24%G +0.071%6.9%2026-05-30 15:00
Unibet (NL)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -7.27%E -5.51%K -22.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -18.46%E -2.46%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +5.71%E +1.02%K +1.24%G +0.071%6.9%2026-05-30 15:01
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -7.27%E -5.51%K -22.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -18.46%E -2.46%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +5.71%E +1.02%K +1.24%G +0.071%6.9%2026-05-30 14:59
Svenska Spel1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -7.27%E -5.51%K -22.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -18.46%E -2.46%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +5.71%E +1.02%K +1.24%G +0.071%6.9%2026-05-30 15:00
ATG (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -7.27%E -5.51%K -22.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -18.46%E -2.46%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +5.71%E +1.02%K +1.24%G +0.071%6.9%2026-05-30 15:00
Unibet (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 67.95%EV -10.78%E -8.49%K -39.93%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 11.99%EV -21.72%E -3.02%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.07%EV -18.83%E -4.38%K -5.71%G +0.000%15.9%2026-07-14 07:14
Virgin Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.67%E -6.67%K -28.91%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -23.90%E -3.41%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -0.901%E -0.172%K -0.212%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-30 15:01
LiveScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.67%E -6.67%K -28.91%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -23.90%E -3.41%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -0.901%E -0.172%K -0.212%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-30 15:01
PMU (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.67%E -6.67%K -28.91%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -23.90%E -3.41%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -0.901%E -0.172%K -0.212%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-16 12:55
Winamax (DE)1.28I 78.13%NM 67.84%EV -10.08%E -7.87%K -35.99%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 12.86%EV -26.61%E -3.94%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.30%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000%15.2%2026-07-14 07:14
Betclic (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 66.75%EV -9.37%E -7.27%K -32.33%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.45%EV -30.42%E -4.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 19.80%EV -17.89%E -4.11%K -5.34%G +0.000%16.1%2026-07-14 07:14
Winamax (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 66.60%EV -11.48%E -9.11%K -44.16%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 13.43%EV -32.05%E -5.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 19.98%EV -20.72%E -4.93%K -6.48%G +0.000%19.2%2026-07-14 07:14
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (1)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets1.27I 78.74%NM 67.39%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.23%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.38%16.8%2026-07-14 07:15
Arbitraggio (48 combinazioni) +0.20%Betsson 1.39 (72.1%) / SportsBet 10.00 (10.0%) / Unibet 5.60 (17.9%)Mostra tutte le 48 combinazioni
Palmeiras-SP (Casa)Cerro Porteño (Trasferta)PareggioMargine
Betsson 1.39 (72.1%)Coolbet 10.00 (10.0%)Unibet 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
Betsson 1.39 (72.1%)Coolbet 10.00 (10.0%)Casumo 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
Betsson 1.39 (72.1%)Coolbet 10.00 (10.0%)Grosvenor 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
Betsson 1.39 (72.1%)Coolbet 10.00 (10.0%)BetRivers 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
Betsson 1.39 (72.1%)Coolbet 10.00 (10.0%)Unibet (NL) 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
Betsson 1.39 (72.1%)Coolbet 10.00 (10.0%)LeoVegas (SE) 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
Betsson 1.39 (72.1%)Coolbet 10.00 (10.0%)Svenska Spel 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
Betsson 1.39 (72.1%)Coolbet 10.00 (10.0%)ATG (SE) 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
Betsson 1.39 (72.1%)Betr (AU) 10.00 (10.0%)Unibet 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
Betsson 1.39 (72.1%)Betr (AU) 10.00 (10.0%)Casumo 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
Betsson 1.39 (72.1%)Betr (AU) 10.00 (10.0%)Grosvenor 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
Betsson 1.39 (72.1%)Betr (AU) 10.00 (10.0%)BetRivers 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
Betsson 1.39 (72.1%)Betr (AU) 10.00 (10.0%)Unibet (NL) 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
Betsson 1.39 (72.1%)Betr (AU) 10.00 (10.0%)LeoVegas (SE) 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
Betsson 1.39 (72.1%)Betr (AU) 10.00 (10.0%)Svenska Spel 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
Betsson 1.39 (72.1%)Betr (AU) 10.00 (10.0%)ATG (SE) 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
Betsson 1.39 (72.1%)SportsBet 10.00 (10.0%)Unibet 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
Betsson 1.39 (72.1%)SportsBet 10.00 (10.0%)Casumo 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
Betsson 1.39 (72.1%)SportsBet 10.00 (10.0%)Grosvenor 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
Betsson 1.39 (72.1%)SportsBet 10.00 (10.0%)BetRivers 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
Betsson 1.39 (72.1%)SportsBet 10.00 (10.0%)Unibet (NL) 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
Betsson 1.39 (72.1%)SportsBet 10.00 (10.0%)LeoVegas (SE) 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
Betsson 1.39 (72.1%)SportsBet 10.00 (10.0%)Svenska Spel 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
Betsson 1.39 (72.1%)SportsBet 10.00 (10.0%)ATG (SE) 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
NordicBet 1.39 (72.1%)Coolbet 10.00 (10.0%)Unibet 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
NordicBet 1.39 (72.1%)Coolbet 10.00 (10.0%)Casumo 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
NordicBet 1.39 (72.1%)Coolbet 10.00 (10.0%)Grosvenor 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
NordicBet 1.39 (72.1%)Coolbet 10.00 (10.0%)BetRivers 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
NordicBet 1.39 (72.1%)Coolbet 10.00 (10.0%)Unibet (NL) 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
NordicBet 1.39 (72.1%)Coolbet 10.00 (10.0%)LeoVegas (SE) 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
NordicBet 1.39 (72.1%)Coolbet 10.00 (10.0%)Svenska Spel 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
NordicBet 1.39 (72.1%)Coolbet 10.00 (10.0%)ATG (SE) 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
NordicBet 1.39 (72.1%)Betr (AU) 10.00 (10.0%)Unibet 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
NordicBet 1.39 (72.1%)Betr (AU) 10.00 (10.0%)Casumo 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
NordicBet 1.39 (72.1%)Betr (AU) 10.00 (10.0%)Grosvenor 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
NordicBet 1.39 (72.1%)Betr (AU) 10.00 (10.0%)BetRivers 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
NordicBet 1.39 (72.1%)Betr (AU) 10.00 (10.0%)Unibet (NL) 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
NordicBet 1.39 (72.1%)Betr (AU) 10.00 (10.0%)LeoVegas (SE) 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
NordicBet 1.39 (72.1%)Betr (AU) 10.00 (10.0%)Svenska Spel 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
NordicBet 1.39 (72.1%)Betr (AU) 10.00 (10.0%)ATG (SE) 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
NordicBet 1.39 (72.1%)SportsBet 10.00 (10.0%)Unibet 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
NordicBet 1.39 (72.1%)SportsBet 10.00 (10.0%)Casumo 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
NordicBet 1.39 (72.1%)SportsBet 10.00 (10.0%)Grosvenor 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
NordicBet 1.39 (72.1%)SportsBet 10.00 (10.0%)BetRivers 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
NordicBet 1.39 (72.1%)SportsBet 10.00 (10.0%)Unibet (NL) 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
NordicBet 1.39 (72.1%)SportsBet 10.00 (10.0%)LeoVegas (SE) 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
NordicBet 1.39 (72.1%)SportsBet 10.00 (10.0%)Svenska Spel 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
NordicBet 1.39 (72.1%)SportsBet 10.00 (10.0%)ATG (SE) 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%